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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies
Wed 5:07 PM ET
Atlanta Braves logo
Atlanta
Braves2
B. Elder RHP
versus
Philadelphia Phillies logo
Philadelphia
Phillies10
A. Nola RHP
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Team123456789T
Atlanta Braves0010010002
Philadelphia Phillies006011

Phillies Even Up Series with Braves 1-1 in Game 2; Important Showdown Looms in Game 3

Game time: October 11, 2023 at 5:07 PM ET

Venue: Citizens Bank Park — Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Article updated Oct 10, 2:35 AM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

Atlanta currently leads the season series 8-5 and is 6-4 in their last 10 games against the Phillies. Both teams are coming off of win Game 2 of the NLDS, so the series is

Game outlook

Atlanta currently leads the season series 8-5 and is 6-4 in their last 10 games against the Phillies. Both teams are coming off of win Game 2 of the NLDS, so the series is tied 1-1. It’s an important Game 3 for Braves and Phillies as the winner will take a lead in the NLDS.

Game Info

When: Wednesday, 10/11/2023 @ 5:07pm EST

Where: Citizens Bank Park Stadium Braves vs Phillies Betting Odds Moneyline: Braves +107 | Phillies -124

Spread: Braves +1.5 (-181) | Phillies -1.5 (+160)

Total: Over/Under 9 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Philadelphia will win straight-up is 55%.

Atlanta Braves

The Atlanta Braves have been on a roll in this short series against the Philadelphia Phillies, having won their most recent game 5-4 to even up the series. Atlanta is averaging 2.5 runs per game in the playoffs, with Travis d'Arnaud leading the squad with a .333 batting average, one home run, and two RBI. While the pitching has also been strong, allowing an average of 3.5 runs per game, Atlanta will need their pitchers to perform well on their next outing in order to come out on top. Ranked 20th overall, the Braves are 1st in offense (averaging 5.81 runs per game) and 14th in defense (allowing an average of 4.41 points per game). With a record of 105-59 this season, the Braves will hope that this is enough to ensure their victory.

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MLB · Atlanta Braves at Philadelphia Phillies

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21+. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Picks are opinions, not guarantees. Past results do not predict future outcomes.

Philadelphia Phillies Analysis

The Philadelphia Phillies have been performing well this season, as evidenced by a 93-73 overall record and a power ranking of 10. Their offense is ranked at #8, averaging 4.5 runs per game in the playoffs, and Trea Turner leads the team with a .375 batting average. J.T. Realmuto leads the team with two home runs and Bryson Stott has seven RBI. The Phillies’ defense is ranking in at #11, only giving up an average of 1.75 runs per game in the playoffs. In his last start, Nola gave up three hits and no runs in seven innings and the team won 7-1. The team suffered their first playoff loss on Monday and will look to bounce back from the defeat with a win on Wednesday. In their last three games against the Atlanta Braves, the Phillies went 2-1. Philadelphia will need a similar effort from Nola if they wish to get the win on Wednesday.

Phillies On Fire Heading Into Showdown Against Poorly Performing Braves and Nola

The Phillies have won four of their last five games and are in good form offensively, scoring 15 runs in their last three games. Atlanta's Bryce Elder, who has had some issues in the second half of the season (allowing 13 runs in his last three starts and four runs in his last start against the Phillies), could be the starter. Since the Phillies are strong against right-handers, look for them to keep up the offense. The Braves, meanwhile, have lost three of their last five and have put up only five runs through two games in this series. Additionally, Philadelphia's Nola has been keeping the Braves in check recently, allowing only three runs in his last three starts and two in his two starts against them. Therefore, we recommend Philadelphia to cover the money line.

Written by Gsimms Published on 10/10/2023 Category: MLB Picks

About the Author: I use a private handicapping system that I've created and adjusted over the last 20 years. My betting philosophy is discipline and bankroll management.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#AtlantaBraves#PhiladelphiaPhillies

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Braves vs Phillies archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Braves vs Phillies matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · Atlanta Braves+108 → +107Moved
  • Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies-122 → -120Moved
  • Spread · Atlanta Braves+1.5 (-185) → +1.5 (-182)Moved
  • Spread · Philadelphia Phillies-1.5 (+150) → -1.5 (+162)Moved
  • Total · Over9 (-110) → 9 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under9 (-110) → 9 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

Atlanta Braves
104-59-1 matchup record · 3-7-0 ATS · 6-4-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Philadelphia Phillies
93-73 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 4-5-1 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2023-10-10T06:35:06.225Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

No verified injury or availability note was included in the published matchup research.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2023-10-09Philadelphia Phillies 4 · Atlanta Braves 5
  • 2023-10-07Philadelphia Phillies 3 · Atlanta Braves 0
  • 2023-09-20Philadelphia Phillies 6 · Atlanta Braves 5
  • 2023-09-19Philadelphia Phillies 3 · Atlanta Braves 9
  • 2023-09-18Philadelphia Phillies 7 · Atlanta Braves 1
Final result

Matchup pick recap

Philadelphia Phillies defeated Atlanta Braves 10-2

Philadelphia Phillies defeated Atlanta Braves 10-2 on October 11, 2023, a 8-run decision in the series. Philadelphia Phillies' strongest period was the 3rd inning, when it outscored its opponent 6-1. Against SportsJaw's recorded Atlanta Braves +1.5 (-182) spread, Philadelphia Phillies covered, while the 12 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 9.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • EmcMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +107Win
  • 1735203231Moneyline · Atlanta Braves +107Loss
  • DoclocksMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -124Win
  • MoneymouthMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -124Win
  • PremierPicksTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • JohnnywalkerTotal · Under 9 (-110)Loss
  • JeffjacksonMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -124Win
  • StevedTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • Barry713Moneyline · Atlanta Braves +107Loss
  • TgodfreyMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +107Loss
  • StevehTotal · Under 9 (-110)Loss
  • MickeytTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • Hustle$Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +107Win
  • VegaspatMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -124Win
  • HitmanhartMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -124Win
  • KrockpicksMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +107
Win
  • AdrianMariucciTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • CoversMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +109Loss
  • BrycetMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +109Loss
  • MiamimikeTotal · Under 9 (-110)Loss
  • Sammy52Total · Under 9 (-110)Loss
  • Sammy52Moneyline · Atlanta Braves +109Loss
  • VfernandezMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +109Loss
  • JtmcentireMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -124Win
  • TphamMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -124Win
  • DrfeelgoodMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +109Win
  • Tbone91Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -124Win
  • Mickey619Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -124Win
  • JtgarciaMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +109Loss
  • RcollinsMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -124Win
  • JamescashiolaMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +109Loss
  • FlyigglesflyMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies +109Win
  • DemarcusBryantMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -124Win
  • MtgoldsteinMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +109Loss
  • Lockpicker69Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -124Win
  • IroncladlocksTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • IroncladlocksMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +109Loss
  • JtphamMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -124Win
  • RainmanMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +109Loss
  • SimonsaysTotal · Under 9 (-110)Loss
  • MookiebetsTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • BluedevilMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +109Loss
  • MookiebetsMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +109Loss
  • NutinbutlocksMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -124Win
  • Josh720Moneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -124Win
  • RoycejacobsMoneyline · Philadelphia Phillies -124Win
  • AliencreationMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +109Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +110Loss
  • CoolioTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win
  • OddssharkMoneyline · Atlanta Braves +110Loss
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 9 (-110)Win