Philadelphia Phillies vs
San Diego PadresPredictions & Preview

Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres to clash in battle of promising pitchers: Suarez vs Cease with Padres favored to win

The Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres are set to face off in a matchup between two promising pitchers. The Phillies, currently second in the NL East with a 16-10 record, will have Ranger Suarez on the mound, who is coming off a stellar performance in his last outing. On the other side, the Padres, second in the NL West with a 14-14 record, will rely on Dylan Cease, who is also coming off a strong showing in his previous start. The Padres are the betting favorites in this game.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Phillies -103 | Padres -114
• Spread: Phillies +1.5 (-210) | Padres -1.5 (+180)
• Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that San Diego will win straight-up is 53%.

Philadelphia vs San Diego Stats

Philadelphia Phillies

The Philadelphia Phillies are performing well in both batting and pitching aspects this season. They are currently tied with the Houston Astros for eighth in the sport with a .722 team OPS and are scoring an average of 4.26 runs per game. Third baseman Alec Bohm has been a standout player with a 1.000 OPS, three home runs, 21 RBIs, and 12 runs scored. Pitcher Ranger Suarez has excelled on the mound, ranking highly in various statistics and has six different pitches in his arsenal. The team has some players listed on the injury report, including pitchers Taijuan Walker and Dylan Covey. With a power ranking of 5, Philadelphia is ranked 15 in offense, 8 in defense, and has a strong 16-10 record this season.

San Diego Padres Analysis

The San Diego Padres are performing well offensively, ranking seventh in baseball with a .737 team OPS and averaging 4.79 runs per game. However, they need to improve their base stealing tactics, as they are tied for the most caught stealings in the league. The team has shown some power with 28 home runs, and left fielder Jurickson Profar has been a standout player with impressive stats. Pitcher Dylan Cease has been excelling on the mound, ranking in the 90th percentile in several key areas. The Padres have several players on the injury report, including Manny Machado and Yu Darvish. The team has a power ranking of 15 and ranks ninth in offense but 20th in defense. In their last three matchups, the Philadelphia Phillies went 1-2 against the Padres.

San Diego Padres Favored to Win Against Philadelphia Phillies on Strength of Pitching and On-Base Success

Both starting pitchers have shown strong performances at the beginning of the season. However, Dylan Cease's relative unfamiliarity to the Padres may give them a strategic advantage. Ranger Suarez, who conceded three runs in six innings during his previous start against San Diego last season, has a history with the team. San Diego has demonstrated a higher rate of on-base success throughout their lineup compared to Philadelphia, ranking fifth with a .334 team on-base percentage as opposed to Philadelphia's ninth place with a .324 OBP. Therefore, considering these factors, the San Diego Padres are favored to win this game at home.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ]