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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers
Wed 7:30 PM ET
New York Mets logo
New York
Mets3
S. Manaea LHP
versus
Milwaukee Brewers logo
Milwaukee
Brewers5
F. MONTAS RHP
Final
Team123456789T
New York Mets1200000003
Milwaukee Brewers10001003—

New York Mets Favored to Advance as Milwaukee Brewers face Elimination in NL Wild Card Round

Game time: October 2, 2024 at 7:30 PM ET

Venue: American Family Field — Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Article updated Oct 2, 6:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The National League Wild Card Round continues with the Milwaukee Brewers facing elimination after a loss to the New York Mets. The upcoming game will feature a pitching

Game outlook

The National League Wild Card Round continues with the Milwaukee Brewers facing elimination after a loss to the New York Mets. The upcoming game will feature a pitching matchup between Sean Manaea and Frankie Montas at American Family Field. The Mets are the betting favorite for this crucial game.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mets +103 | Brewers -115

Spread: Mets +1.5 (-198) | Brewers -1.5 (+173)

Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 51%.

New York Mets

The New York Mets have secured a playoff spot after fighting their way back from a rough start to the season. In their recent game against Milwaukee, they showed resilience by overcoming deficits and getting a solid performance from both their offense and pitching. Pitcher Luis Severino stood out with a strong outing, helping give the bullpen some rest. Sean Manaea is set to start the next game, coming off a successful regular season where he was one of the top pitchers in the league. The Mets have a power ranking of 10, with a strong offense and solid defense, and a record of 90-73 for the season.

Milwaukee Brewers Analysis

The Milwaukee Brewers suffered an 8-4 defeat against the New York Mets, despite out-hitting them. Pitcher Joel Payamps took the loss, giving up three earned runs in relief. Manager Pat Murphy's decision to pull starter Freddy Peralta early was questioned as the bullpen struggled. Frankie Montas is set to start the next game for the Brewers. Milwaukee ranks 16th in power rankings, boasting a strong offense and defense. In their last three matchups, New York went 1-2 against Milwaukee.

5
MLB · New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers

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Mets Favored in Wednesday's Showdown with Brewers After Strong Performance

Wednesday's game is considered a toss-up by oddsmakers, with New York priced at -108 on the moneyline and Milwaukee at -106. Despite New York's momentum from their 8-4 win on Tuesday, Milwaukee holds a 5-2 head-to-head advantage in the overall season series. At this time, the favor leans towards New York due to their recent strong performance and experience with high-pressure situations. The statistics also seem to support New York's potential success, with their red-hot offense ranking well in key categories over the last 14 days. Concerns about Frankie Montas' performance further solidify New York as the preferred choice for this matchup. With a well-rested bullpen, New York appears well-positioned to claim victory in this game and advance to the NLDS against the Phillies. Therefore, the Mets are the recommended pick on the money line.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NewYorkMets#MilwaukeeBrewers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mets vs Brewers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mets vs Brewers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · New York Mets-109 → +118Moved
  • Moneyline · Milwaukee Brewers-108 → -132Moved
  • Spread · New York Mets-1.5 (+146) → +1.5 (-190)Moved
  • Spread · Milwaukee Brewers+1.5 (-176) → -1.5 (+165)Moved
  • Total · Over7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

New York Mets
89-73 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Milwaukee Brewers
92-68 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-10-02T10:35:11.058Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-10-01New York Mets 8 · Milwaukee Brewers 4
  • 2024-09-29New York Mets 5 · Milwaukee Brewers 0
  • 2024-09-28New York Mets 0 · Milwaukee Brewers 6
  • 2024-09-27New York Mets 4 · Milwaukee Brewers 8
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Milwaukee Brewers defeated New York Mets 5-3

Milwaukee Brewers defeated New York Mets 5-3 on October 2, 2024, a 2-run decision in the series. Milwaukee Brewers' strongest period was the 8th inning, when it outscored its opponent 3-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded New York Mets +1.5 (-190) spread, Milwaukee Brewers covered, while the 8 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 7.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • DpxsportsMoneyline · New York Mets -107Loss
  • MikeVargasMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -107Win
  • Rushmo16Moneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -105Win
  • AliencreationMoneyline · New York Mets -109Loss
  • DrfeelgoodMoneyline · New York Mets -109Loss
  • DerekFisherMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -105Win
  • Amp2224Moneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -115Win
  • JohnTharpRunline · New York Mets +1.5 (-198)Loss
  • JohnTharpMoneyline · New York Mets +103Loss
  • 893674868Moneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -115Win
  • 1118240754Total · Under 7.5 (-110)Loss