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  1. Home
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  3. Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Fri 8:07 PM ET
Philadelphia Phillies logo
Philadelphia
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C. Sanchez LHP
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Philadelphia Phillies vs Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: October 20, 2023 at 8:07 PM ET

Venue: Chase Field — Phoenix, Arizona

Article updated Oct 20, 2:14 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Phillies took two out of three matches from the Diamondbacks in their home games and now the action shifts to Arizona for Games 4. The outcome of this match will

Game outlook

The Phillies took two out of three matches from the Diamondbacks in their home games and now the action shifts to Arizona for Games 4. The outcome of this match will determine if the Phillies will win their second consecutive National League Pennant.

Game Info

When: Friday, 10/20/2023 @ 8:07pm EST

Where: Chase Field Stadium Phillies vs Diamondbacks Betting Odds Moneyline: Phillies -130 | Diamondbacks +111

Spread: Phillies -1.5 (+124) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-142)

Total: Over/Under 9.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Philadelphia will win straight-up is 57%.

Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia took care of business at home as they took the first two games of this series to put themselves in command in pursuit of their second consecutive NL pennant. The Phillies look to keep their momentum on the road as they head west for this matchup. On Tuesday night, Philadelphia got two hits each from Kyle Schwarber (three runs, two RBI), Bryson Stott (two runs) and J.T. Realmuto (run, three RBI) in the win. Schwarber (his second and third) homered twice in the game while Trea Turner (his third) also went deep in the victory. Aaron Nola (3-0) earned the win on the mound as he threw six scoreless innings, allowing three hits with no walks and seven strikeouts, before departing.

The Phillies have not officially named a starter for this one but expectations are that Taijuan Walker would make his postseason debut here after 31 regular season starts. He was 15-6 with a 4.38 ERA, a 1.309 WHIP, 71 walks and 138 strikeouts over 172.2 innings of work during the regular season. Walker took the loss in his last start, which came in the first game of a doubleheader against the Mets on September 30. He threw seven innings, allowing four runs on four hits with four walks and three strikeouts in a game the Phillies dropped 4-3. In his last three starts, Walker is 0-1 with a 4.95 ERA, a 1.15 WHIP, six walks and 10 strikeouts over 20 innings of work. Walker pitches against the Diamondbacks in the postseason for the first time here. It also marks his first career postseason start at Chase Field. In his career, Walker has made one postseason start, taking the loss as he allowed four runs on four hits with two walks and three strikeouts in one inning of work as the Diamondbacks fell 9-5 to the Dodgers in Game 1 of the NL Division Series back on October 6, 2017.

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MLB · Philadelphia Phillies at Arizona Diamondbacks

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Philadelphia sits at #10 in the power rankings, with an offense ranking 8th (averaging 4.95 points per game), defense ranked 9th (allowing an average of 4.28 points to be scored against them per game), and an overall record of 88-74.

Arizona Diamondbacks Analysis

The Arizona Diamondbacks have seen success on the road in the first two rounds of the playoffs, winning their first four games away from Chase Field. However, they have been unable to maintain that momentum as the Diamondbacks were blitzed in Games 1 and 2 by the Phillies. The Diamondbacks returned home to Chase Field for Game 3 hoping to reverse their fortunes. Arizona, currently ranked 14th in offense (averaging 4.61 points per game) and 20th in defense (allowing an average of 4.66 points per game) is looking to Ryne Nelson for a boost. If he starts in Game 3, it will be his third postseason appearance and first start in this contest. Nelson is 8-8 with a 5.31 ERA, a 1.424 WHIP, 46 walks and 96 strikeouts over 144 innings of work on the year. In the last 3 matchups against the Phillies, Arizona went 1-2. Don't go down on strikes: take your best hacks with our MLB predictions! Arizona had success on the road in the first two rounds of the playoffs, winning their first four games away from Chase Field. Arizona is currently ranked 14th in offense (averaging 4.61 points per game) and 20th in defense (allowing an average of 4.66 points per game). Ryne Nelson was given the potential start for Game 3 if he can give the Diamonbacks a much needed boost. In the last 3 matchups against the Phillies, Arizona went 1-2.

Phillies Look to Experience and Bullpen Depth to Dominate Game 3 of NLCS with Help from Star Power of Schwarber

Pitching matchups may adjust depending on the outcome of Game 3. Arizona could use Zac Gallen on short rest if they lose. Neither team has included a fourth starter in the postseason. Phillies have a postseason experience advantage and have been dominating at the plate. Schwarber has been a powerhouse during the NLCS. The Phillies’ bullpen depth is critical, as Walker has been inactive for 3 weeks. Philadelphia is likely to gain the lead and close the game with the bullpen.

Written by Tweiskoff Published on 10/20/2023 Category: MLB Picks

About the Author: Tim Weiskoff is a Las Vegas regular, has made his living wagering on sports since 1990 and has been one of the top handicappers in the industry for more than 10 years.

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Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#PhiladelphiaPhillies#ArizonaDiamondbacks

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Phillies vs Diamondbacks archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Phillies vs Diamondbacks matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies-126 → -133Moved
  • Moneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks+111 → +116Moved
  • Spread · Philadelphia Phillies-1.5 (+125) → -1.5 (+115)Moved
  • Spread · Arizona Diamondbacks+1.5 (-145) → +1.5 (-135)Moved
  • Total · Over9.5 (-110) → 9 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under9.5 (-110) → 9 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Philadelphia Phillies
88-74 matchup record · 9-1-0 ATS · 5-4-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Arizona Diamondbacks
86-76 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-20T06:14:54.531Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Pitching matchups may adjust depending on the outcome of Game 3. Arizona could use Zac Gallen on short rest if they lose. Neither team has included a fourth starter in the postseason. Phillies have a postseason experience advantage and have been dominating at the plate. Schwarber has been a powerhouse during the NLCS. The Phillies’ bullpen depth is critical, as Walker has been inactive for 3 weeks. Philadelphia is likely to gain the lead and close the game with the bullpen.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-10-19Philadelphia Phillies 1 · Arizona Diamondbacks 2
  • 2023-10-17Arizona Diamondbacks 0 · Philadelphia Phillies 10
  • 2023-10-16Arizona Diamondbacks 3 · Philadelphia Phillies 5
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Arizona Diamondbacks defeated Philadelphia Phillies 6-5

Arizona Diamondbacks defeated Philadelphia Phillies 6-5 on October 20, 2023, a 1-run decision in the series. Arizona Diamondbacks' strongest period was the 8th inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+115) spread, Arizona Diamondbacks covered, while the 11 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 9.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • BtMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -131Loss
  • JohnTharpRunline · Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 (-140)Win
  • ryry663Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -131Loss
  • ryry663Runline · Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (+120)Loss
  • DouwannaMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -127Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks +113Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 9.5 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -127Loss
  • CoversMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -128Loss
  • FatherFirstMoneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks +114Win
  • FatherFirstRunline · Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 (-140)Win