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  1. Home
  2. MLB Picks
  3. New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers
Tue 5:30 PM ET
New York Mets logo
New York
Mets8
L. Severino RHP
versus
Milwaukee Brewers logo
Milwaukee
Brewers4
F. Peralta RHP
Final
Team123456789T
New York Mets0300500008
Milwaukee Brewers200200000

New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers Betting Picks & Predictions

Game time: October 1, 2024 at 5:30 PM ET

Venue: American Family Field — Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Article updated Oct 1, 6:00 PM EDT

Published by SportsJaw Editorial Team

The MLB's Wild Card Round kicks off on Tuesday with the New York Mets facing off against the Milwaukee Brewers in game one of their National League series. The Mets, with a

Game outlook

The MLB's Wild Card Round kicks off on Tuesday with the New York Mets facing off against the Milwaukee Brewers in game one of their National League series. The Mets, with a record of 74-88, will have Luis Severino on the mound, while the 93-69 Brewers will start Freddy Peralta. The game is set to begin at 5:32 ET at American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI, with the Brewers opening as the favorite at -137 and the current line sitting at Milwaukee -141.

Betting Odds

Moneyline: Mets +127 | Brewers -141

Spread: Mets +1.5 (-177) | Brewers -1.5 (+156)

Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Milwaukee will win straight-up is 59%.

New York Mets

The New York Mets started the season poorly but finished strong, under manager Carlos Mendoza, securing a playoff spot in an epic 9-8 win against the Braves. Despite a 3-0 loss in the second game of a doubleheader, the team had already clinched their spot in the postseason and utilized a "b-team" lineup. Francisco Lindor had a standout season offensively, leading in multiple categories. The Mets are currently +950 to win the National League and +2,000 to win the World Series, with odds ranking them third-longest among playoff teams. With a power ranking of 10, the team ranks 7th in offense, 15th in defense, and has a record of 89-73 for the season. The starting pitcher for the playoff games is yet to be determined.

4
MLB · New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers

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Milwaukee Brewers Analysis

Despite significant departures and injuries, the Milwaukee Brewers managed to clinch the N.L. Central title under the leadership of Manager Pat Murphy. They finished the regular season with a record of 93-69, earning them the third seed in the National League and a spot in the wild card series. The team is priced at +1,800 to win the World Series and +800 to win the National League. The Brewers had a strong offensive performance throughout the season, finishing in the top 10 in several categories, including team batting average and OPS. On the pitching front, they were fifth in ERA and ninth in WHIP. Their power ranking is 16, ranking #6 for offense and #4 for defense. Their recent form has been positive, winning five of their final seven games. Despite a season-ending loss to the Mets, the Brewers have shown resilience and potential heading into the postseason.

MLB Wild Card Series Game One Pitching Matchup Still Unconfirmed, Brewers Likely to Start Freddy Peralta against Luis Severino from Mets

As of the present moment, the MLB's probable pitchers page has not yet confirmed the starting pitching matchup for game one of the wild card series. However, there have been indications that it will likely be Luis Severino from the New York Mets against Freddy Peralta from the Milwaukee Brewers. Based on this information, my analysis will move forward assuming this will be the matchup. In my assessment, I am inclined to support the Milwaukee Brewers in game one on Tuesday. The Brewers have had ample time for rest since Sunday, ensuring that their bullpen will be fully prepared. On the other hand, the New York Mets have undergone significant travel in recent days, which may put them at a disadvantage. Additionally, the Brewers have demonstrated their strength as a home team this season with a record of 47-34 SU. Considering their dominant head-to-head performance against the Mets, my decision to support the Brewers at home in game one is well-founded.

SportsJawGame Predictions
Predicted score

Unavailable for this preview

Projected winnerUnavailableConfidencelow
Pick on the Spread

Published pick: Unavailable

Pick on the Total

Published pick: Unavailable

#NewYorkMets#MilwaukeeBrewers

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Written by

SportsJaw Editorial Team

SportsJaw published this archived preview from its original game-day article. Its prediction and quoted lines are preserved as written.

About our editorial process

SportsJaw Mets vs Brewers archived game preview contains historical odds and availability that may no longer be current. View history of past Mets vs Brewers matchups or learn how our predictions work.

Current matchup data

Lines, trends and availability

Line movement since open

  • Moneyline · New York Mets+118 → +128Moved
  • Moneyline · Milwaukee Brewers-137 → -145Moved
  • Spread · New York Mets+1.5 (-188) → +1.5 (-174)Moved
  • Spread · Milwaukee Brewers-1.5 (+164) → -1.5 (+151)Moved
  • Total · Over7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged
  • Total · Under7.5 (-110) → 7.5 (-110)Unchanged

ATS and O/U trends

New York Mets
74-88 matchup record · 5-5-0 ATS · 5-5-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file
Milwaukee Brewers
103-59 matchup record · 4-6-0 ATS · 4-6-0 O/U
Last 10 completed games on file

Injuries and availability

From the published research (2024-10-01T22:00:38.773Z). Availability may have changed; review the cited sources.

Despite significant departures and injuries, the Milwaukee Brewers managed to clinch the N.L. Central title under the leadership of Manager Pat Murphy. They finished the regular season with a record of 93-69, earning them the third seed in the National League and a spot in the wild card series. The team is priced at +1800 to win the World Series and +800 to win the National League. The Brewers had a strong offensive performance throughout the season, finishing in the top 10 in several categories, including team batting average and OPS. On the pitching front, they were fifth in ERA and ninth in WHIP. Their power ranking is 16, ranking #6 for offense and #4 for defense. Their recent form has been positive, winning five of their final seven games. Despite a season-ending loss to the Mets, the Brewers have shown resilience and potential heading into the postseason.

Recent head-to-head

  • 2024-09-29New York Mets 5 · Milwaukee Brewers 0
  • 2024-09-28New York Mets 0 · Milwaukee Brewers 6
  • 2024-09-27New York Mets 4 · Milwaukee Brewers 8
Final result

Matchup pick recap

New York Mets defeated Milwaukee Brewers 8-4

New York Mets defeated Milwaukee Brewers 8-4 on October 1, 2024, a 4-run decision in the series. New York Mets' strongest period was the 5th inning, when it outscored its opponent 5-0. Against SportsJaw's recorded New York Mets +1.5 (-174) spread, New York Mets covered, while the 12 combined runs finished over the recorded total of 7.5.

SportsJaw editorial picks

  • Projected winnerNo published selectionUnavailable

Tipster picks

  • JtmcentireMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -139Loss
  • StevedMoneyline · New York Mets +122Win
  • KrockpicksTotal · Under 7.5 (-110)Loss
  • Mr_BiggsMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -139Loss
  • CoolioMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -141Loss
  • OddssharkMoneyline · New York Mets +127Win
  • OddssharkTotal · Over 7.5 (-110)Win
  • KryptonMoneyline · Milwaukee Brewers -141Loss
  • KryptonTotal · Under 7.5 (-110)Loss