Minnesota Twins vs
Arizona DiamondbacksPredictions & Preview

Twins set to face Diamondbacks with Joe Ryan as starting pitcher, favored to win with -119 line

The Minnesota Twins, currently second in the AL Central with a 43-35 record, will have Joe Ryan (5-5, 3.13 ERA) starting as their pitcher. The Arizona Diamondbacks, third in the NL West with a 38-40 record, will send Brandon Pfaadt (3-6, 4.37 ERA) to the mound. Ryan is coming off a strong performance against the Tampa Bay Rays, while Pfaadt is looking to bounce back from a loss against the Washington Nationals. The Twins are favored to win with a -119 line.

Betting Odds

• Moneyline: Twins -119 | Diamondbacks +109
• Spread: Twins -1.5 (+139) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-160)
• Total: Over/Under 8 (-110)
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that Minnesota will win straight-up is 54%.

Minnesota vs Arizona Stats

Minnesota Twins

The Minnesota Twins have been performing well this season, ranking seventh in the majors with a .738 team OPS and averaging 4.71 runs per game. Their lineup is strong in power, tied for fifth in total home runs. Shortstop Carlos Correa has an impressive .859 OPS with eight home runs, 36 RBI, and 37 runs scored. Pitcher Joe Ryan has been excelling in various pitching statistics and has a variety of effective pitches. Although facing the Diamondbacks for the first time, Ryan's performance will be worth watching. The team's power ranking is 8, with strong offensive numbers but a weaker defense. They currently have a record of 43-35. Various pitchers are listed on the injury report.

Arizona Diamondbacks Analysis

The Arizona Diamondbacks have shown solid offensive performance this season, ranking 12th in baseball with a .720 team OPS and averaging 4.72 runs per game. Second baseman Ketel Marte has been a standout player with a .835 OPS, 15 home runs, 43 RBI, and 50 runs scored. Pitcher Brandon Pfaadt has been impressive on the mound, demonstrating strong metrics in walk percentage, barrel percentage, xBA, and chase percentage. Unfortunately, the team has several players listed on the injury report, including right fielder Corbin Carroll and pitcher Zac Gallen. The Diamondbacks have a power ranking of 17 and are ranked 7th in offense, scoring an average of 4.77 runs per game. They have a record of 38-40. In their last three matchups against Minnesota, the Twins went 0-3.

Pitching Matchup Favors Minnesota Twins Over Arizona Diamondbacks

When comparing the performance of starting pitchers Joe Ryan and Brandon Pfaadt in the month of June, a noticeable gap emerges. Joe Ryan has a record of 1-2 with a 3.60 ERA and a .211 opposing batting average in his 25.0 innings pitched over four starts. In contrast, Brandon Pfaadt has a record of 1-2 with a 4.94 ERA and a .275 opposing batting average in his 23.2 innings pitched over four starts during the same period.

Furthermore, the disparity extends to the performance of the bullpens throughout the season. The Minnesota Twins rank 15th in the league with a reliever ERA of 3.76, while the Arizona Diamondbacks rank 25th with a bullpen ERA of 4.49.

Based on these factors, it is advisable to favor the Minnesota Twins in this matchup.

Sources: [ 1 ] [ 2 ]