Boston Red Sox vs
New York MetsPredictions & Preview

Red Sox Face Uphill Battle to Avoid Series Sweep Against Mets, Playoff Hopes Hang in Balance

The Boston Red Sox are facing a tough situation as they try to avoid a series sweep against the New York Mets after losing four games in a row. With a record of only one game above .500 and struggling in their last 12 games, the Red Sox are currently in third place in the AL East and may need to rely on the Wild Card to make the playoffs. On the other hand, the Mets are on a hot streak with six consecutive wins and are in contention for a Wild Card spot in the NL. The pitching matchup will feature Tanner Houck for the Red Sox and Tylor Megill for the Mets. The Mets are slight underdogs at home with a current line of -109.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Red Sox -104 | Mets -109
• Spread: Red Sox -1.5 (+157) | Mets +1.5 (-178)
• Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Boston will win straight-up is 51%.

Boston vs New York Stats

Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox have been struggling in their recent games, only scoring a total of five runs in their last four games. Despite ranking 10th in the Majors in runs scored, they lost 7-2 to the Mets in Game 2 of the series. Rafael Devers leads the team in home runs and RBI, but has been in a slump with only three RBI in the last 13 games. Jarren Duran leads the team in batting average and at-bats and has been performing well in the last five games. The Red Sox have a better record on the road than at home. Tanner Houck will be starting the finale, coming off a strong performance in his last start. Overall, the Red Sox have a power ranking of 27, ranking 7th in offense and 24th in defense, with a record of 70-68 this season.

New York Mets Analysis

The New York Mets have been performing well recently, winning six games in a row and only allowing a total of nine runs in that span. Francisco Lindor and Pete Alonso have been leading the team offensively, both hitting three home runs and driving in six runs over the past six games. The team is 37-33 at home this season and Tylor McGill, who will start Game 3, was solid in his last start after returning from an injury. The Mets are ranked 11th in offense, scoring an average of 4.75 runs per game, and 18th in defense, giving up an average of 4.43 runs per game. They currently have an overall record of 75-64. In their last three matchups, the Boston Red Sox won two out of three games against the Mets.

Mets Favored to Sweep Series Finale Against Struggling Red Sox

The New York Mets are entering the series finale on a six-game winning streak, boasting an impressive record of only allowing nine runs during this successful stretch. On the other hand, the Boston Red Sox have struggled in their past four games, scoring a mere five runs collectively. McGill recently returned from injury and delivered a strong performance in his last start, conceding only one run in a victory. However, it is worth noting that this win came against the struggling Chicago White Sox. Houck has also been performing well on the mound, despite receiving minimal run support. Given the current form of both teams, the Mets are favored to continue their winning streak and secure a series sweep, making them the optimal choice at -105 even as a home underdog.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ] [ 3 ]