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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Arizona Diamondbacks vs Philadelphia Phillies
Mon 8:07 PM ET
Arizona Diamondbacks logo
Arizona
Diamondbacks3
Z. Gallen RHP · 19–9, 3.46 ERA
versus
Philadelphia Phillies logo
Philadelphia
Phillies5
Z. Wheeler RHP · 14–6, 3.47 ERA
Final
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Arizona Diamondbacks0000021003
Philadelphia Phillies

Phillies Secure 4-3 Regular Season Series Win Over Diamondbacks; Arizona Remains Undefeated in Postseason Play Ahead of Monday's NLCS Matchup

Game time: October 16, 2023 at 8:07 PM ET

Venue: Citizens Bank Park — Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Article updated Oct 13, 6:35 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Phillies won the season series 4-3. On Monday, the Diamondbacks and Phillies will face off in the NLCS at 8:08 pm

Game outlook

The Phillies won the season series 4-3. On Monday, the Diamondbacks and Phillies will face off in the NLCS at 8:08 pm EST.

Game Info

When: Monday, 10/16/2023 @ 8:07pm EST

Where: Citizens Bank Park Stadium Diamondbacks vs Phillies Betting Odds Moneyline: Diamondbacks +143 | Phillies -162

Spread: Diamondbacks +1.5 (-150) | Phillies -1.5 (+130)

Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Philadelphia will win straight-up is 62%.

Arizona Diamondbacks

Zac Gallen will be on the mound for his third start of the postseason. Gallen was impressive in his first outing against the Brewers in the wildcard, limiting them to two runs in six innings in a 5-2 win. Against the Dodgers in game one of the NLDS, he conceded two runs in 5.1 innings in a 4-2 victory, bringing his regular season stats to a 3.47 ERA and 1.12 WHIP with a 17-9 record in 210 innings pitched. His history versus the Phillies is positive with a 2.22 ERA and 3-1 record in 24.1 innings.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are the Cinderella team in this year's postseason. They won each of their games by at least two runs, totaling 13 home runs in the process. They are hitting .282 with 15 RBIs and a .824 OPS with RISP. Christian Walker has been a key to their success, collecting at least one RBI in each game and boasting one homer with five RBIs along with a 1.023 OPS. He had four RBIs and a .788 OPS in seven games against the Phillies and is 9 for 17 with four RBIs and a 1.4 OPS against Wheeler.

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MLB · Arizona Diamondbacks at Philadelphia Phillies

Your Picks on Diamondbacks vs Phillies

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21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

The Diamondbacks have an average rating of 89-78, an offensive rank of #13 (4.65 points per game) and defensive rank of #20 (allowing an average of 4.62 points to be scored against them per game).

Gallen has a 3.47 ERA and 1.12 WHIP with a 17-9 record in 210 innings pitched Arizona is 14 in power ranking with 13 in offense and 20 in defense Diamondbacks are 89-78 this season Christian Walker boasts one homer with five RBIs along with a 1.023 OPS TIME TO PARTY. 🍾 pic.twitter.com/VNs9Wq5Onu

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

Zack Wheeler will be pitching in the pivotal game against the Arizona Diamondbacks on Monday evening. Wheeler has been terrific in the playoffs, with a 3.61 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and 13-6 record in 192 innings pitched this season. He had a 1-1 record and 5 runs allowed (4 earned) in the 12 innings he pitched against Arizona in the regular season. Nick Castellanos has been providing a lot of support to the team with his batting this postseason. He has 4 RBIs and a 1.44 OPS in 6 playoff games and against Arizona he has recorded 4 RBIs and a .669 OPS. In his 28 career playoff games, Castellanos has 13 RBIs and a .720 OPS. #8 offense (4.93 avg run/game) #11 defense (4.34 avg pt/game) 95-73 overall 3-0 in their last 3 DXB matchups JOHAN ROJAS, YOU BEAUTIFUL HUMAN pic.twitter.com/DLWja1CH0K

Arizona Diamondbacks Show Brilliance in Postseason Play, Remaining Undefeated and a +1.5 Favorite

The Arizona Diamondbacks have been impressive in the postseason, winning all five games and outscoring the Brewers and Dodgers 19-6. The team's stellar pitching has allowed three or fewer runs in every game, and Zach Gallen has seen success against the Phillies, boasting a 2.22 ERA and 3-1 record in 24.1 innings against them. Arizona was able to muster four runs in their first matchup this year. The D-Backs have won their four road playoff games and are a +1.5 favorite.

Written by Jtpham Published on 10/14/2023 Category: MLB Picks

About the Author: I apply several statistical and situational models to find the best probable winners with the highest percentage odds of winning and that offers the best chance of making a profit.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#ArizonaDiamondbacks#PhiladelphiaPhillies

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Diamondbacks vs Phillies archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Diamondbacks vs Phillies matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks+141 → +144Moved
  • Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies-164 → -165Moved
  • Spread · Arizona Diamondbacks+1.5 (-155) → +1.5 (-145)Moved
  • Spread · Philadelphia Phillies-1.5 (+135) → -1.5 (+125)Moved
  • Total · Over7.5 (-110) → 7 (-110)Moved
  • Total · Under7.5 (-110) → 7 (-110)Moved

ATS and O/U trends

Arizona Diamondbacks
91-74 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 2-8-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Philadelphia Phillies
95-73 matchup record · 7-3-0 ATS · 4-5-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-13T22:35:05.546Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

No completed head-to-head result is available in the current history window.

Final result

Matchup pick recap

Philadelphia Phillies defeated Arizona Diamondbacks 5-3

Philadelphia Phillies defeated Arizona Diamondbacks 5-3 on October 16, 2023, a 2-run decision in the series. Philadelphia Phillies' strongest period was the 1st inning, when it outscored its opponent 2-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 (-145) spread, Philadelphia Phillies covered, while the 8 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 7.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JwMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -164Win
  • DrfeelgoodMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -166Win
  • BadmanMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -166Win
  • JtphamMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +145Win
  • EmcMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -166Win
  • Josh720Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +145Win
  • 2387960509Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -166Win
  • JohnmiznerMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -168Win
  • Mahomie15Total · Under 7.5 (-110)Loss
  • BooksworstnightmareRunline · Arizona Diamondbacks +1.5 (-150)Loss
  • FatherFirstMoneyline · Arizona Diamondbacks +145Loss
  • FatherFirstTotal · Under 7 (-110)Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -163Win
  • CoolioTotal · Over 7 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -163Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 7 (-110)Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -163Win
  • Douwanna
Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -163
Win
  • DouwannaTotal · Under 7 (-110)Loss
  • Flyerscott67Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -164Win