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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies
Sun 1:35 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Pittsburgh
Pirates9
M. Keller RHP · 2–1, 4.50 ERA
versus
Philadelphia Phillies logo
Philadelphia
Phillies2
Z. Wheeler RHP · 0–3, 3.00 ERA
Final
Team123456789T
Pittsburgh Pirates0001050129
Philadelphia Phillies0

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Philadelphia Phillies Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: April 14, 2024 at 1:35 PM ET

Venue: Citizens Bank Park — Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Article updated Apr 13, 10:16 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

On Sunday afternoon, the Pittsburgh Pirates (10-4) will face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (7-7) in the final game of a three-game series. The Pirates will have Mitch

Game outlook

On Sunday afternoon, the Pittsburgh Pirates (10-4) will face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (7-7) in the final game of a three-game series. The Pirates will have Mitch Keller on the mound, while the Phillies will counter with Zack Wheeler. After splitting the first two games of the series, with the Phillies winning 5-1 on Thursday and the Pirates responding with a 5-2 win on Friday, this game is crucial for both teams. Keller, with an ERA of 5.29, will be looking to lead the Pirates to victory, while Wheeler, with an impressive 1.89 ERA, will be aiming to secure the win for the Phillies. Philadelphia is the betting favorite at -189 and the line has remained unchanged.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Pirates +160 | Phillies -189

Spread: Pirates +1.5 (-138) | Phillies -1.5 (+114)

Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Philadelphia will win straight-up is 65%.

Pittsburgh Pirates

Mitch Keller will be starting on Sunday afternoon after struggling in his first two outings of the season but rebounding with a strong performance against the Tigers. Despite his previous struggles, Keller has shown potential with a solid performance last season. The Pirates have had a promising start to the season and are looking to maintain their momentum. Oneil Cruz, a top prospect for the Pirates, has shown promise with two home runs and four RBIs so far this season. Pittsburgh has been performing well both offensively and defensively, averaging 5.3 runs per game and a 3.60 ERA. They have a power ranking of 9 and are currently ranked 9th in offense, 10th in defense, and have a 10-4 record this season.

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MLB · Pittsburgh Pirates at Philadelphia Phillies

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Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies will have Zack Wheeler on the mound to close out the series, with Wheeler showcasing strong performances in his recent outings. The team has won two straight series and has a favorable schedule ahead. Bryce Harper and JT Realmuto have been key players, with Harper recording three homers and seven RBIs on the season and Realmuto showcasing a decent performance as well. The Philadelphia Phillies have a power ranking of 18 and are 21st in offense, scoring an average of 3.85 runs per game. Their pitching has been solid, posting a 3.71 ERA. Pittsburgh has struggled in recent matchups against Philadelphia, going 1-2 in their last three games.

Pittsburgh Pirates Dominating Early Season While Philadelphia Phillies Struggle at .500

The Pittsburgh Pirates have demonstrated early success in the season with a 10-4 record entering Saturday, in contrast to the Philadelphia Phillies who are currently at a .500 record and have struggled at home with a 3-5 record. Pirates' starting pitcher Mitch Keller displayed a strong comeback in his previous start by allowing only two runs in six innings. Notably, Keller has historically performed well against the Phillies, limiting them to just four runs in 11.2 innings last season. Conversely, Phillies' starter Zack Wheeler has not received adequate offensive support, as the team has only scored 10 runs in his three outings. These contrasting performances highlight the Pirates' favorable position and the Phillies' need for improvement.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#PittsburghPirates#PhiladelphiaPhillies

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Pirates vs Phillies archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Pirates vs Phillies matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates+160 → +166Moved
  • Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies-189 → -190Moved
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Pirates+1.5 (-138) → +1.5 (-125)Moved
  • Spread · Philadelphia Phillies-1.5 (+114) → -1.5 (+107)Moved
  • Total · Over8 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8 (-110) → 8.5 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Pittsburgh Pirates
82-80 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 3-7-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Philadelphia Phillies
88-74 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 0-10-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-04-14T02:16:30.465Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-04-13Pittsburgh Pirates 3 · Philadelphia Phillies 4
  • 2024-04-12Pittsburgh Pirates 5 · Philadelphia Phillies 2
  • 2024-04-11Pittsburgh Pirates 1 · Philadelphia Phillies 5
  • 2023-09-28Pittsburgh Pirates 3 · Philadelphia Phillies 2
  • 2023-09-27Pittsburgh Pirates 6 · Philadelphia Phillies 7
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated Philadelphia Phillies 9-2

Pittsburgh Pirates defeated Philadelphia Phillies 9-2 on April 14, 2024, a 7-run decision in the series. Pittsburgh Pirates' strongest period was the 6th inning, when it outscored its opponent 5-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (-125) spread, Pittsburgh Pirates covered, while the 11 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 8.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • HitmanhartMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -189Loss
  • JackCohenTotal · Over 8 (-110)Win
  • Roderick806Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates +160Win
  • BluedevilTotal · Over 8 (-110)Win
  • Josh720Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -180Loss
  • CoversMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -180Loss
  • Steve512Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates -180Win
  • HopkinspicksMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -180Loss
  • JackCohenMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -180Loss
  • DrpaulMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates +158Win
  • RainmanMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates +158Win