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Miami vs Detroit

Sun Mar 19 6:00PM
112
Final
100
 1234TODDS
MIA26262238112218.5
DET29183419100+10

Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Prediction

Published on

The Miami Heat are on the road playing the Detroit Pistons at the Little Caesars Arena stadium on Sunday, 3/19/2023 @ 6:00pm EST. Miami is the betting favorite opening at -9.5 and the current line is Miami -10.

Heat vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Heat to win tonight's game by 1 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Detroit Pistons to cover the 9.5 point spread and the total to go over 218.5 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Miami 118 to Detroit 117

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Miami Heat and Detroit Pistons, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

  • 58% of SportsJaw players predict Detroit Pistons to cover the spread.
  • Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Miami will win straight-up is 83%.
  • Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be MIA 119.25, DET 99.25.
  • OddsShark's prediction is Miami will win, detroit will cover, and the total will go over.
  • split down the middle on Covers.com

Miami Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 24, Miami is ranked #30 in offense (scoring an average of 109.13 per game), #2 in defense (allowing an average of 109.61 points to be scored against them per game) and are 38-34 (25-44-3 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Heat hit an average of 45.57% of their field goals (ranked #27) and 83.14% of their free throws (ranked #2) and makes an average of 33.93% of their three pointers ranked #26 in the NBA). They average 40.93 rebounds per game (ranked # 28) and average 23.42 offensive assists and 12.92 turnovers per game (ranked # 24 and 9 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Miami allows an average of 47.92% field goals (ranked #21) and 77.93% free throws (ranked #15 in the NBA) The Heat allow an average of 36.81% of the three pointers (ranked #21) and averages 42.10 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 42.10) Finally, the Heat average 25.30 defensive assists and 15.37 turnovers per game (ranked # 14 and 3 respectively).

Detroit Key Betting Stats

Detroit Pistons has a power ranking of 28 and are #28 for offense (scoring an average of 111.06 per game), #29 for defense (giving up an average of 118.58 points per game) and 16-55 (29-39-3 ATS) overall. Miami went 1-2 (3-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Detroit.

For offense, the Pistons hit an average of 45.43% of their field goals (ranked #30) and 76.82% of their free throws (ranked #21) and makes an average of 35.22% of their three pointers (ranked #21 in the NBA). They average 42.68 rebounds per game (ranked # 21) and average 22.93 offensive assists and 14.46 turnovers per game (ranked # 26) and 25 respectively).

On defense, Detroit allows an average of 49.08% field goals (ranked #27) and 77.74% free throws (ranked #10 in the NBA) The Pistons allow an average of 36.11% of the three pointers (ranked #17) and averages 44.83 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 44.83) Finally, the Pistons average 25.65 defensive assists and 13.32 turnovers per game (ranked # 16 and 18 respectively).

Betting Summary

  • Miami has advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).
  • The Scorecaster model predicts the Detroit Pistons to cover the 9.5 point spread and the total to go over 218.5 points.
  • For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NBA experts.

Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NBA Predictions

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Current Odds[ - ]

 
MIA
DET
Open
Side
-10
+10
+9.5
Moneyline
-480
+383
+368
Total
Over 218.5
Under 218.5
N/A

Track your picks and showcase your betting acumen.

Power Rankings[ - ]

Miami Heat
HIGHLIGHTS
Detroit Pistons
30th
OFFENSE
28th
27th
FG %
30th
26th
3 PT %
21st
28th
Rebounds
21st
2nd
DEFENSE
29th
21st
FG %
27th
21st
3 PT %
17th
7th
Rebounds
24th

Last 10 Games Stats[ + ]

Miami HeatHeat

vs CHIL 99-113
42.68FG %
79.17FT %
103 PT %
vs MEMW 138-119
59.76FG %
81.82FT %
133 PT %
vs UTAW 119-115
46.84FG %
86.11FT %
143 PT %
vs ORLL 114-126
44.68FG %
95FT %
113 PT %
vs CLEW 119-115
51.22FG %
91.3FT %
143 PT %
vs CLEL 100-104
50FG %
75.86FT %
83 PT %
vs ATLW 130-128
53.25FG %
86.49FT %
163 PT %
vs ATLW 117-109
50.6FG %
86.96FT %
133 PT %
vs NYL 120-122
48.15FG %
93.75FT %
123 PT %
vs PHIL 96-119
43.59FG %
91.3FT %
73 PT %

Detroit PistonsPistons

vs DENL 100-119
45.88FG %
55.56FT %
123 PT %
vs WASL 97-117
38.38FG %
91.67FT %
103 PT %
vs INDW 117-97
48FG %
70FT %
143 PT %
vs INDL 115-121
45.74FG %
66.67FT %
113 PT %
vs CHRL 103-113
44.94FG %
80FT %
73 PT %
vs WASL 117-119
51.19FG %
81.82FT %
133 PT %
vs PORL 104-110
46.51FG %
70FT %
103 PT %
vs CLEL 90-114
40.74FG %
72FT %
63 PT %
vs CHIL 115-117
50FG %
82.14FT %
143 PT %
vs CHRL 106-117
45.65FG %
70.37FT %
33 PT %

Injuries[ - ]

Miami HeatHeat

  • PGKyle Lowry (Is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Detroit, Knee)
  • CCody Zeller (Is OUT Sunday vs Detroit, Nose)
  • SFNikola Jovic (Is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Detroit, Back)

Detroit PistonsPistons

  • SGAlec Burks (Is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Miami, Foot)
  • SFBojan Bogdanovic (Is out indefinitely, Achilles)
  • SGHamidou Diallo (Is out for season, Ankle)
  • PFMarvin Bagley III (Is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Miami, Ankle)
  • PFIsaiah Stewart (Is out indefinitely, Hip)
  • PGR.J. Hampton (Is OUT Sunday vs Miami, Back)
  • SFIsaiah Livers (Is OUT Sunday vs Miami, Hip)
  • PGCade Cunningham (Is out for season, Shin)
  • CJalen Duren (Left last game, is "?" Tuesday vs Atlanta, Head)

Infographics & Predictions[ - ]

Won 70% of last 10 NBA predictions
Miami vs Detroit prediction and stats

Both teams have a compariable offense and the Heat have a stronger defense. The Heat won more games straight up while Pistons won more ATS over their last 3 matchups. Adjusted score predictions based on power rankings and strength of schedule: Heat 106 to Pistons 108.

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Won 80% of last 10 NBA predictions
Miami vs Detroit infographic

After crunching 8 data points, our relative predictions model has elected to not make a prediction on this game - view the Miami vs Detroit infographic for details.

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