North Texas vs UTSA Predictions

North Texas is on the road playing UTSA at the Alamodome stadium on Friday, 12/2/2022 @ 7:30pm EST. UTSA -8.5 was the opening favorite and line hasn't moved.

North Texas looking to redeem loss to UTSA

This year, the North Texas Mean Green are 7-5. Last time the Mean Green stepped onto the field, they defeated the Rice Owls 21-17. On 16/29, Austin Aune threw for 203 yards and two touchdowns. During the game, he had a QB rate of 136.7 and did not throw a pick. Averaging 7.2 yards per carry, Ikaika Ragsdale led the Mean Green on the ground with 17 carries for 122 yards. Overall, they had 59 plays for 362 yards. North Texas Mean Green ran the ball 30 times for 159 yards, which earned them an average of 5.3 yards per carry. The Mean Green allowed 186 yards on 44 runs, which averages out to 4.2 yards per run. There were 13 completions on 22 tries for 229 yards, and a completion rate of 59.1% for North Texas.

The North Texas Mean Green average 34.5 points per game. They average 204.2 yards on the ground as a unit, which ranks 22nd in Division 1. As of this writing, the Mean Green have accumulated 5,664 total yards. North Texas has scored 31 touchdowns via the pass and 20 touchdowns via the ground. As a team, North Texas has accumulated 265 first downs and committed 60 infractions for 512 yards. 18 times, they have given the ball to the opposition.

With a power ranking of 67, North Texas is ranked #21 in offense (scoring an average of 35.73 per game), #109 in defense (allowing an average of 31.27 points to be scored against them per game) and are 7-5 (7-5 ATS) this season.

UTSA hoping to fend off Mean Green one more time

Roadrunners score 37.9 points per game, which ranks them 13th in college football. Since the beginning of the season, the Roadrunners have thrown for 3,668 passing yards and averaged 305.7 passing yards per game, ranking 13th in the country. Averaging 479.0 yards per game, the UTSA Roadrunners rank 13th in the country. According to the NCAA, UTSA's offense has accumulated 703 penalty yards on 82 violations, which is 29th in the country.

Currently, the Roadrunners are conceding 26.5 PPG, which places them 64th in Division 1. Since the start of the season, UTSA has allowed 1,794 yards rushing (149.5 yards per game) and 18 rushing touchdowns. In total, they have conceded 318 points this season. The team has given up 19 touchdowns through the air and 258.4 yards per game, ranking them 103rd in Division 1. In Division 1, the Roadrunners' defense has participated in 847 plays, ranking 96th.

UTSA Roadrunners has a power ranking of 20 and are #12 for offense (scoring an average of 38.27 per game), #65 for defense (giving up an average of 31.27 points per game) and 10-2 (6-6 ATS) overall. North Texas went 2-1 (1-2 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against UTSA.

North Texas Injuries

• RB Oscar Adaway III Is "?" Friday vs Tex San Antonio, Undisclosed
• DB Dorian Morris Is "?" Friday vs Tex San Antonio, Undisclosed
• WR Detraveon Brown Is out for season, ACL
• WR Latrell Neville Is "?" Friday vs Tex San Antonio, Undisclosed

UTSA Injuries

• RB Trelon Smith Is "?" Friday vs North Texas, Undisclosed
• RB Brenden Brady Is OUT Friday vs North Texas, Arm
• WR De'Corian Clark Is out for season, Leg
• RB De'Anthony Lewis Is out for season, Undisclosed

Curated Picks & Predictions

• Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be NTEXAS 42.5, UTSA 25.5.
• 56% of SportsJaw users predict North Texas Eagles to cover.
• OddsShark's prediction is North Texas will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.
• 60% picked UTSA Roadrunners on Covers.com
• SportsJaw's ScoreCaster prediction: Mean Green 28 to Roadrunners 46.

Staff Prediction

In their previous matchup this season, UTSA edged out the home win by four points. UTSA finished undefeated in C-USA play while UNT fell @ UTSA and @ UAB. QB Austin Aune for UNT has thrown for 31 TDs this season but has thrown 11 INTs. Both offenses are very balanced and the only noticeable advantages are Frank Harris and the Roadrunners run defense. Containing Frank Harris is a near impossible task and he has really become a good passing QB this season. Zakhari Franklin is an icredible asset outside and this UTSA offense is full of explosiveness. With that being said, UNT has enough on their side to keep up with UTSA. Take the Mean Green to grind out the cover.

Pick: UNT -8.5

Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NCAAF Predictions