William & Mary vs Hampton Predictions

William & Mary is on the road playing Hampton at the Hampton Convocation Center stadium on Thursday, 2/2/2023 @ 7:00pm EST. William & Mary is the betting favorite opening at -1 and the line hasn't moved.

William & Mary (9-14 SU, 4-6 CAA) travels about half an hour to Virginia on Thursday night to face Hampton (5-17 SU, 2-8 CAA). As an 8-point favorite, the Tribe defeated the Pirates 81-65 on Jan. 11. After being in different conferences since 2015, Hampton moved to the CAA this year.

The tribe continues to face road problems

Having beaten Stony Brook at home 77-74 on Jan. 26, William & Mary traveled to Towson, Maryland last Saturday. It followed their 69-67 road win over UNCW on Jan. 14, which snapped a three-game losing streak. They earned their first and only road victory of the season with that win over the Seahawks. Despite scoring 40 points in the first half against Towson, William & Mary could not slow down the Tigers' offense in their 92-73 loss. The Tribe's Anders Nelson scored 22 points on 7-of-8 shooting (5-of-6 from 3-point range). The team was missing power forward Noah Collier (6-8, 220), a Pitt transfer who averaged 9.7 points and led the team with 8.7 rebounds.

CAA pirates are making waves

In their first season in the CAA, Hampton started out 0-7 before beating Monmouth 83-66 on Jan. 11 and then upset Delaware 67-66 at home on Jan. 26 as a 10-point favorite. As a 1-point underdog, they lost 71-66 to another newly formed CAA team in Stony Brook last Saturday. Frankie Policelli scored a career-high 34 points for the Seawolves, including 31 in the second half, which was the bottom line for Hampton. A 21-point and 12-rebound performance was led by Kyrese Mullen for the Pirates. Jordan Nesbitt added 17 points, eight rebounds, and five assists for Hampton, which shot only 35% from the field.

In spite of the concern that Collier won't play, Hampton's poor shooting warrants more attention. It looks like they are better at home (37%, 29.6% 3pt) than they are away from home (37%, 29.6% 3pt). On the road, William & Mary shoots 48.1% from the field and 37.1% from three-point range. I'm concerned about Hampton's ability to defend the three. They haven't shown that propensity at home or on the road. A 59% field-goal percentage was achieved by W&M against the Pirates in the first meeting.

Tribe vs Pirates Prediction for Tonight's Game

Based on recent trends and stats, the Scorecaster predicts Pirates to win tonight's game by 5 points. This model factors in recent against the spread (ATS) trends and scoring which predicts Pirates to cover the 1 point spread and the total to go over 143 points.

PREDICTED SCORE: William & Mary 78 to Hampton 83

Scorecaster algorithmic predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the William & Mary Tribe and Hampton Pirates, plus recent team & player performances and defensive & offensive matchups from recent history.

Curated Picks & Predictions

• From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be w&m 73.75, HAMPT 71.75.
• Based on the moneyline, the implied probability that William & Mary will win straight-up is 53%.
• The SportsJaw community predicts William & Mary Tribe to cover (57%)
• OddsShark has not made a prediction yet.
• 52% picked William & Mary Tribe on Covers.com

William & Mary Highlights

With a power ranking of 351, William & Mary is ranked #248 in offense (scoring an average of 68.82 per game), #224 in defense (allowing an average of 70.77 points to be scored against them per game) and are 9-14 (7-13-1 ATS) this season.

Hampton Highlights

Hampton Pirates has a power ranking of 149 and are #295 for offense (scoring an average of 67.25 per game), #351 for defense (giving up an average of 78.60 points per game) and 4-17 (9-11-1 ATS) overall. William & Mary went 1-2 (1-2 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Hampton.

William & Mary Offensive Stats

• The Tribe are ranked #248 in offense scoring an average of 68.82 per game.
• The Tribe hit an average of 44.01% of their field goals (ranked #218 in the NCAAB) and 65.66% of their free throws (ranked #325 in the NCAAB) per game.
• William & Mary makes an average of 36.61% of their three pointers (ranked #58 in the NCAAB).
• William & Mary averages 34.91 rebounds per game (ranked # 201 in the NCAAB).
• The Tribe average 12.32 offensive assists and 12.27 turnovers per game (ranked # 258 and 130 respectively).

Hampton Offensive Stats

• The Pirates are ranked #248 in offense scoring an average of 68.82 per game.
• The Pirates hit an average of 39.05% of their field goals (ranked #356 in the NCAAB) and 67.73% of their free throws (ranked #291 in the NCAAB) per game.
• Hampton makes an average of 33.48% of their three pointers (ranked #219 in the NCAAB).
• Hampton averages 32.95 rebounds per game (ranked # 281 in the NCAAB).
• The Pirates average 10.35 offensive assists and 11.50 turnovers per game (ranked # 258 and 58 respectively).

William & Mary Defensive Stats

• The Tribe are ranked #248 in defense allowing an average of 68.82 points to be scored on them per game.
• The Tribe allow an average of 46.06% field goals (ranked #317 in the NCAAB) and 69.91% free throws (ranked #133 in the NCAAB) per game.
• William & Mary allows an average of 34.29% of the three pointers (ranked #236 in the NCAAB).
• William & Mary averages 33.05 rebounds per game (ranked # 33.05 in the NCAAB).
• The Tribe average 13.27 defensive assists and 11.27 turnovers per game (ranked # 227 and 318 respectively).

Hampton Defensive Stats

• The Pirates are ranked #248 in defense allowing an average of 68.82 points to be scored on them per game.
• The Pirates allow an average of 47.68% field goals (ranked #350 in the NCAAB) and 67.27% of the free throws (ranked #39 in the NCAAB) per game.
• Hampton allows an average of 38.89% of their three pointers (ranked #355 in the NCAAB).
• Hampton averages 39.15 rebounds per game (ranked # 39.15 in the NCAAB).
• The Pirates average 15.00 defensive assists and 11.25 turnovers per game (ranked # 227 and 320 respectively).

Betting Summary

• Pirates has a slight advantage in regards to ball control (factoring in rebounds and turnovers).
• The Scorecaster model predicts Pirates to cover the 1 point spread and the total to go over 143 points.
• For the best predictions available, make sure to checkout the best bets made by our certified NCAAB experts.

Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NCAAB Predictions