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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Philadelphia Phillies vs San Diego Padres
Sat 8:40 PM ET
Philadelphia Phillies logo
Philadelphia
Phillies5
R. Suarez LHP
versus
San Diego Padres logo
San Diego
Padres1
D. Cease RHP
Final
Team123456789T
Philadelphia Phillies2000300005
San Diego Padres000000

Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres to clash in battle of promising pitchers: Suarez vs Cease with Padres favored to win

Game time: April 27, 2024 at 8:40 PM ET

Venue: Petco Park — San Diego, California

Article updated Apr 26, 10:35 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres are set to face off in a matchup between two promising pitchers. The Phillies, currently second in the NL East with a 16-10

Game outlook

The Philadelphia Phillies and San Diego Padres are set to face off in a matchup between two promising pitchers. The Phillies, currently second in the NL East with a 17-10 record, will have Ranger Suarez on the mound, who is coming off a stellar performance in his last outing. On the other side, the Padres, second in the NL West with a 13-14 record, will rely on Dylan Cease, who is also coming off a strong showing in his previous start. The Padres are the betting favorites in this game.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Phillies -103 | Padres -114

Spread: Phillies +1.5 (-210) | Padres -1.5 (+180)

Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that San Diego will win straight-up is 53%.

Philadelphia Phillies

The Philadelphia Phillies are performing well in both batting and pitching aspects this season. They are currently tied with the Houston Astros for eighth in the sport with a .722 team OPS and are scoring an average of 4.26 runs per game. Third baseman Alec Bohm has been a standout player with a 1.000 OPS, three home runs, 21 RBIs, and 12 runs scored. Pitcher Ranger Suarez has excelled on the mound, ranking highly in various statistics and has six different pitches in his arsenal. The team has some players listed on the injury report, including pitchers Taijuan Walker and Dylan Covey. With a power ranking of 5, Philadelphia is ranked 15 in offense, 8 in defense, and has a strong 17-10 record this season.

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MLB · Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres

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San Diego Padres Analysis

The San Diego Padres are performing well offensively, ranking seventh in baseball with a .737 team OPS and averaging 4.79 runs per game. However, they need to improve their base stealing tactics, as they are tied for the most caught stealings in the league. The team has shown some power with 28 home runs, and left fielder Jurickson Profar has been a standout player with impressive stats. Pitcher Dylan Cease has been excelling on the mound, ranking in the 90th percentile in several key areas. The Padres have several players on the injury report, including Manny Machado and Yu Darvish. The team has a power ranking of 15 and ranks ninth in offense but 20th in defense. In their last three matchups, the Philadelphia Phillies went 1-2 against the Padres.

San Diego Padres Favored to Win Against Philadelphia Phillies on Strength of Pitching and On-Base Success

Both starting pitchers have shown strong performances at the beginning of the season. However, Dylan Cease's relative unfamiliarity to the Padres may give them a strategic advantage. Ranger Suarez, who conceded three runs in six innings during his previous start against San Diego last season, has a history with the team. San Diego has demonstrated a higher rate of on-base success throughout their lineup compared to Philadelphia, ranking fifth with a .334 team on-base percentage as opposed to Philadelphia's ninth place with a .324 OBP. Therefore, considering these factors, the San Diego Padres are favored to win this game at home.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#PhiladelphiaPhillies#SanDiegoPadres

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Phillies vs Padres archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Phillies vs Padres matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies+100 → +100Unchanged
  • Moneyline · San Diego Padres-110 → -115Moved
  • Spread · Philadelphia Phillies+1.5 (-220) → +1.5 (-220)Unchanged
  • Spread · San Diego Padres-1.5 (+194) → -1.5 (+180)Moved
  • Total · Over7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Philadelphia Phillies
17-10 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
San Diego Padres
13-14 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-04-27T02:35:27.345Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Philadelphia Phillies are performing well in both batting and pitching aspects this season. They are currently tied with the Houston Astros for eighth in the sport with a .722 team OPS and are scoring an average of 4.26 runs per game. Third baseman Alec Bohm has been a standout player with a 1.000 OPS, three home runs, 21 RBIs, and 12 runs scored. Pitcher Ranger Suarez has excelled on the mound, ranking highly in various statistics and has six different pitches in his arsenal. The team has some players listed on the injury report, including pitchers Taijuan Walker and Dylan Covey. With a power ranking of 5, Philadelphia is ranked 15 in offense, 8 in defense, and has a strong 17-10 record this season.

The San Diego Padres are performing well offensively, ranking seventh in baseball with a .737 team OPS and averaging 4.79 runs per game. However, they need to improve their base stealing tactics, as they are tied for the most caught stealings in the league. The team has shown some power with 28 home runs, and left fielder Jurickson Profar has been a standout player with impressive stats. Pitcher Dylan Cease has been excelling on the mound, ranking in the 90th percentile in several key areas. The Padres have several players on the injury report, including Manny Machado and Yu Darvish. The team has a power ranking of 15 and ranks ninth in offense but 20th in defense. In their last three matchups, the Philadelphia Phillies went 1-2 against the Padres.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-04-26Philadelphia Phillies 9 · San Diego Padres 3
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Philadelphia Phillies defeated San Diego Padres 5-1

Philadelphia Phillies defeated San Diego Padres 5-1 on April 27, 2024, a 4-run decision in the series. Philadelphia Phillies' strongest period was the 5th inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Philadelphia Phillies +1.5 (-220) spread, Philadelphia Phillies covered, while the 6 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 7.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • Novacek84Moneyline · San Diego Padres -110Loss
  • DrfeelgoodTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Loss
  • Tbone91Total · Over 7.5 (-110)Loss
  • MoneymouthMoneyline · San Diego Padres -110Loss
  • GeorgewMoneyline · San Diego Padres -110Loss
  • JtphamMoneyline · San Diego Padres -110Loss
  • SfdanMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +100Win
  • RainmanMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +100Win
  • PeytoncMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -103Win
  • JwMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -103Win
  • TgodfreyMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -103Win
  • IroncladlocksMoneyline · San Diego Padres -114
Loss
  • StevedTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Loss
  • EmcMoneyline · San Diego Padres -114Loss
  • BrycetTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Loss
  • Drew_WestcottMoneyline · San Diego Padres -114Loss
  • 1735203231Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -102Win
  • Roderick806Total · Over 7.5 (-110)Loss