Baltimore Orioles vs
New York MetsPredictions & Preview

Baltimore Orioles to Face New York Mets with Trevor Rogers on the Mound

The Baltimore Orioles, currently tied for first place in the AL East with a 73-52 record, will have left-handed pitcher Trevor Rogers (2-11, 4.89 ERA) starting against the New York Mets. The Mets, in third place in the NL East with a 64-60 record, will have right-handed pitcher David Peterson (7-1, 3.04 ERA) on the mound. Rogers is coming off a loss against the Washington Nationals, while Peterson is coming off a victory over the Oakland Athletics. New York is the betting favorite in this matchup, opening at -123 and the current line is New York -137.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Orioles +122 | Mets -137
• Spread: Orioles +1.5 (-175) | Mets -1.5 (+155)
• Total: Over/Under 8.5 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that New York will win straight-up is 58%.

Baltimore vs New York Stats

Baltimore Orioles

The Baltimore Orioles have demonstrated their offensive prowess this season, ranking second in the sport with a .770 team OPS and scoring 5.04 runs per game. They lead the majors with 192 total home runs, with shortstop Gunnar Henderson standing out with impressive stats. On the pitching side, Trevor Rogers has struggled, with poor rankings in several key metrics. The team has also been dealing with multiple injuries, with several key players sidelined. Despite these challenges, Baltimore has a power ranking of 16, ranking third in offense, 16th in defense, and holding a 73-52 record for the season.

New York Mets Analysis

The New York Mets have been performing well offensively, ranking ninth in MLB with a .742 team OPS and averaging 4.78 runs per game. Pete Alonso has been a standout player with impressive stats. However, pitcher David Peterson has struggled in various metrics. In terms of injuries, several players are listed as out or questionable. The Mets have a power ranking of 17 and are ranked 10th for offense and 20th for defense. They have a record of 64-60. Baltimore recently lost all three matchups against New York.

Contrasting August Pitching Performances Favor New York Mets for Next Game

Analyzing the performance of starting pitchers in August reveals a notable contrast. Trevor Rogers boasts a record of 0-2 with a 7.53 ERA and a .357 batting average against over 14.1 innings across three starts. In contrast, David Peterson has achieved a record of 2-0 with a 1.56 ERA and a .194 batting average against over 17.1 innings in three starts. Additionally, Baltimore is averaging 4.5 runs per game while New York is scoring 5.33 runs per game, further differentiating the two teams in terms of offensive capabilities. Considering these factors, selecting the New York Mets as the favored team for this game is a prudent decision.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ]