San Diego Padres vs
St. Louis CardinalsPredictions & Preview

St. Louis Cardinals Favored to Win Against San Diego Padres in Pitching Matchup

In this matchup, the San Diego Padres will be facing off against the St. Louis Cardinals. The Padres, currently third in the NL West with a 74-58 record, will have Randy Vasquez on the mound with a 3-6 record and a 4.63 ERA. On the other hand, the Cardinals, sitting second in the NL Central with a 65-65 record, will have Kyle Gibson pitching, who holds a 7-5 record and a 4.22 ERA. The Cardinals are the betting favorite with an opening line of -108, currently at -114.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Padres +101 | Cardinals -114
• Spread: Padres +1.5 (-195) | Cardinals -1.5 (+170)
• Total: Over/Under 9 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that St. Louis will win straight-up is 53%.

San Diego vs St. Louis Stats

San Diego Padres

The San Diego Padres have been performing well offensively this season, ranking 8th in MLB with a .744 team OPS and averaging 4.73 runs per game. Left fielder Jurickson Profar has been a standout player with a .864 OPS, 21 home runs, 79 RBIs, 75 runs scored, and 7 steals. However, pitcher Randy Vasquez has struggled significantly, ranking poorly in several key metrics according to Baseball Savant. He will be facing the Cardinals for the first time in his career. The team has several key players on the injury report, including Yu Darvish, Fernando Tatis Jr, Ha-Seong Kim, Stephen Kolek, Wandy Peralta, and Luis Patino. Despite some challenges, the Padres have a power ranking of 3 and are currently 72-57 this season.

St. Louis Cardinals Analysis

The St. Louis Cardinals have shown to be a mediocre offensive team, ranking 20th in the sport with a .697 team OPS and scoring an average of 4.09 runs per game. They have struggled with stolen bases, ranking 22nd in the majors with 71 stolen bases but being caught 22 times. First baseman Paul Goldschmidt has not been performing well, with a .672 OPS and 19 homers, 49 RBIs, 59 runs scored, and eight stolen bases without being caught. Pitcher Kyle Gibson has had a tough season, ranking poorly in various statistical categories. In terms of injuries, several key players for St. Louis, including catcher Willson Contreras, center fielder Michael Siani, and multiple pitchers, are currently sidelined. The Cardinals have a power ranking of 24 and rank 24th for offense, 22nd for defense, with an overall record of 63-64. In their recent matchups against the San Diego Padres, St. Louis lost 2 out of 3 games.

Pitching and Bullpen Stats Favor St. Louis Cardinals in Matchup Against San Diego Padres

When considering the statistics of the starting pitchers, it is evident that there are significant differences between Randy Vasquez and Kyle Gibson. Vasquez has a 2-3 record with a 6.08 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP in 41.2 innings pitched on the road, while Gibson holds a 2-3 record with a 4.62 ERA and a 1.63 WHIP in 64.1 innings pitched at home. The bullpen performances also show slight variations, with the Padres ranking 13th in the league with a 3.90 reliever ERA, and the Cardinals ranking ninth with a 3.66 bullpen ERA. Based on these factors, it is advisable to consider the St. Louis Cardinals as the favored team to secure a victory in this matchup.

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