Boston Red Sox vs
Texas RangersPredictions & Preview

Red Sox vs Rangers: Boston Favored in Sunday Matchup Despite DeGrom Starting for Texas

The Texas Rangers and the Boston Red Sox, both with a record of 1-1, will face off in the final game of their three-game series on Sunday. Richard Fitts will be starting for the Red Sox, while Jacob deGrom will be starting for the Rangers. Texas is the betting favorite with the opening line at -180, and the line has not moved.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Red Sox +161 | Rangers -180
• Spread: Red Sox +1.5 (-142) | Rangers -1.5 (+120)
• Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Texas will win straight-up is 64%.

Boston vs Texas Stats

Boston Red Sox

The Red Sox began the season with an expected win total of 86.5 after finishing 81-81 in 2024. Richard Fitts will be starting for Boston on Sunday, with limited experience from his rookie season. Wilyer Abreu has had a strong start, hitting .833 with two home runs and five RBIs in the first two games, while Rafael Devers has struggled, going 0 for 8 with seven strikeouts. New addition Alex Bregman has also started slow, going 1 for 8. Boston is ranked 8th in offense, 4th in defense, and has a power ranking of 15, currently holding a record of 1-1 for the season.

Texas Rangers Analysis

The Texas Rangers, after a disappointing 2024 season following their World Series win, have high expectations for the current season with an over/under win total set at 85.5. The return of a healthy Jacob deGrom to the rotation is seen as a significant boost, as the right-hander has shown effectiveness when he has been able to pitch. On the offensive side, players like Jonah Heim, Josh Jung, and Jake Burger have made strong starts to the season. Despite a power ranking of 19, the team ranks #24 for offense and #20 for defense, with an overall record of 1-1. In recent matchups, Boston has had the upper hand, winning 2 out of their last 3 games against Texas.

Highly anticipated matchup between Rangers and Red Sox favors Boston due to inflated line and strong bullpen

The two teams began the season with a relatively equal standing, as demonstrated by the first two games of the series. Despite Jacob deGrom pitching for the Rangers, they are heavily favored, although the price does not offer good value. DeGrom's performance in Spring Training, where he obtained a 1-2 record with a 4.50 ERA, raises concerns about his current form. In contrast, Fitts has shown promise with a 1-0 record and 2.45 ERA in five spring appearances. When considering the strengths of both teams' bullpens and lineups, the Red Sox present a strong competitor. While Texas holds an advantage with deGrom on the mound, his recent track record of not winning more than seven games since 2019 makes the high price unappealing. To capitalize on the Red Sox's potential and the inflated line, it is recommended to take them on the runline.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ]