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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Toronto Blue Jays vs Minnesota Twins
Tue 4:30 PM ET
Toronto Blue Jays logo
Toronto
Blue Jays1
K. Gausman RHP · 12–9, 3.16 ERA
versus
Minnesota Twins logo
Minnesota
Twins3
P. Lopez RHP · 11–8, 3.71 ERA
Final
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Toronto Blue Jays0000010001
Minnesota Twins2010

Twins Starters Out for American League Wild Card Game Against Blue Jays

Game time: October 3, 2023 at 4:30 PM ET

Venue: Target Field — Minneapolis, Minnesota

Article updated Oct 2, 5:15 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Colar Frawley and some Twins starters will be out due to injuries. On Tuesday, the Toronto Blue Jays and Minnesota Twins will meet for the American League Wild Card round at

Game outlook

Colar Frawley and some Twins starters will be out due to injuries. On Tuesday, the Toronto Blue Jays and Minnesota Twins will meet for the American League Wild Card round at Target Field at 4:38 p.m. ET. The teams split the six regular season games against each other. Blue Jays' pitcher Kevin Gausman (ERA: 3.16) is expected to start for the team, while the Twins will be starting Pablo Lopez (ERA: 3.71). Minnesota is favored to win the game, as they are the -124 moneyline favorites with the game total set at 7.5 runs. Several players are expected to be out due to injury on both teams.

Game Info

When: Tuesday, 10/3/2023 @ 4:30pm EST

Where: Target Field Stadium Blue Jays vs Twins Betting Odds Moneyline: Blue Jays -104 | Twins -110

Spread: Blue Jays +1.5 (-198) | Twins -1.5 (+164)

Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Minnesota will win straight-up is 52%.

Toronto Blue Jays

The Toronto Blue Jays are in postseason play for consecutive years for the first time since 2015-2,016. After claiming the World Series titles in 1992 and 1993, they enter with the promise of an upside, given the talented roster. During the regular season, the Jays scored 4.60 runs per game (15th), hit .256 (8th) with a .746 OPS (11th) and 188 home runs (16th), with 99 stolen bases (22nd). The Jays' defense contributed to their success this season, securing a 3.79 ERA (4th) and a 1.25 WHIP (10th) with 70 quality starts (6th). For the game one start, Gausman is the pitcher. This 11th-year pro went 7-5 with a 3.27 ERA and 1.20 WHIP in 15 road outings this season. He faced the Twins twice in 2023; in the first start earning a win, holding Minny to one run with eight strikeouts in 5.1 innings (May 26) followed by being knocked around in the second start, surrendering 6 runs on 7 hits in 4.2 innings (June 11). Overall, the Blue Jays have an impressive season, with a power ranking of 13, ranked: Offense: 15th with an average of 4.58 points scored per game Defense: 6th with an average of 4.09 points scored against them per game Season record: 89-73

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Minnesota Twins Analysis

The Minnesota Twins are a formidable team this postseason. A winner of the AL Central division, they have 12 players with ten or more home runs and 12 players with 40-plus RBIs. Among the league, the Twins sit in an impressive 7th for OPS and 5th for ERA. On Tuesday, the Twins will be led by starting pitcher López, who’s boasts 16 starts this season with a 4.21 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. The Blue Jays and Twins have faced off 3 times this year, with Toronto taking a 2-1 record into the postseason matchup. The Twins were 10th for offense , averaging 4.80 runs-per-game, while sitting 3rd for defense , giving up an average of 4.07 points-per-game. They had a record of 87-75 overall. The Twin Cities may not have the star power of some of the other teams, but there is potential for magic in their postseason run.

Twins Missing Stars as Toronto Pursues First Playoff Win Since 2004

The Twins are missing a couple of key players and will be without stars Buxton and Gallo and with Correa and Lewis at less than 100%. Even though Minnesota is balanced and less reliant on stars, capable of producing wins, star power still makes a difference in the postseason. With Toronto having success away from home during the regular season, they have the upper hand facing a Minnesota starter who allowed 11 runs on 18 hits in his last three outings. Toronto's momentum from their last five September starts with Gausman holding consecutive opponents scoreless should carry into game one. This is the third time in four years that the Jays have made the postseason, however, the Twins are still searching for their first playoff victory since 2004. Toronto will make a statement with a win in game one.

Written by Steved Published on 10/02/2023 Category: MLB Picks

About the Author: I apply a behind the scenes mix of technical analyze of stats, real-time news, and fundamental analysis that helps spot advantages to give me and my clients the edge.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
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#TorontoBlueJays#MinnesotaTwins

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Blue Jays vs Twins archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Blue Jays vs Twins matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Toronto Blue Jays-104 → +109Moved
  • Moneyline · Minnesota Twins-110 → -124Moved
  • Spread · Toronto Blue Jays+1.5 (-198) → +1.5 (-192)Moved
  • Spread · Minnesota Twins-1.5 (+164) → -1.5 (+170)Moved
  • Total · Over7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Toronto Blue Jays
84-69-1 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 7-3-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Minnesota Twins
84-72-1 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-02T21:15:25.465Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Colar Frawley and some Twins starters will be out due to injuries. On Tuesday, the Toronto Blue Jays and Minnesota Twins will meet for the American League Wild Card round at Target Field at 4:38 p.m. ET. The teams split the six regular season games against each other. Blue Jays' pitcher Kevin Gausman (ERA: 3.16) is expected to start for the team, while the Twins will be starting Pablo Lopez (ERA: 3.71). Minnesota is favored to win the game, as they are the -124 moneyline favorites with the game total set at 7.5 runs. Several players are expected to be out due to injury on both teams.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Minnesota Twins defeated Toronto Blue Jays 3-1

Minnesota Twins defeated Toronto Blue Jays 3-1 on October 3, 2023, a 2-run decision in the series. Minnesota Twins' strongest period was the 1st inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 (-192) spread, Minnesota Twins covered, while the 4 combined runs finished under the recorded total of 7.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • MiamimikeMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -104Loss
  • 1735203231Moneyline · Minnesota Twins -104Win
  • PurplebloodTotal · Under 7.5 (-110)Win
  • MaddogMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -104Win
  • JtmcentireMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -104Loss
  • JeffjacksonMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -104Loss
  • HopkinspicksMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -110Win
  • PremierPicksMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -104Loss
  • DerekFisherMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -104Loss
  • Drew_WestcottMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -110Win
  • RcollinsTotal · Under 7.5 (-110)Win
  • TgodfreyMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -104Loss
  • BjenkinsMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -110Win
  • MackintoshMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -104Loss
  • DemarcusBryantMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -104Loss
  • MikeVargas
Total · Under 7.5 (-110)
Win
  • MoneymouthMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -110Win
  • Teddy718Moneyline · Minnesota Twins -110Win
  • SimonsaysMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -110Win
  • SimonsaysTotal · Under 7.5 (-110)Win
  • JoeyBergMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -110Win
  • MookiebetsMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -110Win
  • RainmanMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -104Win
  • Altuve27Moneyline · Minnesota Twins -110Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -102Loss
  • Destiny09Moneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -102Loss
  • Destiny09Runline · Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 (-215)Loss
  • MoneyMoneyMoneyMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -102Loss
  • MoneyMoneyMoneyRunline · Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 (-215)Loss
  • FatherFirstMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -102Loss
  • FatherFirstTotal · Under 7.5 (-110)Win
  • CoolioMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -110Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Loss
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -104Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Loss
  • BooksworstnightmareMoneyline · Toronto Blue Jays -104Loss
  • BooksworstnightmareTotal · Under 7.5 (-110)Win
  • JohnTharpRunline · Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 (-193)Loss
  • ryry663Runline · Minnesota Twins -1.5 (+180)Win
  • ryry663Moneyline · Minnesota Twins -110Win
  • JohnTharpMoneyline · Minnesota Twins -122Win