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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians
Sat 1:08 PM ET
Detroit Tigers logo
Detroit
Tigers3
T. Skubal LHP · 19–4, 2.24 ERA
versus
Cleveland Guardians logo
Cleveland
Guardians7
M. Boyd LHP · 2–2, 2.44 ERA
Final
Team123456789T
Detroit Tigers0000111003
Cleveland Guardians0000

Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: October 12, 2024 at 1:08 PM ET

Venue: Progressive Field — Cleveland, Ohio

Article updated Oct 11, 6:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians will face off in a crucial Game 5 of the ALDS on Saturday afternoon. The Guardians forced the series to the deciding game with a

Game outlook

The Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians will face off in a crucial Game 5 of the ALDS on Saturday afternoon. The Guardians forced the series to the deciding game with a 5-4 victory in Game 4. Cy Young candidate Tarik Skubal will start for the Tigers, while Matthew Boyd is the likely starter for the Guardians. The winner will advance to the ALCS, while the loser's season will come to an end. First pitch is scheduled for 1:08 EST at Progressive Field. Detroit is currently the favorite to win, with a betting line of -119.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Tigers -119 | Guardians +104

Spread: Tigers -1.5 (+160) | Guardians +1.5 (-181)

Total: Over/Under 6 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Detroit will win straight-up is 54%.

Detroit Tigers

The Tigers were unable to hold onto a one-run lead in a tight contest on Thursday, forcing them to return to Cleveland to try and close out the series. Despite the loss, Detroit's pitching has been strong in the postseason with a 2.55 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over six games, including two shutouts. Manager A.J. Hinch praised Tarik Skubal's performance in their last game, where he struck out eight and allowed just three hits in seven scoreless innings. Detroit's offense has also been strong, scoring three or more runs in their last three games. Wencell Perez has been a standout player, hitting .313 in the postseason. The team as a whole has a .226 batting average in the playoffs. In terms of rankings, Detroit is #21 in offense, #4 in defense, and has a season record of 76-86. In terms of injuries, OF Kerry Carpenter is day-to-day with a hamstring injury, and C Jake Rogers is also day-to-day with wrist/forearm issues.

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MLB · Detroit Tigers at Cleveland Guardians

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Cleveland Guardians Analysis

The Guardians put up a strong fight in Thursday's game, breaking a two-game scoreless streak with a win. Steven Kwan had a standout performance, going 3-for-5 with two runs scored. The team raised their postseason batting average to .211. Pitching recorded 10 strikeouts despite allowing nine hits and four walks. The bullpen has a 2.89 ERA in the postseason. Cleveland's pitchers have struck out 42 Tigers in 35 innings. Tyler Freeman is day-to-day with an oblique injury. Cleveland is ranked 13th overall and 14th for offense, scoring an average of 4.36 runs per game. They have a strong defense, giving up an average of 3.82 runs per game. Detroit recently went 1-2 against Cleveland.

Injuries Loom Over Game 5 as Detroit Tigers Prepare to Face Cleveland in Deciding Match

The upcoming Game 5 will be crucial for both teams, with Detroit facing some challenges due to injuries. Kerry Carpenter, a key player in Game 2, may not be able to participate in the deciding game due to a hamstring issue. Additionally, Rogers, Skubal's catcher, sustained hand injuries during a recent game. Although x-rays came back negative, Rogers is experiencing soreness and may not be able to play at full capacity. This potential absence could negatively impact Skubal's performance. Cleveland is wary of facing Skubal again, given his prowess in both the regular season and playoffs. Regardless, Detroit's success in the series relies on Skubal's pitching and the team's offensive execution. Betting against a top pitcher like Skubal would be unwise, making the Tigers a strong choice to advance to the ALCS.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#DetroitTigers#ClevelandGuardians

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Tigers vs Guardians archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Tigers vs Guardians matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Detroit Tigers-122 → -112Moved
  • Moneyline · Cleveland Guardians+110 → -105Moved
  • Spread · Detroit Tigers-1.5 (+155) → -1.5 (+163)Moved
  • Spread · Cleveland Guardians+1.5 (-176) → +1.5 (-183)Moved
  • Total · Over6 (-110) → 6 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under6 (-110) → 6 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Detroit Tigers
76-86 matchup record · 6-4-0 ATS · 2-7-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Cleveland Guardians
85-77 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 2-7-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-10-11T10:35:24.565Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

The Tigers were unable to hold onto a one-run lead in a tight contest on Thursday, forcing them to return to Cleveland to try and close out the series. Despite the loss, Detroit's pitching has been strong in the postseason with a 2.55 ERA and 1.00 WHIP over six games, including two shutouts. Manager A.J. Hinch praised Tarik Skubal's performance in their last game, where he struck out eight and allowed just three hits in seven scoreless innings. Detroit's offense has also been strong, scoring three or more runs in their last three games. Wencell Perez has been a standout player, hitting .313 in the postseason. The team as a whole has a .226 batting average in the playoffs. In terms of rankings, Detroit is #21 in offense, #4 in defense, and has a season record of 76-86. In terms of injuries, OF Kerry Carpenter is day-to-day with a hamstring injury, and C Jake Rogers is also day-to-day with wrist/forearm issues.

The Guardians put up a strong fight in Thursday's game, breaking a two-game scoreless streak with a win. Steven Kwan had a standout performance, going 3-for-5 with two runs scored. The team raised their postseason batting average to .211. Pitching recorded 10 strikeouts despite allowing nine hits and four walks. The bullpen has a 2.89 ERA in the postseason. Cleveland's pitchers have struck out 42 Tigers in 35 innings. Tyler Freeman is day-to-day with an oblique injury. Cleveland is ranked 13th overall and 14th for offense, scoring an average of 4.36 runs per game. They have a strong defense, giving up an average of 3.82 runs per game. Detroit recently went 1-2 against Cleveland.

The upcoming Game 5 will be crucial for both teams, with Detroit facing some challenges due to injuries. Kerry Carpenter, a key player in Game 2, may not be able to participate in the deciding game due to a hamstring issue. Additionally, Rogers, Skubal's catcher, sustained hand injuries during a recent game. Although x-rays came back negative, Rogers is experiencing soreness and may not be able to play at full capacity. This potential absence could negatively impact Skubal's performance. Cleveland is wary of facing Skubal again, given his prowess in both the regular season and playoffs. Regardless, Detroit's success in the series relies on Skubal's pitching and the team's offensive execution. Betting against a top pitcher like Skubal would be unwise, making the Tigers a strong choice to advance to the ALCS.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-10-10Cleveland Guardians 5 · Detroit Tigers 4
  • 2024-10-09Cleveland Guardians 0 · Detroit Tigers 3
  • 2024-10-07Detroit Tigers 3 · Cleveland Guardians 0
  • 2024-10-05Detroit Tigers 0 · Cleveland Guardians 7
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Cleveland Guardians defeated Detroit Tigers 7-3

Cleveland Guardians defeated Detroit Tigers 7-3 on October 12, 2024, a 4-run decision in the series. Cleveland Guardians' strongest period was the 5th inning, when it outscored its opponent 5-1. Against SportsJaw's recorded Detroit Tigers -1.5 (+163) spread, Cleveland Guardians covered, while the 10 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 6.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • VegaspatMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians +110Win
  • JwTotal · Under 6 (-110)Loss
  • Roderick806Total · Over 6 (-110)Win
  • RcMoneyline · Detroit Tigers -122Loss
  • JaredkuntzMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians +110Win
  • JaredkuntzTotal · Over 6 (-110)Win
  • RcollinsTotal · Over 6 (-110)Win
  • TphamMoneyline · Detroit Tigers -124Loss
  • DrfeelgoodMoneyline · Detroit Tigers -124Loss
  • BjenkinsMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians +106Win
  • MikehuffMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians +106Win
  • Teddy718Moneyline · Detroit Tigers -124Loss
  • IrishblueMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians +106Win
  • FlyigglesflyMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians +107Win
  • Roderick806Moneyline · Detroit Tigers -120Loss
  • NutinbutlocksMoneyline · Detroit Tigers -120Loss
  • JamescashiolaTotal · Under 6 (-110)Loss
  • RoycejacobsMoneyline · Cleveland Guardians +100Win