Arizona Diamondbacks vs
Miami MarlinsPredictions & Preview

Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Series Preview: Merrill Kelly and Connor Gillispie to Start as Arizona Favored at -165

The Arizona Diamondbacks (9-7) will face off against the Miami Marlins (8-7) in a three-game series, with Merrill Kelly and Connor Gillispie as the starting pitchers. Last year, the Diamondbacks won the season series 4-2. The Marlins have been performing well at the plate, but Arizona is the betting favorite at -165. Stay tuned for the Diamondbacks vs. Marlins prediction.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Diamondbacks -165 | Marlins +149
• Spread: Diamondbacks -1.5 (+100) | Marlins +1.5 (-119)
• Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Arizona will win straight-up is 62%.

Arizona vs Miami Stats

Arizona Diamondbacks

On Tuesday, Merrill Kelly will be pitching for the Arizona Diamondbacks for the fourth time this season. Despite a strong performance in his last outing against the Orioles, where he earned a win by allowing only three runs, Kelly has struggled in previous games, particularly against the Yankees. His statistics currently show a 7.20 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP, with a record of 2-1 in 15 innings pitched this season. Kelly has historically struggled against the Marlins, with a 6.56 ERA and an 0-2 record in 23.1 innings. The Diamondbacks have shown improvement recently, winning key series against the Orioles and Brewers despite low scoring games. Corbin Carroll is leading the team with a 1.1 OPS, while Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has had a slow start with a weak .474 OPS. Ketel Marte is currently injured. Arizona ranks 6th in offense, averaging 5.13 runs per game, and 20th in defense with a 4.34 ERA. In the power rankings, the Diamondbacks are ranked 10th overall and have a record of 9-7 so far this season.

Miami Marlins Analysis

The Miami Marlins will have Connor Gillespie on the mound to begin their series against the Diamondbacks. Gillespie has shown promise in recent performances, limiting a potent Mets offense to just two runs in four innings pitched. Although he has yet to pitch more than five innings in a start, Gillespie has conceded two or fewer runs in two out of three outings and currently holds a 3.86 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP with an 0-1 record in 14 innings this season. The Marlins have been competitive early on, particularly on offense, boasting one of the youngest rosters in the league. They recently won a home series against the Nationals after losing two of three road meetings against the Mets. Xavier Edwards and Dane Myers have been standouts at the plate, with Griffin Conine also making a positive impact. The team is currently averaging 4.33 runs per game and has a 4.07 ERA. The Marlins hold a power ranking of 20 and are ranked 19th in offense, 22nd in defense, and have an overall record of 8-7. Additionally, the Diamondbacks lost all three matchups against Miami in their last encounters.

Arizona Diamondbacks Face Challenges on the Road as Miami Marlins Show Strong Performance

The Arizona Diamondbacks have faced challenges on the road, losing three out of their last four games, with a recent series loss against the Nationals. On the other hand, the Miami Marlins have shown strong performance by winning three out of their last four games, including two victories against the Nationals at home over the weekend, putting them above .500 at home. Veteran Diamondbacks pitcher Merrill Kelly has struggled in his recent outings, giving up a total of 11 runs in just 9.2 innings. In contrast, Marlins pitcher Connor Gillespie has demonstrated consistency, allowing two or fewer runs in two out of his three appearances. It is worth noting that only half of Arizona's recent wins have been by a margin of two or more runs.

Sources: [ 2 ] [ 3 ] [ 4 ] [ 5 ]