Southern Miss. vs Troy Predictions & Best Bets

Southern Miss. is on the road playing Troy at the Trojan Arena stadium on Thursday, 2/2/2023 @ 7:00pm EST. Troy is the betting favorite opening at -1.25 and the current line is Troy -1.5.

There will be a battle on the hardwood between teams from the Sun Belt in Yellowhammer State. This Thursday night, the Southern Miss Golden Eagles take their high-octane offense on the road to face the Troy Trojans. After beating Texas State 67-58 at home in their last contest, Southern Miss comes into this game as a 7.5-point favorite. In their last game, Troy was beaten 77-60 on the road by South Alabama, failing to cover as one-point underdogs. As far as the all-time series is concerned, the Golden Eagles hold a 6-1 advantage and have won the previous three meetings. One of those victories came on December 29, 2022, when the teams met at home for the first time this season.

A 20th win for the Southern Miss Golden Eagles is on the way

As a result of their win over Texas State at home last night, Southern Miss now has five straight wins. With an overall record of 19-4, the Golden Eagles enter this game tied for the top spot in the Sun Belt with Louisiana at 8-2. Southern Miss opened a 34-27 lead at intermission against Texas State with a 7-1 run at the end of the first half. With 3:23 remaining, the Golden Eagles rallied from a 55-53 deficit to win the game 14-3. With 24 points and seven rebounds, Austin Crowley led the way for Southern Miss with 24 points and eight of 22 three-pointers.

Troy Trojans are making an effort to return to form

In their most recent game, Troy lost for the second straight time and for the fourth time in the last five games. In the Sun Belt, the Trojans are tied for seventh with a 5-5 conference record after falling to 13-10 overall. Three minutes into the game, Troy fell behind 8-0 to South Alabama. The Trojans never got closer than 11 in the second half as the Jaguars held them at bay. The Trojans trailed by a dozen at halftime. The Trojans shot 41.7% from the field, including seven of 17 from three-point range, lost the rebounding battle 37-22, and allowed South Alabama to shoot 52.6%. Christyon Eugenel led the Trojans with 17 points.

In conference play, Troy has been very good defensively as they lead the Sun Belt in field goal percentage defense (39.3%). In conference play, the Trojans rank second in scoring defense (64.3 points per game), first in two-point defense (43.3%), second in threes allowed per game (5.2) and second in three-point defense (30.2%). They rank eleventh in scoring offense (65 points per game), twelveth in field goal percentage (40.7%), and twelveth in three-point shooting (30%) in Sun Belt play. In this season's opener, Southern Miss has already defeated Troy on both ends of the floor. As far as offense goes, the Golden Eagles boast a good balance and are capable of having a big night. This contest will be won by Southern Miss.

Golden Eagles vs Trojans Prediction for Today's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Trojans to win tonight's game by 9 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts Trojans to cover the 1.5 point spread and the total to go over 138 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Southern Miss. 69 to Troy 78

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Southern Miss. Golden Eagles and Troy Trojans, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

• From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be S.MISS 67.75, TROY 70.75.
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Troy will win straight-up is 54%.
• 54% of SportsJaw predicts Troy Trojans to cover.
• OddsShark has not made a prediction yet.
• 61% picked Troy Trojans on Covers.com

Southern Miss. Highlights

With a power ranking of 37, Southern Miss. is ranked #85 in offense (scoring an average of 75.77 per game), #39 in defense (allowing an average of 63.59 points to be scored against them per game) and are 19-4 (13-7 ATS) this season.

Troy Highlights

Troy Trojans has a power ranking of 258 and are #141 for offense (scoring an average of 73.77 per game), #66 for defense (giving up an average of 65.05 points per game) and 13-10 (11-9 ATS) overall. Southern Miss. went 0-3 (0-3 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Troy.

Southern Miss. Offensive Stats

• The Golden Eagles are ranked #85 in offense scoring an average of 75.77 per game.
• The Golden Eagles hit an average of 46.13% of their field goals (ranked #97 in the NCAAB) and 70.66% of their free throws (ranked #209 in the NCAAB) per game.
• Southern Miss. makes an average of 32.00% of their three pointers (ranked #292 in the NCAAB).
• Southern Miss. averages 38.41 rebounds per game (ranked # 44 in the NCAAB).
• The Golden Eagles average 15.32 offensive assists and 11.73 turnovers per game (ranked # 49 and 86 respectively).

Troy Offensive Stats

• The Trojans are ranked #85 in offense scoring an average of 75.77 per game.
• The Trojans hit an average of 44.27% of their field goals (ranked #202 in the NCAAB) and 71.39% of their free throws (ranked #182 in the NCAAB) per game.
• Troy makes an average of 32.04% of their three pointers (ranked #290 in the NCAAB).
• Troy averages 34.86 rebounds per game (ranked # 203 in the NCAAB).
• The Trojans average 14.32 offensive assists and 13.41 turnovers per game (ranked # 49 and 250 respectively).

Southern Miss. Defensive Stats

• The Golden Eagles are ranked #85 in offense scoring an average of 75.77 per game.
• The Golden Eagles hit an average of 40.80% of their field goals (ranked #54 in the NCAAB) and 68.77% of their free throws (ranked #88 in the NCAAB) per game.
• Southern Miss. makes an average of 31.56% of their three pointers (ranked #96 in the NCAAB).
• Southern Miss. averages 32.59 rebounds per game (ranked # 32.59 in the NCAAB).
• The Golden Eagles average 12.23 defensive assists and 15.36 turnovers per game (ranked # 150 and 48 respectively).

Troy Defensive Stats

• The Trojans are ranked #85 in offense scoring an average of 75.77 per game.
• The Trojans hit an average of 41.40% of their field goals (ranked #72 in the NCAAB) and 74.71% of their free throws (ranked #331 in the NCAAB) per game.
• Troy makes an average of 31.25% of their three pointers (ranked #79 in the NCAAB).
• Troy averages 34.09 rebounds per game (ranked # 34.09 in the NCAAB).
• The Trojans average 10.64 defensive assists and 16.59 turnovers per game (ranked # 150 and 27 respectively).

Betting Summary

• Golden Eagles has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).
• The Scorecaster model predicts Trojans to cover the 1.5 point spread and the total to go over 138 points.
• For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NCAAB experts.

Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NCAAB Predictions