New York Mets vs
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Milwaukee Brewers Favored as MLB's Wild Card Round Kicks Off Against New York Mets in Game One showdown

The MLB's Wild Card Round kicks off on Tuesday with the New York Mets facing off against the Milwaukee Brewers in game one of their National League series. The Mets, with a record of 89-73, will have Luis Severino on the mound, while the 93-69 Brewers will start Freddy Peralta. The game is set to begin at 5:32 ET at American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI, with the Brewers opening as the favorite at -137 and the current line sitting at Milwaukee -141.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Mets +127 | Brewers -141
• Spread: Mets +1.5 (-177) | Brewers -1.5 (+156)
• Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Milwaukee will win straight-up is 59%.

New York vs Milwaukee Stats

New York Mets

The New York Mets started the season poorly but finished strong, under manager Carlos Mendoza, securing a playoff spot in an epic 9-8 win against the Braves. Despite a 3-0 loss in the second game of a doubleheader, the team had already clinched their spot in the postseason and utilized a "b-team" lineup. Francisco Lindor had a standout season offensively, leading in multiple categories. The Mets are currently +950 to win the National League and +2000 to win the World Series, with odds ranking them third-longest among playoff teams. With a power ranking of 10, the team ranks 7th in offense, 15th in defense, and has a record of 89-73 for the season. The starting pitcher for the playoff games is yet to be determined.

Milwaukee Brewers Analysis

Despite significant departures and injuries, the Milwaukee Brewers managed to clinch the N.L. Central title under the leadership of Manager Pat Murphy. They finished the regular season with a record of 93-69, earning them the third seed in the National League and a spot in the wild card series. The team is priced at +1800 to win the World Series and +800 to win the National League. The Brewers had a strong offensive performance throughout the season, finishing in the top 10 in several categories, including team batting average and OPS. On the pitching front, they were fifth in ERA and ninth in WHIP. Their power ranking is 16, ranking #6 for offense and #4 for defense. Their recent form has been positive, winning five of their final seven games. Despite a season-ending loss to the Mets, the Brewers have shown resilience and potential heading into the postseason.

MLB Wild Card Series Game One Pitching Matchup Still Unconfirmed, Brewers Likely to Start Freddy Peralta against Luis Severino from Mets

As of the present moment, the MLB's probable pitchers page has not yet confirmed the starting pitching matchup for game one of the wild card series. However, there have been indications that it will likely be Luis Severino from the New York Mets against Freddy Peralta from the Milwaukee Brewers. Based on this information, my analysis will move forward assuming this will be the matchup.

In my assessment, I am inclined to support the Milwaukee Brewers in game one on Tuesday. The Brewers have had ample time for rest since Sunday, ensuring that their bullpen will be fully prepared. On the other hand, the New York Mets have undergone significant travel in recent days, which may put them at a disadvantage. Additionally, the Brewers have demonstrated their strength as a home team this season with a record of 47-34 SU. Considering their dominant head-to-head performance against the Mets, my decision to support the Brewers at home in game one is well-founded.

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