NC State vs North Carolina

Fri Nov 25 3:30PM
30
Final/2OT
27
 123456TODDS
NCST71007333056
UNC370143027-6.5

NC State vs North Carolina Predictions

Published on

NC State is on the road playing North Carolina at the Kenan Memorial Stadium stadium on Friday, 11/25/2022 @ 3:30pm EST. North Carolina -6.5 was the opening favorite and line hasn't moved.

NC State wants a win in rivalry game

The NC State Wolfpack come into this matchup with a 7-4 record. The Wolfpack lost 25-10 to the Louisville Cardinals in their last matchup. Through the air, Ben Finley went 16/35 for 201 yards and a touchdown. He finished the game with 1 pick and a QB rate of 97.7. Houston led the Wolfpack in rushing with 8 carries for 41 yards (5.1 yds per carry). As of the final whistle, they had 73 plays for 291 yards. Averaging 2.5 yards per attempt, the NC State Wolfpack ran the ball 31 times for 77 yards. The Wolfpack allowed 192 yards on 39 rush attempts, averaging 4.9 yards per rush. On 25 attempts, NC State completed 12 passes for 153 yards, a completion percentage of 48.0%.

NC State Wolfpack average 24.9 points per game when it comes to scoring. On offense, they average 126.6 yards on the ground, which is 101st in the nation. For the year, the Wolfpack have gained 3,792 total yards. NC State has scored 21 touchdowns through the air and 7 touchdowns on the ground. The Wolfpack have accumulated 235 first downs as an offense, but they have been hurt by 81 penalties for 652 yards. Thirteen turnovers have been made.

With a power ranking of 66, NC State is ranked #83 in offense (scoring an average of 26.40 per game), #14 in defense (allowing an average of 18.10 points to be scored against them per game) and are 7-4 (3-8 ATS) this season.

North Carolina looking for 10 wins

The North Carolina Tar Heels average 492.7 yards per game, ranking 9th in the country. On 72 infractions, the North Carolina offense has racked up 636 yards of penalties, which ranks them 49th in college football. The Tar Heels have so far accumulated 3,618 passing yards and 328.9 throwing yards per game, which ranks 6th in Division 1. Currently, the Tar Heels rank 13th in D-1 in terms of scoring prowess, averaging 38.0 points per game.

105th in the country, the Tar Heels surrender 30.4 points per game. For the season, North Carolina has surrendered 1,977 rushing yards (179.7 yards per game) and 23 rushing touchdowns. They have surrendered 334 points this season. Despite allowing 22 touchdowns through the air and 273.2 yards per game, they sit 116th in Division 1. There have been 811 plays played by the Tar Heels defense, ranking them 114th in Division 1.

North Carolina Tar Heels has a power ranking of 38 and are #9 for offense (scoring an average of 40.10 per game), #111 for defense (giving up an average of 18.10 points per game) and 9-2 (5-5-1 ATS) overall. NC State went 2-1 (3-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against North Carolina.

NC State Injuries

  • QB Devin Leary Is out for season, Pectoral
  • DE Savion Jackson Is out for season, Knee
  • WR Anthony Smith Is out for season, Undisclosed

North Carolina Injuries

  • LB Noah Taylor Is out for season, Undisclosed
  • RB British Brooks Is out for season, Lower Body
  • WR Antoine Green Is "?" Friday vs NC State, Undisclosed
  • DL Raymond Vohasek Is out for season, Upper Body
  • WR Tylee Craft Is out indefinitely, Illness
  • DB Ja'Qurious Conley Is "?" Friday vs NC State, Knee
  • RB Caleb Hood Is "?" Friday vs NC State, Undisclosed

Curated Picks & Predictions

  • From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be NCST 34.5, UNC 21.5.
  • The SportsJaw community predicts NC State Wolfpack to cover (58%)
  • OddsShark predicts North Carolina will win, north carolina state will cover, and the total will go over.
  • 66% picked North Carolina Tar Heels on Covers.com
  • Our ScoreCaster predicts Wolfpack 27 to Tar Heels 34.

Staff Prediction

UNCs offense is just too good and though NC St will be able to get some stops, their own offense is not good at all. Maye will have to make some good decisions, but their offense will do just enough to get by thanks to the Leary-less Wolfpack. 

Pick: UNC -6.5

Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NCAAF Predictions

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1 LATEST CHATTER[ - ]

UNCs offense is just too good and though NC St will be able to get some stops, their own offense is not good at all. Maye will have to make some good decisions, but their offense will do just enough to get by thanks to the Leary-less Wolfpack.

UNC -6.5 (-110)

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