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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds
Fri 6:40 PM ET
Pittsburgh Pirates logo
Pittsburgh
Pirates3
B. Falter LHP
versus
Cincinnati Reds logo
Cincinnati
Reds5
B. Singer RHP
Final
Team123456789T
Pittsburgh Pirates0000300003
Cincinnati Reds30200000

Pittsburgh Pirates vs Cincinnati Reds Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: April 11, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Venue: Great American Ball Park — Cincinnati, Ohio

Article updated Apr 10, 10:00 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

On Friday night, the Pittsburgh Pirates (5-8) will be looking to take the series lead against the Cincinnati Reds (5-8) as they face off at Great American Ball Park. The game

Game outlook

On Friday night, the Pittsburgh Pirates (5-8) will be looking to take the series lead against the Cincinnati Reds (5-8) as they face off at Great American Ball Park. The game is set to start at 6:40 PM. ET. Bailey Falter, with an ERA of 8.10, will be the starting pitcher for the Pirates, while Brady Singer, with an ERA of 2.25, will be on the mound for the Reds. Pittsburgh has a recent history of success against Cincinnati, going 6-4 in their last 10 matchups. The Reds are the betting favorites at -147, and the line has remained steady. Stay tuned to see which team comes out on top in this Pirates vs. Reds showdown.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Pirates +133 | Reds -147

Spread: Pirates +1.5 (-154) | Reds -1.5 (+128)

Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Cincinnati will win straight-up is 60%.

Pittsburgh Pirates

The Pittsburgh Pirates secured their first series win of the season by defeating the St. Louis Cardinals in the series finale. They will look to maintain their momentum in their upcoming game on Friday. Pittsburgh has struggled offensively, ranking 23rd in the league with an average of 3.46 runs per game and holding the 30th spot with a .198 batting average. Isiah Kiner-Falefa leads the team with a .300 batting average, while Bryan Reynolds leads with two home runs and six RBI. Defensively, the Pirates are allowing an average of 4.54 runs per game, ranking 25th in the league. With a power ranking of 26, Pittsburgh is currently 5-8 this season.

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MLB · Pittsburgh Pirates at Cincinnati Reds

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Cincinnati Reds Analysis

The Cincinnati Reds recently had their two-game winning streak broken by the Giants and are looking to bounce back in their upcoming game on Friday. With an average of 3.69 runs per game, the Reds rank 19th in the league for offense, with a .206 batting average (25th) and .267 on base percentage (30th). Elly De La Cruz leads the team with a .250 batting average and 12 RBI, while Matt McLain leads in home runs. On the defensive side, the Reds are giving up 3.08 runs per game (3rd in the league), with opponents batting .200 against them (3rd). Their 3.15 ERA (4th) and 0.98 WHIP lead the league. In their last matchup, the Reds pitcher Singer recorded a 11-7 win over Milwaukee, and holds a 75-87 record with a 6.75 ERA in five games against Pittsburgh. With a power ranking of 15, the Reds are currently ranked #21 for offense, #3 for defense, and have an overall record of 75-87. Pittsburgh has won 2 out of their last 3 matchups against Cincinnati.

Cincinnati Reds Hold Advantage Over Pittsburgh Pirates in Recent Matchup

The Cincinnati Reds have emerged victorious in three of their last five games, while the Pittsburgh Pirates have achieved success in four of their last five road games. Cincinnati holds a clear advantage in this matchup due to their recent strong hitting performance and facing a struggling pitcher in Falter, who has allowed a total of nine runs in his first two starts. Falter has also struggled against the Reds in the past, giving up nine runs in his last two outings against them. Conversely, the Pirates' offense may face challenges as they have struggled against right-handed pitchers and will be up against Singer, who has performed well on the mound with only three earned runs in two starts. With Cincinnati's bullpen in good form, they are likely to contain Pittsburgh's offense effectively. It would be prudent to consider betting on Cincinnati on the money line.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#PittsburghPirates#CincinnatiReds

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Pirates vs Reds archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Pirates vs Reds matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates+133 → +145Moved
  • Moneyline · Cincinnati Reds-147 → -168Moved
  • Spread · Pittsburgh Pirates+1.5 (-154) → +1.5 (-139)Moved
  • Spread · Cincinnati Reds-1.5 (+128) → -1.5 (+118)Moved
  • Total · Over8.5 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under8.5 (-110) → 8 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Pittsburgh Pirates
82-80 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Cincinnati Reds
75-87 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2025-04-11T02:00:15.244Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-09-22Pittsburgh Pirates 2 · Cincinnati Reds 0
  • 2024-09-21Pittsburgh Pirates 1 · Cincinnati Reds 7
  • 2024-09-20Pittsburgh Pirates 3 · Cincinnati Reds 8
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Cincinnati Reds defeated Pittsburgh Pirates 5-3

Cincinnati Reds defeated Pittsburgh Pirates 5-3 on April 11, 2025, a 2-run decision in the series. Cincinnati Reds' strongest period was the 1st inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 (-139) spread, Cincinnati Reds covered, while the 8 total pushed.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JackCohenMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds +133Win
  • DrpaulMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates +133Loss
  • KrockpicksMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates +133Loss
  • DpxsportsTotal · Over 8.5 (-110)Loss
  • MaddogMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates +140Loss
  • Mickey619Moneyline · Cincinnati Reds +140Win
  • TgodfreyMoneyline · Pittsburgh Pirates +140Loss
  • JohnmiznerMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -158Win
  • 1735203231Moneyline · Cincinnati Reds -163Win
  • EXCELent Sports PicksMoneyline · Cincinnati Reds -153Win
  • EXCELent Sports PicksRunline · Cincinnati Reds -1.5 (+130)Win