DREW_WESTCOTT

From Austin, TX

SportsJaw Contributor. Not your Fathers Handicapper. Storyteller. Enjoy the Evolution of Pro Sports ... Read More

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In the first meeting between these two, the Knicks annihilated the Hawks in front of the Madison Square Garden crowd. Young put up 42 points and eight assists, mostly when the game was way out of reach.The rematch took place in Atlanta and the home team outlasted New York in double overtime. Again, Young filled up the stat sheet with 48 points and 13 assists in just under 48 minutes.So does NY have the edge? The fact that New York is 1-7 on the second leg of back-to-backs this season tells me stay away. ATL on the ML is a solid play but there's reason to feel confident with ATL -4.5. everyone will tell you go OVER but I'm not so sure. Sure, the Hawks put up 143 points against the Hornets on Monday, but in their three previous games, which were all loses btw, they averaged just over 100 points per game. Of the Knicks 45 losses this season, 21 have come by double-digits. New York has a knack for losing by wide margins. On the second night of a back-to-back, the Knicks could be vulnerable to another let-down performance.

My New York vs Atlanta predictions:

NY -4.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$100

Risk

$91

Win

In their last meeting in January, the Nuggets' offense shot 48% and made nine of their 24 three-point attempts in a narrow 107-106 victory over the Mavericks.

In their last meeting, the Mavs shot 50% and made 12 of their 35 three-point attempts and came up one point short on the road against the underdog Spurs down the road.

Donkic had 38 in that one and has been lights out as we approach the stretch. I like Dallas to even the season series at home. Denver is just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games overall. Over is 11-5 in DAL last 16 overall.

My Denver vs Dallas predictions:

DEN +1 (-110)

Spread Pick

$500

Risk

$455

Win

The Thunder are now 1 game back of the Utah Jazz for the 4th seed in the West. OKC is not historically an easy environment to play in and you better believe the fans are aware of the importance in this one.

The makeup of the OKC matches up well against this Utah team. Utah are 1-1 against OKC this season winning their season opener in Utah 100-95 but couldn’t overcome them in their second meeting going down 104-90. The Thunder have put together three straight wins and are 8-2 in their last 10 overall. Oklahoma are coming off a strong down to the wire win against the Celtics 105-104.

Chris Paul has been fantastic this year but I don't expect a continuation of his offense brilliance in this one, not in terms of points scored. The Thunder have put together three straight wins and are 8-2 in their last 10 overall. Oklahoma are coming off a strong down to the wire win against the Celtics 105-104. He is the key to victory for OKC in this one. Love the UNDER here and I'd side with OKC.

Jae Crowder expected back after missing a game in concussion protocol. Tyler Herro also set to return after an extended absence with an ankle injury. Still waiting word on if Jimmy Butler will play. Has injured toe but I still like the Heat in this spot to cover nearly a double digit number.

Duncan Robinson is on pace to be one of 3 player EVER to make 300 threes in a season (Steph Curry/James Harden). He's doing so shooting at a stunning 45.3% clip.
Robinson's made 7+ 3pt's in 3 straight games.

G Terry Rozier is said to be under the weather and not sure if he’ll go. Where do the points come from if he's out?? I'll wait...

My Charlotte vs Miami predictions:

CHR -9 (-110)

Spread Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

The Clippers are coming off 136-130 win over the Philadelphia 76ers where they picked up the victory but failed to cover NBA odds. The Clippers had four players score at least 24 points in the victory. Los Angeles shot 59.2% from the floor but their defense was not at its normal suffocating level.

With both George and Leonard on the court the Clippers net rating is 8.0, 2nd in the league behind the Milwaukee Bucks and ahead of the conference-leading Lakers. With both stars playing the Clippers are 21-7.

Oklahoma City is one of the top NBA teams in preventing fast break points because of its commitment to ball security and preventing turnovers. But After a hot start Oklahoma City has regressed and the net rating is a tad inflated for the team’s current form. It's a small spread because of the importance of the game for OKC but they have regressed to the mean and this feels like one of the best bets of the night at just a one possession line for the Clippers.

This is a key player for this franchise who can lock down on the wing and bully guards who try to get in the paint too. Coby White has been shooting lights out lately (last 4 games avg. 30 ppg).
Keys for the Mavs:
Luka (probable)
Porzingis - out (L knee inj recovery)
Cauley-Stein (probable)
Seth Curry (questionable - back)

The big factor in this one is whether or not Lavine plays - he is doubtful with a quad injury and this might be his first game sidelined all year long. If he doesn't play, it's a wash - wait til shootaround on this one and take the home underdogs if Lavine plays.

The Bucks carry a 6-game winning streak. Bucks are 7-1 ATS this season on the second leg of a B2B. Line is low bc Middleton's status is unknown but I still like them in this spot.

Milwaukee will play a road back to back tonight after knocking off the Hornets on the road in a low scoring game 93-85 (failed to cover -12). The Heat defeated the Bucks 131-126 in overtime in Milwaukee in their first meeting this season back in October but they had Herro available to hit from deep - he's one of the most clutch three point shooters this year and he's out for this one.

Heat are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home underdog but I'm going against the grain in this one if Middleton plays. If he doesn't, it's a wash. Good value on Bucks ML imo.

My Milwaukee vs Miami predictions:

MIL -3.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$100

Risk

$91

Win

Since the All Star Break, Memphis is 0-5, failing to cover all five games. Suddenly a whopping five other West teams are within three games of the Grizz, and that 8-seed sure looks up for grabs. If Lebron is out - throw this advice out the front door and stay away. But Griz are also on the backend of a B2B.

The Lakers hold a 7 game winning streak heading into Saturday. The Lakers last took on the Warriors with a 116-86 victory with Lebron James sitting out. During this 7 game winning streak the Lakers offence has been highly consistent with their lowest team total sitting at 114 points against the Celtics during this winning stretch.

Under is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings! Gotta love that with the number/matchup. That's the safest bet in this one (UNDER).

My Los Angeles vs Memphis predictions:

LAL -9.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$100

Risk

$91

Win

LAL 226.5 (-110)

Total Pick

$500

Risk

$455

Win

Blazers without Dame as road favorites? I don't think so. Portland is one of the worst teams in the NBA against teams with losing records and the Hawks are a team that can beat anyone on their home court that doesn't play defense (ie - Portland).

Trail Blazers are 12-17-1 agaisnt losing teams. The Blazers have a -8.6 net rating with Lillard off the floor this year. That is a bad basketball team without him.

Without Lillard, Portland has been awful against the spread, failing to cover in the five of their last six games. Meanwhile, the Hawks have fared well against Western Conference opponents this season, covering in nine of their last 12 games against the opposing conference. Given how low this spread is, take the Hawks to cover this spread at home.

My Portland vs Atlanta predictions:

POR -1.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

ATL to win outright! Young dropping 40 minimum.

My vs predictions:

POR -1.75 (-110)

Spread Pick

$500

Risk

$455

Win

MIA is back on track after a convincing win last night and while they are on the backend of a B2B, it's at home where they are 24-4 SU. They are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10 but the Nets are also on the tail end of a B2B after a beatdown in ATL last night. Miami holds opponents to just 11.8 fastbreak points per game which is 3rd in the NBA so they hold a clear advantage against the Nets who like to cause turnovers and score quickly.

Spencer Finished with 24 Points, 13 Assists (1 turnover), 8/8 FT
44.4% 3PT last night but he will have much more difficult assignments tonight with Jae Crowder and Jimmy Butler likely sharing the defensive duty of stopping the leader of this offense. I don't think the Nets have depth to keep this one close in MIA tonight. MIA lost 7 of 10 but got a boost of confidence last night and this is a game they should win. They were on a tough, tough road trip in the slide.

My Brooklyn vs Miami predictions:

BKN -7.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

The Bucks are not only on pace for 70 wins, but they're 17-12 ATS as home favorites this year. That's nice, but it's not as nice as Oklahoma City being an astounding 18-4 ATS as road 'dogs. "But they're on the second half of a back-to-back," you cry. Well, that's true, but the Thunder are also an incredible 8-0 ATS in the second leg of a back-to-back. All of that combined with a double-digit spread has me all over the Thunder tonight.

Also key to note is that Milwaukee benefits from fast break points but the steady and poised defense of OKC is #1 in the NBA in fastbreak pts allowed per game at an impressive 10.4/game. I'll take OKC as double digit dogs.

My Oklahoma City vs Milwaukee predictions:

OKC +10.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$500

Risk

$455

Win

Love the Nets in this spot. The defense has been sneaky good in the last 14. Hawks' Team Total UNDER 116.5: This is all about the Nets who rank 2nd in points allowed per 100 possessions, 2nd in opponent EFG%, 1st in opponent 3-point % and 4th in opponent free throw rate over the L10 games. They've allowed fewer than this in 12 of their L14 games!

I think Trey is kept in check or atleast cancelled out by Dinwiddies shooting and beyond that, the way BKN is playing, I'll take them as my road dog team of the night.

My Brooklyn vs Atlanta predictions:

BKN -3 (-110)

Spread Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

Depth is a big issue for the Bulls right now with no Porter, Lauri or Carter - all three are paramount pieces to this young team. Dunn is questionable too. Nets by a couple of possessions seems like a lock at relatively full strength. Brooklyn are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago.

My Chicago vs Brooklyn predictions:

CHI -5.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

BETTING PREVIEW Oklahoma City Thunder 29-20 (33-16 ATS) are playing Phoenix Suns 20-27 (24-22-1 ATS) ... http://bit.ly/2GFQRIJ

BETTING PREVIEW Dallas Mavericks 29-18 (24-20-3 ATS) are playing Houston Rockets 29-18 (22-25 ATS) on... http://bit.ly/2uPFvz9

BETTING PREVIEW Memphis Grizzlies 24-24 (26-21-1 ATS) are playing New Orleans Pelicans 19-29 (25-22-1 ... http://bit.ly/2GIp3DC

BETTING PREVIEW Golden State Warriors 10-38 (23-24-1 ATS) are playing Boston Celtics 31-15 (27-17-2 AT... http://bit.ly/31d1hsH

BETTING PREVIEW Sacramento Kings 17-30 (22-24-1 ATS) are playing Los Angeles Clippers 33-14 (26-21 AT... http://bit.ly/2GBbC8r

The Knicks enter this game 5-0 against the spread in their last 5 games. But, only one of those games were on the road. The Knicks average 103.6 points per game on the road and they are giving up 113.8 points. This is also the first game of a back to back for New York and I could possibly see them resting a player or 2. The Hornets won 103-102 in New York back on November 16th with RJ Barrett scoring 22 points for the Knicks.

BETTING PREVIEW Atlanta Hawks 12-35 (22-25 ATS) are playing Toronto Raptors 32-14 (26-20 ATS) on Jan 2... http://bit.ly/37Av3dp

BETTING PREVIEW Golden State Warriors 10-37 (22-24-1 ATS) are playing Philadelphia 76ers 30-17 (21-25-... http://bit.ly/2vmn6tZ

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