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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets
Wed 1:10 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Pittsburgh
Pirates1
B. Falter LHP
versus
New York Mets logo
New York
Mets9
L. Severino RHP
Final
Team123456789T
Pittsburgh Pirates0010000001
New York Mets00200403

Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Mets Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: April 17, 2024 at 1:10 PM ET

Venue: Citi Field — Queens, New York

Article updated Apr 17, 6:14 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the New York Mets will wrap up their three-game series on Wednesday, with the Mets currently leading 2-0 after a 3-1 victory on Tuesday. Bailey

Game outlook

The Pittsburgh Pirates and the New York Mets will wrap up their three-game series on Wednesday, with the Mets currently leading 2-0 after a 3-1 victory on Tuesday. Bailey Falter will take the mound for the Pirates, while Luis Severino will pitch for the Mets. The Mets are the favorite in this matchup, with the line opening at -140 and remaining steady.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Pirates +120 | Mets -140

Spread: Pirates +1.5 (-175) | Mets -1.5 (+150)

Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 58%.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Bailey Falter will be the starting pitcher for Pittsburgh on Wednesday afternoon, following two strong performances in his last two outings after struggling in his first game of the season. He has a 4.20 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP with a 1-0 record this year. The Pirates have been successful on the road, winning two of four games against the Phillies over the past weekend. The team has not lost a series this season. Pittsburgh has been led by Bryan Reynolds and Connor Joe, who have been productive at the plate. Joe has a .288 batting average with 11 RBIs and a .826 OPS. The Pirates are averaging 5.29 runs per game and have a solid pitching staff with a 3.65 ERA, placing them seventh in the league. With a power ranking of 3, Pittsburgh is ranked 7th in offense, 6th in defense, and has a record of 11-7 for the season.

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MLB · Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Mets

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New York Mets Analysis

The New York Mets are set to have Luis Severino start the series finale on Wednesday. Severino has shown effectiveness in two of his three outings this season, only allowing a total of nine runs in 15 innings pitched. The Mets have managed to rebound from a tough start to the season, winning three consecutive series including a road win against the Braves. Brandon Nimmo has emerged as a key hitter for the team, with 13 RBIs and a .756 OPS. The team's offense is averaging 4.70 runs per game while the pitching staff holds a 3.48 ERA, placing them sixth in the league. JD Martinez is also nearing his season debut. The Mets have a power ranking of 16 and are ranked 15th in offense, 17th in defense, and have an overall record of 74-88. Despite their recent success, the Pittsburgh Pirates have historically had the upper hand in their matchups against the Mets, winning their last three meetings. Earn more by utilizing sportsbook promo codes.

New York Mets on the Rise as Pittsburgh Pirates Struggle: Pitching Matchup Looms Large

The Pittsburgh Pirates have experienced a recent downturn in performance, with five losses in their last seven games. In contrast, the New York Mets have been on an upswing, winning three consecutive series and four out of their last five games, including two victories in the current series. It is of note that Pirates starter Bailey Falter has struggled in away games, allowing seven runs over nine innings in two recent outings. This is concerning as the Mets have displayed a superior performance against left-handed pitchers, with a notable .812 OPS compared to a weaker .671 OPS against right-handed pitchers. On the Mets side, starter Luis Severino has demonstrated strong performances, conceding only one run over the course of his last two outings, spanning a total of 10 innings.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#PittsburghPirates#NewYorkMets

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Pirates vs Mets archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Pirates vs Mets matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates+120 → +137Moved
  • Moneyline · New York Mets-140 → -156Moved
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Pirates+1.5 (-171) → +1.5 (-159)Moved
  • Spread · New York Mets-1.5 (+148) → -1.5 (+138)Moved
  • Total · Over8.5 (-110) → 7.75 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8.5 (-110) → 7.75 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Pittsburgh Pirates
82-80 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
New York Mets
74-88 matchup record · 8-2-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-04-17T10:14:30.393Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-04-16Pittsburgh Pirates 1 · New York Mets 3
  • 2024-04-15Pittsburgh Pirates 3 · New York Mets 6
Final result

Matchup pick recap

New York Mets defeated Pittsburgh Pirates 9-1

New York Mets defeated Pittsburgh Pirates 9-1 on April 17, 2024, a 8-run decision in the series. New York Mets' strongest period was the 6th inning, when it outscored its opponent 4-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (-159) spread, New York Mets covered, while the 10 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 7.75.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • 1735203231Moneyline · New York Mets -140Win
  • JackCohenMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates +120Loss
  • Barry713Total · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • BluedevilMoneyline · New York Mets -140Win
  • Altuve27Total · Over 8.5 (-110)Win
  • CoversMoneyline · New York Mets -140Win
  • HitmanhartMoneyline · New York Mets -135Win