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Utah State vs Fresno St.

Sat Jan 28 7:00PM
70
Final
53
 12TODDS
UTST343670134.5
FRSNO282553+4

Utah State vs Fresno St. Basketball Picks & Predictions

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Utah State is on the road playing Fresno St. at the Save Mart Center stadium on Saturday, 1/28/2023 @ 7:00pm EST. Utah State -5.5 was the opening favorite and current line is Utah State -4.5.

In a Mountain West Conference game Saturday, the Utah State Aggies (16-5, 5-3 MWC) will visit Fresno, California and the Save Mart Center to play the Fresno State Bulldogs (7-12, 3-5 MWC). Utah State lost 85-75 to San Diego State on Wednesday, snapping a two-game winning streak. Four of the Bulldogs' last five games have ended in defeat for Fresno State, which was defeated 63-53 by Boise State on Tuesday night. Rylan Jones and Mason False are out for Utah State. Fresno State's Isaih Moore is questionable, while Joseph Hunter is out.

Utah State has a strong offense, but weakness on defense

With an average of 80.3 points per game (24th), Utah State makes 48.8% of field goals (17th) and 42.1% of threes (1st). The Aggies have a lot of sharpshooters on the outside. On defense, Utah State allows 71.8 points per game (250th) while opponents average 43.0% (162nd) overall and 38.0% (347th) from three-point range. Ashworth is the most proficient sharpshooter on the team with a 47.3% field goal shooting percentage and a 47.7% three-point shooting percentage, resulting in a 15.3 point average. Next in line is Taylor Funk, who averages 14.6 points per game while shooting 46.3% overall and 42.5% from long range.

Despite being weak with the ball, Fresno State plays tough defense

In addition to scoring 60.9 points per game (357th), Fresno State is shooting 42.4% (293rd) from the field and 28.4% (354th) from beyond the arc. On defense, the Bulldogs allow just 62.9 (30th) points per game and hold opponents to a 42.6% (151st) field goal shooting percentage and a 35.7% (295th) 3-point shooting percentage. With an average of 12.1 points per game, Isaih Moore leads Fresno State, but has missed each of the last three games because of concussion-like symptoms.

 Isaiah Moore, Fresno State's leading scorer and rebounder, hasn't played in each of the last three games. Even if Moore is able to play, concussion-like symptoms may prevent him from playing at 100%. With a field goal shooting percentage of 294, and a 3-point shooting percentage of 354, Fresno State scores only 60.9 points per game. As a result, Utah State averages 80.3 points per game, which is 24th in the country, has the 17th highest field goal shooting percentage, and is No. 1 in the nation in 3-point shooting percentage with 42.1%. Although Fresno State's defense is tough, its weak spot is on the perimeter, where opponents are averaging 35.7% three-point shooting percentage. That leaves Utah State with the advantage due to its sharpshooters.

Utah State Highlights

With a power ranking of 254, Utah State is ranked #24 in offense (scoring an average of 80.33 per game), #248 in defense (allowing an average of 71.81 points to be scored against them per game) and are 16-5 (11-9 ATS) this season.

Fresno St. Highlights

Fresno St. Bulldogs has a power ranking of 282 and are #357 for offense (scoring an average of 60.95 per game), #31 for defense (giving up an average of 71.81 points per game) and 7-12 (6-12 ATS) overall. Utah State went 1-2 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Fresno St..

Curated Picks & Predictions

  • Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be UTST 62.75, FRSNO 71.75.
  • 51% of SportsJaw users predict Utah State Aggies to cover.
  • OddsShark has not made their prediction yet.
  • 64% picked Fresno St. Bulldogs on Covers.com
  • SportsJaw's ScoreCaster prediction: Aggies 77 to Bulldogs 75.

Staff Prediction

Our prediction: Aggies 77 to Bulldogs 75.

Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NCAAB Predictions

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Current Odds[ - ]

 
UTST
FRSNO
Open
Side
-4
+4
+5.5
Moneyline
-185
+160
+205
Total
Over 134.5
Under 134.5
135.5

Track your picks and showcase your betting acumen.

Power Rankings[ - ]

Utah State Aggies
HIGHLIGHTS
Fresno St. Bulldogs
24th
OFFENSE
357th
19th
FG %
292nd
1st
3 PT %
355th
176th
Rebounds
343rd
248th
DEFENSE
31st
158th
FG %
149th
346th
3 PT %
295th
39th
Rebounds
97th

Last 10 Games Stats[ + ]

Utah State AggiesUtah State

vs SDSTL 75-85
47.54FG %
60FT %
113 PT %
vs SJSTW 75-74
53.85FG %
69.23FT %
103 PT %
vs UNLVW 75-71
51.06FG %
88.89FT %
113 PT %
vs NEVL 70-85
38.6FG %
78.26FT %
83 PT %
vs WYOMW 83-63
50.82FG %
86.67FT %
83 PT %
vs BOISEL 59-82
39.66FG %
42.86FT %
73 PT %
vs AIRFOW 77-65
51.02FG %
77.78FT %
63 PT %
vs FRESW 67-54
43.48FG %
74.07FT %
73 PT %
vs WAZZUW 82-73
60.38FG %
46.67FT %
113 PT %
vs SMUL 74-77
37.5FG %
88.89FT %
103 PT %

Fresno St. BulldogsFresno St.

vs BOISEL 53-63
39.29FG %
50FT %
23 PT %
vs UNLVW 76-63
54.35FG %
77.27FT %
93 PT %
vs AIRFOL 48-51
37.74FG %
85.71FT %
23 PT %
vs SJSTL 64-74
43.4FG %
88.89FT %
103 PT %
vs COLSTL 57-79
38.78FG %
73.33FT %
83 PT %
vs NMEXW 71-67
50FG %
75FT %
73 PT %
vs UTSTL 54-67
37.25FG %
92.31FT %
43 PT %
vs WYOMW 58-53
36.67FG %
77.78FT %
73 PT %
vs CSBAKW 56-48
39.58FG %
87.5FT %
113 PT %
vs SACL 53-59
46FG %
50FT %
53 PT %

Injuries[ - ]

Utah State AggiesUtah State

  • GRylan Jones (Is "?" Saturday vs Fresno State, Concussion)
  • GMason Falslev (Is out for season, Redshirt)

Fresno St. BulldogsFresno St.

  • FIsaih Moore (Is "?" Saturday vs Utah State, Concussion)
  • GJoseph Hunter (Is out for season, Thumb)

Infographics & Predictions[ - ]

Utah State vs Fresno State prediction and stats

have a significantly better offense and the Bulldogs have a stronger defense. The Aggies won more games straight up while Bulldogs won more ATS over their last 3 matchups. Adjusted score predictions based on power rankings and strength of schedule: Aggies 72 to Bulldogs 63.

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Utah State Injuries

  • G Rylan Jones Is "?" Saturday vs Fresno State, Concussion
  • G Mason Falslev Is out for season, Redshirt

Fresno St. Injuries

  • F Isaih Moore Is "?" Saturday vs Utah State, Concussion
  • G Joseph Hunter Is out for season, Thumb

Won 70% of last 10 NCAAB predictions
Utah State vs Fresno St  infographic

After crunching 8 data points, our relative predictions model has elected to not make a prediction on this game - view the Utah State vs Fresno St. infographic for details.

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