Cleveland vs Houston

Thu Jan 26 8:00PM
113
Final
95
 1234TODDS
CLE37372316113216.5
HOU2523262195+8

Cavaliers vs Rockets Basketball Predictions & Best Bets

Published on

Cleveland is on the road playing Houston at the Toyota Center stadium on Thursday, 1/26/2023 @ 8:00pm EST. Cleveland -7.5 was the opening favorite and line hasn't moved.

Cleveland Team Statistics

On the season, Cleveland is 29-20. As a team, they score 111.5 points per game (26th in basketball) and shoot 48.4% from the field. They are making 36.3% of their 3-point attempts (559 out of 1,541) and 77.7% of their free throws. So far this season, Cleveland is averaging 42.4 rebounds per game and has accumulated 1,177 assists, which is 16th in the league. As a team, they turn the ball over 14.1 times per game and commit 18.8 personal fouls.

Defense-wise, the Cavaliers force 14.9 turnovers and draw 21.2 personal fouls per game. As a team, they allow 37.2% on 3-point shots, while ranking 1st in the NBA in points per game allowed (107.2). They surrender a 46.6% shooting percentage (1,918 of 4,115) and 40.0 rebounds per game. With 1,116 assists given up this season, they rank 6th in the NBA.

With a power ranking of 7, Cleveland is ranked #26 in offense (scoring an average of 111.69 per game), #1 in defense (allowing an average of 107.25 points to be scored against them per game) and are 29-20 (24-22-3 ATS) this season.

Houston Team Statistics

The Houston Rockets are 11-36 this season. Each game, the Rockets commit 20.7 fouls and go 75.4% from the free throw line. Their assist rate is 22.2 per game (29th in the league), and they turn the ball over 17.1 times per game. This year, Houston has scored 5,164 points (109.9 per game) and pulled in 46.6 boards. On offense, the Rockets shoot 44.8% from the field, which is 30th in the league.

As a team, the Rockets allow 117.4 points per game, which ranks 25th in the NBA. The team forces 13.8 turnovers per game and allows teams to shoot 47.7% from the field (21st in the league). The Houston defense allows 36.7% on 3-point shots (677 of 1,845), and their opponents connect on 78.6% of their free throws. On a nightly basis, they concede 25.4 dimes and 41.9 rebounds, ranking 16th and 6th, respectively.

Houston Rockets has a power ranking of 26 and are #28 for offense (scoring an average of 109.87 per game), #25 for defense (giving up an average of 107.25 points per game) and 11-36 (17-27-3 ATS) overall. Cleveland went 1-2 (1-2 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Houston.

Curated Picks & Predictions

  • From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be CLE 104.5, HOU 119.5.
  • The SportsJaw community predicts Cleveland Cavaliers to cover (54%)
  • OddsShark has not made their prediction yet.
  • 70% picked Cleveland Cavaliers on Covers.com
  • Our ScoreCaster predicts Cavaliers 112 to Rockets 116.

Staff Prediction

The Cavaliers are currently 5th in the Eastern Conference standings but have lost 3 of their last 4 games. Jarrett Allen was Cleveland's leading scorer last game with 24 points. The Rockets come into this one having lost 14 of their last 15 games. Outside of Jalen Green there is no real bright spot for the Rockets this year. I expect the Cavaliers to take care of the lowly Rockets in this one. Take Cleveland to win and cover the 7.5 points.

Staff Pick CLE ATS (-7.5)

Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NBA Predictions

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CLE
HOU
Open
Side
-8
+8
+7.5
Moneyline
-325
+270
+255
Total
Over 216.5
Under 216.5
N/A
@Rc

6 D

#6 in NBA L.365 (+$6,222)

The league's #1 scoring defense taking on the league's poorest shooting team does not bode well for this game to get past the total. Cleveland also grinds out possessions, ranking last in the NBA in pace of play. The Rockets are ranked just 16th in pace of play but will likely be limited in transition points against a Cleveland team that wants to keep the pace of play down. The Rockets are also in the second game of a back-to-back so heavy legs will likely limit the team's pace of play. Let's go.
And maybe something small on Rockets +8, they lose but 8 feels a little thick here.

HOU +8 (-110)

Spread Pick

$100

Bet

$91

Win

Under 222.5 (-110)

Total Pick

$500

Bet

$455

Win

Reply
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Cleveland vs Houston prediction and stats

Both teams have a compariable offense and the Cavaliers have a significantly better defense. The Cavaliers won more games straight up and against the spread over their last 3 matchups. Adjusted score predictions based on power rankings and strength of schedule: Cavaliers 118 to Rockets 112.

HOU +8.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$100

Bet

$91

Win

Over 221.5 (-110)

Total Pick

$100

Bet

$91

Win

Reply

Cavaliers Injuries

  • PF Kevin Love Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Houston, Back
  • PG Donovan Mitchell Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Houston, Groin
  • SF Dylan Windler Is out indefinitely, Ankle

Rockets Injuries

  • SG Eric Gordon Is OUT Thursday vs Cleveland, Knee
  • SG Kevin Porter Jr. Is downgraded to OUT Thursday vs Cleveland, Foot
  • SG Jae'Sean Tate Is OUT Thursday vs Cleveland, Rest

Cleveland vs Houston infographic

After crunching 8 relative data points, our relative predictions model has a 63% confidence Cavaliers will cover the spread - view the Cleveland vs Houston infographic for details on this prediction.

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