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Miami vs Chicago

Sat Mar 18 8:00PM
99
Final
113
 1234TODDS
MIA1926322299216.5
CHI33372023113+2.5

Miami Heat vs Chicago Bulls Prediction

Published on

The Miami Heat are on the road playing the Chicago Bulls at the United Center stadium on Saturday, 3/18/2023 @ 8:00pm EST. Miami is the betting favorite opening at -3 and the current line is Miami -4.

Heat vs Bulls Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Bulls to win tonight's game by 19 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts the Chicago Bulls to cover the 4 point spread and the total to go over 217 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: Miami 106 to Chicago 125

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Miami Heat and Chicago Bulls, including recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

  • 53% of SportsJaw users predict Miami Heat to cover the spread.
  • Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Miami will win straight-up is 62%.
  • Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be MIA 112.5, CHI 104.5.
  • OddsShark's prediction is Chicago will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.
  • 67% picked Miami Heat on Covers.com

Miami Key Betting Stats

With a power ranking of 24, Miami is ranked #30 in offense (scoring an average of 109.13 per game), #2 in defense (allowing an average of 109.61 points to be scored against them per game) and are 38-33 (25-43-3 ATS) this season.

Offensively, the Heat hit an average of 45.57% of their field goals (ranked #28) and 83.14% of their free throws (ranked #2) and makes an average of 33.93% of their three pointers ranked #27 in the NBA). They average 40.93 rebounds per game (ranked # 27) and average 23.42 offensive assists and 12.92 turnovers per game (ranked # 24 and 9 respectively).

Defensively speaking, Miami allows an average of 47.92% field goals (ranked #21) and 77.93% free throws (ranked #13 in the NBA) The Heat allow an average of 36.81% of the three pointers (ranked #21) and averages 42.10 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 42.10) Finally, the Heat average 25.30 defensive assists and 15.37 turnovers per game (ranked # 14 and 3 respectively).

Chicago Key Betting Stats

Chicago Bulls has a power ranking of 17 and are #20 for offense (scoring an average of 113.18 per game), #10 for defense (giving up an average of 112.51 points per game) and 32-37 (33-34-2 ATS) overall. Miami went 2-1 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Chicago.

For offense, the Bulls hit an average of 48.87% of their field goals (ranked #5) and 80.98% of their free throws (ranked #5) and makes an average of 36.29% of their three pointers (ranked #14 in the NBA). They average 42.81 rebounds per game (ranked # 20) and average 24.21 offensive assists and 13.13 turnovers per game (ranked # 21) and 12 respectively).

On defense, Chicago allows an average of 46.75% field goals (ranked #8) and 77.95% free throws (ranked #14 in the NBA) The Bulls allow an average of 35.62% of the three pointers (ranked #12) and averages 43.09 defensive rebounds per game (ranked # 43.09) Finally, the Bulls average 25.84 defensive assists and 13.81 turnovers per game (ranked # 20 and 12 respectively).

Betting Summary

  • Miami has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).
  • The Scorecaster model predicts the Chicago Bulls to cover the 4 point spread and the total to go over 217 points.

Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NBA Predictions

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Current Odds[ - ]

 
MIA
CHI
Open
Side
-2.5
+2.5
+3
Moneyline
-133
+118
+119
Total
Over 216.5
Under 216.5
220

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Power Rankings[ - ]

Miami Heat
HIGHLIGHTS
Chicago Bulls
30th
OFFENSE
20th
28th
FG %
5th
27th
3 PT %
14th
27th
Rebounds
20th
2nd
DEFENSE
10th
21st
FG %
8th
21st
3 PT %
12th
8th
Rebounds
14th

Last 10 Games Stats[ + ]

Miami HeatHeat

vs MEMW 138-119
59.76FG %
81.82FT %
133 PT %
vs UTAW 119-115
46.84FG %
86.11FT %
143 PT %
vs ORLL 114-126
44.68FG %
95FT %
113 PT %
vs CLEW 119-115
51.22FG %
91.3FT %
143 PT %
vs CLEL 100-104
50FG %
75.86FT %
83 PT %
vs ATLW 130-128
53.25FG %
86.49FT %
163 PT %
vs ATLW 117-109
50.6FG %
86.96FT %
133 PT %
vs NYL 120-122
48.15FG %
93.75FT %
123 PT %
vs PHIL 96-119
43.59FG %
91.3FT %
73 PT %
vs PHIW 101-99
43.21FG %
72.73FT %
153 PT %

Chicago BullsBulls

vs MINW 139-131
54.26FG %
86.67FT %
113 PT %
vs SACL 114-117
39.18FG %
88FT %
163 PT %
vs HOUW 119-111
51.16FG %
72.73FT %
153 PT %
vs DENW 117-96
51.69FG %
94.44FT %
83 PT %
vs INDL 122-125
60.81FG %
88FT %
103 PT %
vs PHOL 104-125
46.99FG %
76FT %
73 PT %
vs DETW 117-115
48.24FG %
74.19FT %
123 PT %
vs TORL 98-104
52.11FG %
82.35FT %
103 PT %
vs WASW 102-82
50.63FG %
82.35FT %
83 PT %
vs BKNW 131-87
56.82FG %
67.86FT %
123 PT %

Injuries[ - ]

Miami HeatHeat

  • PGKyle Lowry (Is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Chicago, Knee)
  • CCody Zeller (Is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Chicago, Nose)
  • SFNikola Jovic (Is out indefinitely, Back)

Chicago BullsBulls

  • SGAlex Caruso (Is probable Saturday vs Miami, Illness)
  • PGLonzo Ball (Is out for season, Knee)
  • PGJavonte Green (Is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Miami, Knee)
  • SFJustin Lewis (Is downgraded to OUT Saturday vs Miami, Knee)

Infographics & Predictions[ - ]

Won 70% of last 10 NBA predictions
Miami vs Chicago prediction and stats

The Bulls have a slightly better offense and both teams have a compariable defense. The Bulls won more games straight up and against the spread over their last 3 matchups. Adjusted score predictions based on power rankings and strength of schedule: Heat 106 to Bulls 117.

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Won 80% of last 10 NBA predictions
Miami vs Chicago infographic

After crunching 8 relative data points, our relative predictions model has a 63% confidence Bulls will cover the spread - view the Miami vs Chicago infographic for details on this prediction.

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