Miami Marlins vs
Pittsburgh PiratesPredictions & Preview

Pittsburgh Pirates Set to Face Miami Marlins in Series Opener at PNC Park

On Monday evening, the Miami Marlins will face off against the Pittsburgh Pirates in the first game of their three-game series at PNC Park. Both teams have not yet announced their starting pitchers for the upcoming matchup. The Pirates previously swept the Marlins 4-0 during their last series, while Miami took two out of three games during their previous series at PNC Park. The game is scheduled for 6:40 PM Eastern time. Valente Bellozo will be starting for the Marlins with an ERA of 3.78, while Paul Skenes will be starting for the Pirates with an ERA of 2.13. Pittsburgh is favored to win, with the current line at Pittsburgh -270.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Marlins +230 | Pirates -270
• Spread: Marlins +1.5 (+105) | Pirates -1.5 (-125)
• Total: Over/Under 7.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Pittsburgh will win straight-up is 73%.

Miami vs Pittsburgh Stats

Miami Marlins

The Miami Marlins snapped their two-game losing streak by defeating the Philadelphia Phillies 9-5 at home on Saturday. Otto Lopez and Connor Norby led the offense with multiple hits and home runs, while Jonah Bride also contributed with a home run. Despite starter Darren McCaughan's solid performance, the win went to reliever John McMillon. The Marlins pitching staff has been struggling recently, giving up five or more runs in four of their last five games. Manager Skip Schumaker praised the team's effort against a tough opponent, despite facing challenges with new players. Currently ranked 29th in offense and defense, the Marlins have a record of 54-89 this season. No major injuries were reported impacting the game.

Pittsburgh Pirates Analysis

The Pittsburgh Pirates have faced recent struggles, losing three of their last four games, including an 8-6 defeat at home against the Washington Nationals. Despite a solid performance from starting pitcher Mitch Keller, the bullpen faltered, particularly Aroldis Chapman, who was charged with his fifth loss of the season. Shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa stood out with a strong offensive showing. Manager Derek Shelton acknowledged Chapman's importance to the team and expressed a need for improvement in his performance. Third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes remains sidelined with a back injury. Currently, the Pirates rank 24th in the power rankings and have an offense ranked 20th, averaging 4.23 runs per game, and a defense ranked 21st, giving up an average of 4.61 runs per game. Miami has recently dominated Pittsburgh in their matchups.

Pittsburgh Pirates Poised for Victory Against Miami Marlins in Series Opener

The Pittsburgh Pirates have dominated their recent matchups against the Miami Marlins, winning their last five games including a four-game sweep earlier this season. The Marlins have struggled offensively during their trips to Pittsburgh, with a .327 slugging percentage and only two home runs in 168 at-bats in their previous five games. Miami has a poor track record on the road, winning only one of their last eight series away from home and maintaining a 61.8% loss rate on the road in 2024. In contrast, the Pirates have won two of their last three series at PNC Park. The Marlins' pitching staff has underperformed this season, ranking 29th in the league with a 5.08 ERA and allowing five or more runs in four of their last five games. Based on these statistics, the Pirates are heavily favored to win the first game of the series.

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