San Diego Padres vs
Pittsburgh PiratesPredictions & Preview

Pittsburgh Pirates Set to Take on San Diego Padres in Home Series, Betting Line Favors Padres

The Pittsburgh Pirates are set to face off against the San Diego Padres in a home series on Wednesday, with the first pitch scheduled for 6:40 PM Eastern. The Pirates have been on a hot streak, winning five of their last six games. Michael King will be the starting pitcher for the Padres, boasting an ERA of 3.26, while Marco Gonzales will take the mound for the Pirates with an ERA of 3.72. San Diego is the betting favorite, opening at -140 and the current line is San Diego -163. Please note that this article was written before Tuesday's game.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Padres -163 | Pirates +149
• Spread: Padres -1.5 (+101) | Pirates +1.5 (-120)
• Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that San Diego will win straight-up is 62%.

San Diego vs Pittsburgh Stats

San Diego Padres

San Diego ended their series with Colorado on a high note, scoring 10 runs on 12 hits. Jurickson Profar led the team with multiple hits, including a home run, and currently holds a .300 batting average. Matt Waldron had a strong pitching performance, allowing only one run over 5.2 innings with seven strikeouts. RHP Michael King is set to start the next game with a record of 9-6 and an ERA of 3.26. King has performed well on the road and in night games, limiting opponents to a low batting average. San Diego has a strong offense, leading the league in batting average, but has struggled to hit home runs and extra base hits away from home. Despite a rough start in August, the Padres have shown improvement with five home runs in three games and are climbing the rankings in home run rate and strikeout rate. Overall, San Diego has a power ranking of 7, ranking 12th in offense and defense, with a season record of 62-52.

Pittsburgh Pirates Analysis

After taking game two, Pittsburgh was unable to secure their series against Arizona, falling in a close 5-6 final in game three. Although the Pirates finished with 10 hits, they did most of their scoring in the first two innings. Yasmani Grandal was a standout performer, going 3-4 at the plate. The pitching duties were handled by Paul Skenes, who allowed two runs on five hits over 5.1 innings while striking out four. Looking forward, LHP Marco Gonzales is expected to start for the Pirates in the upcoming game. Gonzales has a 1-1 record with an ERA of 3.72 and has shown stronger performance at home. Although the Pirates have struggled offensively, they have shown improvement in August, hitting .282 over five games. Despite their shortcomings in batting average and receiving walks, they have been efficient in driving runners home and leaving runners stranded at close of innings. The Pirates are currently ranked 16th in power rankings and stand 18th in offense, averaging 4.22 runs per game. They also rank 13th in defense and have an overall record of 56-56. San Diego recently went 1-2 in their last three matchups against Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh Pirates Struggle with Hitting as San Diego Padres Prepare to Face Inconsistent Pitching

Despite recent improvements in Pittsburgh's hitting, the team still ranks in the bottom 10 for hits and strikeout rate. Gonzales has shown inconsistency pitching in night games at this particular location and will be up against a Padres lineup known for performing well on the road. Additionally, King's road ERA is the best in the series, and he will be pitching against a Pirates lineup that has displayed inconsistency throughout the season. Based on these factors, the recommendation is to consider betting on San Diego to win (ML).

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ] [ 3 ] [ 4 ] [ 5 ] [ 6 ] [ 7 ] [ 8 ]