| Â | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T | ODDS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 26 | 26 | 22 | 38 | 112 | 218.5 |
| DET | 29 | 18 | 34 | 19 | 100 | +10 |
Miami Heat vs Detroit Pistons Prediction
The Miami Heat are on the road playing the Detroit Pistons at the Little Caesars Arena stadium on Sunday, 3/19/2023 @ 6:00pm EST. Miami is the betting favorite opening at -9.5 and the current line is Miami -10.
Heat vs Pistons Prediction for Tonight's Game
Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Heat to win tonight's game by 1 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Detroit Pistons to cover the 9.5 point spread and the total to go over 218.5 points.
PREDICTED SCORE: Miami 118 to Detroit 117
Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Miami Heat and Detroit Pistons, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.
Curated Picks & Predictions
- 58% of SportsJaw players predict Detroit Pistons to cover the spread.
- Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Miami will win straight-up is 83%.
- Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be MIA 119.25, DET 99.25.
- OddsShark's prediction is Miami will win, detroit will cover, and the total will go over.
- split down the middle on Covers.com
Miami Key Betting Stats
With a power ranking of 24, Miami is ranked #30 in offense (scoring an average of 109.13 per game), #2 in defense (allowing an average of 109.61 points to be scored against them per game) and are 38-34 (25-44-3 ATS) this season.
Offensively, the Heat hit an average of 45.57% of their field goals (ranked #27) and 83.14% of their free throws (ranked #2) and makes an average of 33.93% of their three pointers ranked #26 in the NBA). They average 40.93 rebounds per game (ranked # 28) and average 23.42 offensive assists and 12.92 turnovers per game (ranked # 24 and 9 respectively).
Defensively speaking, Miami allows an average of 47.92% field goals (ranked #21) and 77.93% free throws (ranked #15 in the NBA) The Heat allow an average of 36.81% of the three pointers (ranked #21) and averages 42.10 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 42.10) Finally, the Heat average 25.30 defensive assists and 15.37 turnovers per game (ranked # 14 and 3 respectively).
Detroit Key Betting Stats
Detroit Pistons has a power ranking of 28 and are #28 for offense (scoring an average of 111.06 per game), #29 for defense (giving up an average of 118.58 points per game) and 16-55 (29-39-3 ATS) overall. Miami went 1-2 (3-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Detroit.
For offense, the Pistons hit an average of 45.43% of their field goals (ranked #30) and 76.82% of their free throws (ranked #21) and makes an average of 35.22% of their three pointers (ranked #21 in the NBA). They average 42.68 rebounds per game (ranked # 21) and average 22.93 offensive assists and 14.46 turnovers per game (ranked # 26) and 25 respectively).
On defense, Detroit allows an average of 49.08% field goals (ranked #27) and 77.74% free throws (ranked #10 in the NBA) The Pistons allow an average of 36.11% of the three pointers (ranked #17) and averages 44.83 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 44.83) Finally, the Pistons average 25.65 defensive assists and 13.32 turnovers per game (ranked # 16 and 18 respectively).
Betting Summary
- Miami has advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).
- The Scorecaster model predicts the Detroit Pistons to cover the 9.5 point spread and the total to go over 218.5 points.
- For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NBA experts.
Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NBA Predictions
Current Odds[ - ]
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Power Rankings[ - ]
Last 10 Games Stats[ + ]
Heat
Pistons
Betting Trends[ + ]
Miami Heat
- Miami are 5-15 ATS in their last 20 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games.
- Miami are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games against Detroit.
- Miami are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Detroit.
- Miami are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.
- Miami are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games when playing on the road against Detroit.
- Miami are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.
- The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Miami's last 15 games against an opponent in the Central Division division.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 7 games played in March.
Detroit Pistons
- Detroit are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games.
- Detroit are 1-13 SU in their last 14 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games against Miami.
- Detroit are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games at home.
- Detroit are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games when playing at home against Miami.
- Detroit are 1-9 SU in their last 10 games against an opponent in the Eastern Conference conference.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games against an opponent in the Southeast Division division.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 8 games played in March.
- Detroit are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played on a Sunday.
Injuries[ - ]
Heat
- PGKyle Lowry (Is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Detroit, Knee)
- CCody Zeller (Is OUT Sunday vs Detroit, Nose)
- SFNikola Jovic (Is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Detroit, Back)
Pistons
- SGAlec Burks (Is downgraded to OUT Sunday vs Miami, Foot)
- SFBojan Bogdanovic (Is out indefinitely, Achilles)
- SGHamidou Diallo (Is out for season, Ankle)
- PFMarvin Bagley III (Is upgraded to probable Sunday vs Miami, Ankle)
- PFIsaiah Stewart (Is out indefinitely, Hip)
- PGR.J. Hampton (Is OUT Sunday vs Miami, Back)
- SFIsaiah Livers (Is OUT Sunday vs Miami, Hip)
- PGCade Cunningham (Is out for season, Shin)
- CJalen Duren (Left last game, is "?" Tuesday vs Atlanta, Head)
Infographics & Predictions[ - ]
Both teams have a compariable offense and the Heat have a stronger defense. The Heat won more games straight up while Pistons won more ATS over their last 3 matchups. Adjusted score predictions based on power rankings and strength of schedule: Heat 106 to Pistons 108.
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