Denver vs Milwaukee

Wed Jan 25 8:00PM

Nuggets vs Bucks Basketball Predictions & Best Bets

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Denver is on the road playing Milwaukee at the Fiserv Forum stadium on Wednesday, 1/25/2023 @ 8:00pm EST. Milwaukee -6.5 was the opening favorite and line hasn't moved.

Denver Team Statistics

Denver has a 33-14 record this season. As a team, they commit 19.3 fouls per game and turn the ball over 15.0 times per game. The Denver Nuggets average 42.9 rebounds per game and have 1,352 dimes, which place them in second place in the league on the offensive end. As a team, the Nuggets shoot 39.8% from three-point range (573 of 1,438) and 74.2% from the charity stripe. On average, they score 117.2 points per game (5th in the NBA) while shooting 51.0% from the field.

Defensively, the Nuggets force 13.7 turnovers and draw 20.5 personal fouls per game. With 1,216 assists surrendered on the season, they rank 22nd in the league. As a team, the Nuggets allow a field goal percentage of 47.9% (1,948 of 4,071) and 40.2 rebounds per contest. They rank 13th in the NBA in points per game allowed (112.9) while allowing 34.8% on 3-pointers.

With a power ranking of 17, Denver is ranked #6 in offense (scoring an average of 117.23 per game), #14 in defense (allowing an average of 112.87 points to be scored against them per game) and are 33-14 (24-22-1 ATS) this season.

Milwaukee Team Statistics

So far this season, Milwaukee is 30-17. The Bucks are shooting 45.8% from the floor, which ranks 23rd in the league. This season, Milwaukee has scored 5,320 points (113.2 per game) and averaged 48.3 boards. They dish out 24.9 assists per game (17th in the NBA) while turning the ball over 15.3 times. As a team, the Bucks commit 18.3 personal fouls per game while shooting 74.3% from the free throw line.

With 111.8 points allowed per game, the Bucks are 6th in basketball. They force 12.3 turnovers per game and allow opponents to shoot 45.7% from the field (4th in the league). Their defense concedes 35.0% on three-point shots (548 of 1,565), while their opponents are hitting 78.2% of their free throws. The team allows 23.0 assists and 44.1 boards a game, which is 3rd and 22nd in the league respectively.

Milwaukee Bucks has a power ranking of 10 and are #24 for offense (scoring an average of 112.39 per game), #6 for defense (giving up an average of 112.87 points per game) and 30-17 (25-19-3 ATS) overall. Denver went 1-2 (1-2 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Milwaukee.

Curated Picks & Predictions

  • From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be DEN 6.5, MIL -6.5.
  • 56% of SportsJaw predicts Milwaukee Bucks to cover.
  • OddsShark has not made their prediction yet.
  • split down the middle on
  • Our ScoreCaster predicts Nuggets 0 to Bucks 0.

Staff Prediction

This should be a great game between 2 of the best teams in the NBA. The Nuggets come into this one having won 10 of their last 11 games. Nikola Jokic could be well on his way to win his 3rd consecutive MVP. The Bucks are currently 3rd in the Eastern Conference standings and have won 3 of their last 4 games. Giannis Antetokounmpo was Milwaukee’s leading scorer in their last game with 29 points. This should be an evenly matched game, so the 6.5 spread is surprising to me. I think that is too many points for the Bucks to cover vs a good Nuggets team. Take Denver to at least cover the +6.5.

Staff Pick DEN ATS (+6.5)

Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NBA Predictions

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Over 227.5
Under 227.5
Won 70% of last 10 NBA predictions
Denver vs Milwaukee prediction and stats

The Nuggets have a slightly better offense and both teams have a compariable defense. The Nuggets won more games straight up and against the spread over their last 3 matchups. Adjusted score predictions based on power rankings and strength of schedule: Nuggets 115 to Bucks 117.

DEN +8 (-110)

Spread Pick





Over 231.5 (-110)

Total Pick






Nuggets Injuries

  • SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope Is "?", Wrist
  • C Nikola Jokic Is "?", Hamstring
  • SF Michael Porter Jr. Is "?", Personal
  • PG Collin Gillespie Is out indefinitely, Leg

Bucks Injuries

  • PF Serge Ibaka Is out indefinitely, Personal
  • PF Bobby Portis Is out indefinitely, Knee
  • SF Marjon Beauchamp Is "?" Friday vs Indiana, Knee

Won 60% of last 10 NBA predictions
Denver vs Milwaukee infographic

After crunching 8 relative data points, our relative predictions model has a 63% confidence Nuggets will cover the spread - view the Denver vs Milwaukee infographic for details on this prediction.


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