Boston Red Sox vs
Baltimore OriolesPredictions & Preview

Red Sox Look to Bounce Back Against Orioles in Key Matchup: Preview and Predictions

This article provides a preview of the matchup between the Boston Red Sox and the Baltimore Orioles, both teams with high expectations for the season. The Red Sox have made significant roster changes in the offseason but are struggling early on, while the Orioles aim to make a deep playoff run. The pitching matchup will feature Tanner Houck for the Red Sox and Charlie Morton for the Orioles. The game will take place at 1:05 PM EST, with the Red Sox being the slight favorites according to betting odds. For more information and tips on betting, continue reading the full prediction.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Red Sox -108 | Orioles -102
• Spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+143) | Orioles +1.5 (-171)
• Total: Over/Under 9 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Boston will win straight-up is 52%.

Boston vs Baltimore Stats

Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox have had a disappointing start to the 2025 season, falling to a record of 1-4 after a loss to the Orioles. All-Star Rafael Devers has struggled at the plate, with 15 strikeouts and no hits in 19 at-bats. The team looks to turn things around with Tanner Houck starting on the mound. Houck had a solid season last year, and the team is hopeful he can lead them to a victory. Despite key injuries to several players, the Red Sox are ranked 14th in power rankings, with strengths in offense and defense.

Baltimore Orioles Analysis

The Baltimore Orioles have started the 2025 season strong with a 3-2 record, including an 8-5 victory over the Red Sox in their home opener. Former Red Sox player Tyler O'Neill had an impressive game with four hits against his old team. Despite not hitting any home runs in this game, the Orioles have hit a total of 10 home runs in their first five games. Veteran pitcher Charlie Morton will start the series finale, hoping to improve on his previous outing where he allowed four runs in just 3.1 innings. The Orioles are currently ranked 10th in power rankings and are excelling offensively and defensively. Key players Gunnar Henderson, Tomoyuki Sugano, Franklin Barreto, Levi Stoudt, and Emmanuel Rivera are currently out with injuries.

Red Sox Pitching Struggles Highlight Houck's Deceptive Performance; Opportunity for Victory Against Morton's Home Run Vulnerability

Both pitchers encountered difficulties during their initial start of the season, however, it is important to note that Houck's performance may be deceiving. Despite allowing two home runs in the game, which is notably more than his total from the previous season, Houck typically maintains a strong ground ball rate. In contrast, Morton has shown a higher susceptibility to home runs, surrendering 23 in the previous season. The Red Sox offense is poised for a breakout, with Devers in search of his first hit of the season. Thursday's game presents an opportunity for the team to secure a crucial victory. Given the circumstances, it is advisable to consider Boston with the money line bet.

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