MLB Matchups
Miami Marlins vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

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MIA
PHI
Open
Side
+1.5 (+130)
-1.5 (-150)
-1.5
Moneyline
+270
-317
-270
Total
O 8
U 8
9

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Miami Marlins vs
Philadelphia PhilliesPredictions & Preview

Philadelphia Phillies Favored to Defeat Miami Marlins in MLB Matchup Despite Injuries and Losing Streak

This content provides a preview of the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and the Philadelphia Phillies. The Marlins are currently on a losing streak and facing multiple injuries to key players, while the Phillies have been performing well and are close to the top of the NL East standings. The starting pitchers for the game are Connor Gillispie for the Marlins and Jesus Luzardo for the Phillies. Philadelphia is the favorite to win according to betting odds. For more detailed predictions and analysis, readers are encouraged to read the full article.

Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: Marlins +235 | Phillies -280
  • Spread: Marlins +1.5 (+114) | Phillies -1.5 (-135)
  • Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)
  • Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Philadelphia will win straight-up is 74%.

Miami vs Philadelphia Stats

Marlins vs Phillies prediction infographic
View stats & injuries for Marlins vs Phillies

Miami Marlins

The Miami Marlins currently rank 10th in batting average at .250 and 11th in on-base percentage at .321. However, they are struggling in runs scored, ranking 21st with only 77 runs, and in slugging percentage at 23rd with .367. Matt Mervis leads the team in home runs with six, RBI with 12, while Kyle Stowers follows with 10 RBI. Overall, Miami has hit 33 doubles, two triples, and 13 home runs for a total of 48 extra-base hits in 19 games. On the pitching side, Miami ranks 19th in batting average against at .242 and 27th in Quality Starts with only 3. Max Meyer leads in strikeouts with 27 and ERA for starters at 2.62, while Sandy Alcantara has two wins. The team currently has a power ranking of 11 and ranks 18th in offense, averaging 4.17 runs per game, and 29th in defense, allowing 5.17 runs to be scored against them per game. Miami's current season record is 8-11, and they will have Connor Gillispie start on Sunday with a 0-2 record, 6.63 ERA, and 18 strikeouts.

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies currently have a strong on-base percentage of .332 and are ranked 6th in that category, but are 12th in team batting average at .240 and 13th in runs scored with 87. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in home runs with 7 and RBI with 15, followed by Bryce Harper with 5 home runs and 11 RBI. The pitching rotation has a solid start with nine Quality Starts, and Zack Wheeler leads in strikeouts with 41. Overall, the Phillies have a power ranking of 15 and are 12-8. They are ranked 17th for offense and defense, scoring an average of 4.21 points per game and giving up an average of 4.32 points per game. The team recently played against Miami, winning 2 out of 3 matchups.

Miami Marlins Struggling Against Philadelphia Phillies, Facing Uphill Battle in Pitching Matchup

Miami has struggled in recent games, losing four out of their last five matchups and four out of their last six on the road. Additionally, they have been unsuccessful against Philadelphia, losing four out of their last six head-to-head matchups. On the other hand, the Phillies have a strong starting rotation with nine Quality Starts leading the MLB. Although Philadelphia ranks 16th in ERA at 3.99, Miami fares even worse at 4.76, ranking 29th. Miami's starting pitcher Connor Gillispie is coming off a challenging outing, allowing eight hits and eight runs in just 5.0 innings in their recent loss to the Arizona Diamondbacks. In contrast, Philadelphia's starter Jesus Luzardo has performed consistently, allowing three earned runs or less in each of his first four starts. Philadelphia has a strong runline record of 12-8 this season, while Miami has struggled with an 8-11 record, ranking 26th in the league.

Sources: [ 2 ] [ 3 ]

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