Colorado Rockies vs
Philadelphia PhilliesPredictions & Preview

Rockies vs Phillies: Philadelphia Favored as Teams Face Off at Citizens Bank Park

The Colorado Rockies (1-3) will be facing the Philadelphia Phillies (3-1) at Citizens Bank Park on Wednesday night after a series opener dominated by the Phillies with a 6-1 victory. Kyle Freeland will be starting for the Rockies with a perfect ERA of 0, while Zack Wheeler will be on the mound for the Phillies with an ERA of 1.5. Philadelphia is the strong betting favorite with an opening line of -295, which has since shifted to -323 in favor of the Phillies.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Rockies +265 | Phillies -323
• Spread: Rockies +1.5 (+115) | Phillies -1.5 (-135)
• Total: Over/Under 7 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Philadelphia will win straight-up is 76%.

Colorado vs Philadelphia Stats

Colorado Rockies

The Colorado Rockies entered the season with low expectations after a disappointing 2024 campaign, marked by a league-worst ERA. Their offseason lacked significant upgrades, and projections suggest they may struggle to reach 58.5 wins. The team's offense relies heavily on home performance, with road struggles persisting from the previous season. Shortstop Ezequiel Tovar and center fielder Brenton Doyle show promise, but concerns remain about the pitching staff. Kyle Freeland, who had a strong start on Opening Day, will be key for the Rockies. The team currently has a power ranking of 27, ranking 24th in offense and 12th in defense. They have a 1-3 record so far this season.

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies are coming off a successful 2024 season, winning 95 games and capturing their first NL East title since 2011. Despite a disappointing early exit from the playoffs, the team is poised for another strong year with a win total projection of 91.5 for 2025. Led by veteran players like Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber, who have already started the season off strong, the Phillies will rely on ace pitcher Zack Wheeler to continue their success. While Wheeler has had mixed results against the Rockies in the past, he has performed well at home. The Phillies currently rank 17th in power rankings, boasting a potent offense but a weaker defense. In their recent matchups, Colorado has had the upper hand with a 2-1 record against Philadelphia.

Philadelphia Phillies Strategically Positioned to Exploit Kyle Freeland's Road Struggles

The Philadelphia Phillies' lineup is strategically constructed to take advantage of Kyle Freeland's struggles on the road. In the 2024 season, the Phillies boasted a team batting average of .265 against left-handed pitching, ranking 5th in Major League Baseball. This statistic aligns perfectly with Freeland's weak career ERA of 5.79 at Citizens Bank Park. Additionally, Zack Wheeler's impressive home performance, with a 2.89 ERA in 2024, coupled with Colorado's .234 road batting average last season, further enhances Philadelphia's competitive edge. The Phillies' bullpen, which effectively shut out the Rockies in Monday's game, provides further assurance of their strength. With a talented roster featuring players like Bryce Harper, Trea Turner, and Kyle Schwarber, the Phillies are poised for success on the run-line.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ]