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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Pittsburgh Pirates vs Washington Nationals
Thu 4:05 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Pittsburgh
Pirates7
M. Perez LHP
versus
Washington Nationals logo
Washington
Nationals4
J. Gray RHP
Final
Team123456789T
Pittsburgh Pirates4100200007
Washington Nationals0100

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Washington Nationals Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: April 4, 2024 at 4:05 PM ET

Venue: Nationals Park — Washington, District of Columbia

Article updated Apr 3, 10:15 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

In the final game of a four-game series, the Pittsburgh Pirates (5-0) will face the Washington Nationals (1-3) with Martin Perez (2.08 ERA) pitching for the Pirates and

Game outlook

In the final game of a four-game series, the Pittsburgh Pirates (5-0) will face the Washington Nationals (1-3) with Martin Perez (2.08 ERA) pitching for the Pirates and Josiah Gray (15.75 ERA) for the Nationals. The Pirates have had success against the Nationals in the past and are currently favored to win with a -130 opening line that has remained steady. The game is set to take place on Thursday afternoon.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Pirates -130 | Nationals +110

Spread: Pirates -1.5 (+125) | Nationals +1.5 (-145)

Total: Over/Under 9 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Pittsburgh will win straight-up is 57%.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Martin Perez will be taking the mound for the Pirates on Thursday for the second time this season. In his first outing, Perez displayed a solid performance, only allowing one run in 4.1 innings against the Marlins. Despite this, he did not factor into the decision as the Pirates eventually won the game. Last season, Perez played for the Rangers and had mediocre results with a 4.45 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP, along with a 10-4 record in 141.2 innings pitched. He has struggled in the past against the Nationals, giving up 13 runs in 15 innings with a 7.80 ERA and a 77-85 record. The Pirates are a young team with potential for a breakout season, as they have acquired young talent during their rebuild. They have had a strong start to the season, winning all five of their games so far, including an 8-4 victory against the Nationals. Bryan Reynolds has been a standout player, with eight RBIs and a 1.03 OPS in the early games. Pittsburgh has been dominant offensively, averaging 7.80 runs per game, and their pitching staff has posted a 3.67 ERA. With a power ranking of 13, the Pirates rank 4th in offense, 12th in defense, and have started the season with a perfect 82-80 record.

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MLB · Pittsburgh Pirates at Washington Nationals

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Washington Nationals Analysis

The Washington Nationals are looking to bounce back after a tough start to the season, with young pitcher Josiah Gray getting another chance to shine after a rough debut. Despite the team's pitching struggles, the addition of veteran players like Eddie Rosario is providing some much-needed experience and firepower. The Nationals are focused on development and improvement this season, aiming to progress from their rebuilding phase. They have shown promise on offense but have struggled on the defensive side. With a power ranking of 24 and a record of 1-3, Washington is hopeful for better results moving forward.

Pirates' Struggling Perez to Face Nationals' Dominate Gray in Pitching Showdown

The Pittsburgh Pirates are sending Martin Perez to the mound, who has historically struggled against the Washington Nationals. Perez has allowed 13 runs on 21 hits in just 15 innings against the Nationals, resulting in a concerning 7.80 ERA and an 77-85 record. His performance last season yielded a lackluster 1.40 WHIP, indicating a decline in his pitching capabilities compared to previous seasons. On the other side, Nationals' starter Josiah Gray has shown great strength against the Pirates, limiting them to only three runs on eight hits in two games totaling 12.1 innings last season. Notably, key Pirates' hitters such as Connor Joe, Andrew McCutchen, Bryan Reynolds, and Ke'Bryan Hayes have collectively struggled at the plate against Gray, with only a combined 4 for 21 success rate.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#PittsburghPirates#WashingtonNationals

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Pirates vs Nationals archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Pirates vs Nationals matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates-130 → -121Moved
  • Moneyline · Washington Nationals+110 → +106Moved
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Pirates-1.5 (+125) → -1.5 (+138)Moved
  • Spread · Washington Nationals+1.5 (-145) → +1.5 (-160)Moved
  • Total · Over9 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under9 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Pittsburgh Pirates
82-80 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Washington Nationals
77-85 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-04-04T02:15:25.860Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-04-03Pittsburgh Pirates 3 · Washington Nationals 5
  • 2024-04-01Pittsburgh Pirates 8 · Washington Nationals 4
  • 2023-09-14Washington Nationals 0 · Pittsburgh Pirates 2
  • 2023-09-13Washington Nationals 6 · Pittsburgh Pirates 7
  • 2023-09-12Washington Nationals 1 · Pittsburgh Pirates 5
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated Washington Nationals 7-4

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated Washington Nationals 7-4 on April 4, 2024, a 3-run decision in the series. Pittsburgh Pirates' strongest period was the 1st inning, when it outscored its opponent 4-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Pittsburgh Pirates -1.5 (+138) spread, Pittsburgh Pirates covered, while the 11 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 8.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DtownsendTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • Novacek84Moneyline · Washington Nationals +110Loss
  • DemarcusBryantTotal · Under 9 (-110)Loss
  • ThetotalerMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -130Win
  • StevehMoneyline · Washington Nationals +110Loss
  • JtphamMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -130Win
  • Barry713Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -130Win
  • Barry713Total · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • MookiebetsMoneyline · Washington Nationals +110Loss
  • AdrianMariucciMoneyline · Washington Nationals +110Loss
  • DoclocksMoneyline · Washington Nationals +110Loss
  • RcMoneyline · Washington Nationals +110Loss
  • 1735203231Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -132Win
  • BjenkinsMoneyline · Washington Nationals +116Loss
  • SimonsaysTotal · Under 9 (-110)Loss
  • SimonsaysMoneyline · Washington Nationals +116
Loss
  • Josh720Moneyline · Washington Nationals +116Loss
  • MauriceJonesTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -132Win
  • MaddogMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -129Win
  • Tbone91Moneyline · Washington Nationals +114Loss
  • Teddy718Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -129Win
  • StevedTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • Roderick806Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -129Win
  • DawhizMoneyline · Washington Nationals +114Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -128Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -128Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win