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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres
Sun 4:10 PM ET
Philadelphia Phillies logo
Philadelphia
Phillies8
T. Walker RHP
versus
San Diego Padres logo
San Diego
Padres6
M. King RHP
Final
Team123456789T
Philadelphia Phillies0202021108
San Diego Padres003000

Phillies Look to Continue Dominance in Game Three Against Padres at Petco Park

Game time: April 28, 2024 at 4:10 PM ET

Venue: Petco Park — San Diego, California

Article updated Apr 27, 10:16 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres are set to face off in game three of their series at Petco Park on Sunday afternoon. The Phillies took the first game with a

Game outlook

The Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres are set to face off in game three of their series at Petco Park on Sunday afternoon. The Phillies took the first game with a convincing 9-3 victory on Friday. Taijuan Walker will be starting for the Phillies with an impressive 0 ERA, while Michael King will take the mound for the Padres with a 4.11 ERA. San Diego is the betting favorite with a -130 opening line that has not changed. It remains to be seen which team will emerge victorious when the game kicks off at 4:10 p.m. EDT.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Phillies +116 | Padres -130

Spread: Phillies +1.5 (-185) | Padres -1.5 (+163)

Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that San Diego will win straight-up is 57%.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Philadelphia Phillies have been on a hot streak, winning 9 out of their last 11 games. Their offense has been impressive, scoring at least five runs in eight of their past 10 matchups. They currently rank 13th in runs per game, eighth in batting average, ninth in OBP, and fifth in slugging percentage. The team has 33 homers and 27 stolen bases, ranking fourth and fifth respectively. Their walk percentage is 12th in the league. Despite a struggling bullpen, the Phillies have the seventh best staff ERA in the league. Taijuan Walker is set to make his first start of the season, hoping to contribute positively to the rotation. Overall, Philadelphia is ranked 5th in power rankings with a 18-10 record. Can they continue their success in San Diego?

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MLB · Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres

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San Diego Padres Analysis

The San Diego Padres have been struggling to rise above mediocrity this season despite a strong offensive lineup, ranking in the top ten for scoring, batting average, OBP, slugging percentage, strikeout percentage, home runs, walk percentage, and stolen bases. The team's offense seems to be carrying them, as their pitching has been average, giving up 4.64 runs per game. Newcomer Michael King has had mixed results on the mound, with a 4.11 ERA and the second-highest walk percentage among qualified pitchers. The Padres have a power ranking of 15 and are currently 13-15 overall, with a strong offense but weaker defense. In their last three matchups, Philadelphia has gone 1-2 against San Diego. Research is recommended before considering betting on their games.

Phillies Set Up for Success in Taijuan Walker's Upcoming Start Against Padres

Taijuan Walker's upcoming start is well-timed, coinciding with the Phillies' recent strong performance. The team's offense has been consistently scoring over five runs, providing valuable run support for Walker. Additionally, the Phillies' bullpen is ranked in the top 10 for both Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) and Wins Above Replacement (WAR), indicating their ability to effectively close out games. This combination of offensive prowess and reliable bullpen support makes a multi-run victory likely for Walker in his first start of the 2024 season. In contrast, Michael King has struggled with control issues, resulting in high walk rates and allowing multiple opponents to score over five runs in recent games. San Diego's bullpen is not as strong, further supporting the prediction of a Phillies victory by a margin of at least two runs.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#PhiladelphiaPhillies#SanDiegoPadres

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Phillies vs Padres archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Phillies vs Padres matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies+116 → +127Moved
  • Moneyline · San Diego Padres-130 → -142Moved
  • Spread · Philadelphia Phillies+1.5 (-185) → +1.5 (-164)Moved
  • Spread · San Diego Padres-1.5 (+163) → -1.5 (+144)Moved
  • Total · Over8 (-110) → 8 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under8 (-110) → 8 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Philadelphia Phillies
18-10 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
San Diego Padres
13-15 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-04-28T02:16:41.583Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-04-27Philadelphia Phillies 5 · San Diego Padres 1
  • 2024-04-26Philadelphia Phillies 9 · San Diego Padres 3
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Philadelphia Phillies defeated San Diego Padres 8-6

Philadelphia Phillies defeated San Diego Padres 8-6 on April 28, 2024, a 2-run decision in the series. Philadelphia Phillies' strongest period was the 2nd inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-164) spread, Philadelphia Phillies covered, while the 14 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 8.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MaddogMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +116Win
  • Tbone91Moneyline · San Diego Padres -130Loss
  • HopkinspicksMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +116Win
  • 1118240754Moneyline · San Diego Padres -130Loss
  • MtgoldsteinMoneyline · San Diego Padres -130Loss
  • Josh720Moneyline · San Diego Padres -130Loss
  • IrishblueMoneyline · San Diego Padres -130Loss
  • Destiny09Runline · San Diego Padres -1.5 (+160)Loss
  • BjenkinsMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +115Win
  • CoversMoneyline · San Diego Padres -130Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 8.25 (-110)Win
  • 7417430827Total · Over 8.25 (-110)Win
  • MikehuffMoneyline · San Diego Padres -131Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · San Diego Padres -133Loss
  • OddssharkMoneyline · San Diego Padres -133Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 8 (-110)
Win