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MLB PicksSun 3:10 PM ET
CH
Chicago0
D. Smyly LHP
versus
Milwaukee Brewers logo
Milwaukee
Brewers4
A. Houser RHP
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Chicago vs Milwaukee Brewers Predictions October 1, 2023: D. Smyly vs A. Houser

Game time: October 1, 2023 at 3:10 PM ET

Venue: American Family Field — Milwaukee, Wisconsin

Article updated Sep 30, 6:16 PM EDT

By SportsJaw Editorial Team

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Chicago Cubs, who have a season series of 6-5 with the Brewers in the lead, will end their regular season on

Game outlook

The Milwaukee Brewers and the Chicago Cubs, who have a season series of 6-5 with the Brewers in the lead, will end their regular season on Sunday.

Game Info

When: Sunday, 10/1/2023 @ 3:10pm EST

Where: American Family Field Stadium Cubs vs Brewers Betting Odds Moneyline: Cubs -114 | Brewers -106

Spread: Cubs -1.5 (+140) | Brewers +1.5 (-170)

Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)

Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Chicago will win straight-up is 53%.

Chicago Cubs

Justin Steele will get the nod to conclude the year. Steele was decent last time out, allowing three runs in 5.1 innings against the Braves, resulting in a no-decision in a game the Cubs lost. The Cubs ace has not been reliable in recent outings, issuing a 4.91 ERA this month but has posted a strong 3.06 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP accompanied by a 16-5 record in 173.1 innings on the year. Steele has limited the Brewers to three runs in 18 innings this season and has recorded a stellar 2.24 ERA and a 2-2 record in 13 meetings against the rivals.

Chicago had a shaky month of September which included a few costly losing streaks. They are 1.5 games out of the wildcard spot entering Saturday. The Cubs were dealt a costly sweep against the Braves prior to this series due to bad pitching and are 4-6 in their last ten games. Nico Hoerner lacks power but is reaching base, hitting a stellar .302 this month along with a .712 OPS. The 26-year-old second baseman is now hitting .283 with 68 RBIs and a respectable .729 OPS on the season. Hoerner is only hitting .178 with a .451 OPS against the Brewers pitching.

The Cubs have a power ranking of 12, are ranked 6th in offense (scoring an average of 5.07 runs per game), 16th in defense (allowing an average of 4.46 points to be scored against them per game) and are 82-78 this season.

Justin Steele has a 3.06 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP accompanied by a 16-5 record in 173.1 innings on the year. Nico Hoerner is now hitting .283 with 68 RBIs and a respectable .729 OPS on the season. Chicago has a power ranking of 12, ranked 6th in offense and 16th in defense. The Cubs are 82-78 this season. Fancy footwork! pic.twitter.com/34PPJUHlVK

Milwaukee Brewers Analysis

In the one matchup between Chicago's pitchers and Adrian Houser, Houser allowed just one run in five innings. William Contreras has been the key player for the Brewers, with 17 homeruns and 78 RBIs. Wrapping up the regular season, the Milwaukee Brewers will have Adrian Houser on the mound to finish things off. Despite Houser's only mediocre season, accumulating a 3.94 ERA this month, a 4.32 ERA, a 1.41 WHIP and a 7-5 record in 106.1 innings, his last outing saw him conceding only four runs (two earned) in five innings. He also performed well against the Cubs in their sole meeting earlier this season, giving up only one run in five innings. The Brewers have secured their postseason spot and had some time to rest players after winning the division. This was propelled by their outstanding pitching which has a 3.70 ERA, the best in the big leagues. To compare, the Brewers rank #17 for offense, scoring an average of 4.49 per game, and #1 for defense, giving up an average of 3.99 points per game, and have an overall record of 91-69. William Contreras, the 25-year-old catcher, has been the key player for the Brewers all season, with 17 homers, 78 RBIs and a .824 OPS. He has also performed well against the Cubs this season, collecting eight RBIs and a .745 OPS. Top of the order getting it done @ChristianYelich x @WContreras42 pic.twitter.com/AZGVADbuSx

Cubs Struggling on the Road as Brewers Ride High with Houser and Steele on the Mound

The Cubs have been facing difficulty on the road, losing nine of their last ten games, including the series opener on Friday. Meanwhile, the Brewers have won five consecutive home series and Adrian Houser has recorded an impressive 2.81 ERA this month with four of five outgoing games of two or fewer runs conceded. On the other hand, Justin Steele has not done as well, allowing 15 runs in 14.1 innings in his last three outings.

Written by Mrmister Published on 09/30/2023 Category: MLB Picks

About the Author: I've been betting on sports my whole life. I actually placed 4th in the Golden Nugget contest in Vegas in 2005, and placed 3rd in the Reserve Casino Contest in Vegas in 2002. Still enjoy handicapping and glad I found this platform to share my picks.

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