Western Illinois Leathernecks vs
Valparaiso CrusadersPredictions & Preview

The Western Illinois Leathernecks are on the road playing the Valparaiso Crusaders at the Athletics-Recreation Center stadium on Tuesday, 11/21/2023 @ 8:00pm EST. Valparaiso is the betting favorite opening at -2.5 and the line hasn't moved.

Leathernecks vs Beacons Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and head to head stats, the Scorecaster predicts Beacons to win tonight's game by 1 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Western Illinois Leathernecks to cover the 2.5 point spread and the total to go over 140.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Western Illinois 74 to Valparaiso 75

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Western Illinois Leathernecks and Valparaiso Crusaders, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

• 51% of SportsJaw players predict Valparaiso Crusaders to cover the spread.
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Valparaiso will win straight-up is 60%.
• Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be W.ILL 67.75, VALPO 72.75.
• OddsShark's prediction is Valparaiso will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.
• split down the middle on Covers.com

Western Illinois Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 334, Western Illinois is ranked #253 in offense (scoring an average of 71.67 per game), #273 in defense (allowing an average of 75.67 points to be scored against them per game) and are 2-2 (1-2 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Leathernecks hit an average of 37.37% of their field goals (ranked #336) and 54.22% of their free throws (ranked #349) and makes an average of 28.21% of their three pointers ranked #289 in the NCAAB). They average 51.33 rebounds per game (ranked # 5) and average 11.33 offensive assists and 16.00 turnovers per game (ranked # 277 and 330 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Western Illinois allows an average of 38.50% field goals (ranked #88) and 69.49% free throws (ranked #176 in the NCAAB) The Leathernecks allow an average of 29.73% of the three pointers (ranked #131) and averages 42.67 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 42.67) Finally, the Leathernecks average 15.33 defensive assists and 9.33 turnovers per game (ranked # 311 and 340 respectively).

Valparaiso Key Betting Stats

Valparaiso Crusaders has a power ranking of 331 and are #224 for offense (scoring an average of 73.33 per game), #61 for defense (giving up an average of 62.00 points per game) and 2-2 (2-1 ATS) overall. Western Illinois went 3-0 (0-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Valparaiso.

For offense, the Beacons hit an average of 38.95% of their field goals (ranked #319) and 70.27% of their free throws (ranked #169) and makes an average of 29.85% of their three pointers (ranked #254 in the NCAAB). They average 41.33 rebounds per game (ranked # 94) and average 11.67 offensive assists and 11.00 turnovers per game (ranked # 264) and 112 respectively).

On defense, Valparaiso allows an average of 38.50% field goals (ranked #90) and 70.73% free throws (ranked #201 in the NCAAB) The Beacons allow an average of 22.81% of the three pointers (ranked #24) and averages 40.33 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 40.33) Finally, the Beacons average 9.33 defensive assists and 16.67 turnovers per game (ranked # 53 and 56 respectively).

Betting Summary

• Valparaiso has the advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).
• The Scorecaster model predicts the Western Illinois Leathernecks to cover the 2.5 point spread and the total to go over 140.5 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NCAAB Predictions