All of the broncos games have been UNDER this given total. Also, with Mahomes still hindered from his injury and chiefs lacking a majority of key players at the front I have to stick with the UNDER here.
Mahomes and company have to get back on track and this is the game to do it. The Chiefs defense has been it's Achilles heel but now the offense has become a little predictable against better defenses as well. I think they come with new energy today though.
It took a crazy left handed pass last year for Mahomes to get a win at mile high. I think his ankle is fine but it will limit some of his escapability like we saw in that play. It will be key for Denver to get up early and control the clock. If they get down big their offense isnt built to make a big comeback like that. I think the hometown crowd and the Defense that should hold its own gives the Broncos the edge.
Statistically not close and sometimes that just doesn't matter but today it does. Denver is just not very good offensively they can't find a groove especially passing. The Chiefs have had some tough games that exposed some wholes but I think today against a team like the Broncos I think they get to explode.
I am going to hammer the under here as I believe Mahomes ankle is going to still limit him and this KC offense. On the flip side I believe this is going to be a big Phillip Lindsay game. KC is currently 30th against the run. Look what they have given up so far. Carlos Hyde - 116,Marlon Mack - 132,Kerryon Johnson - 125, Mark Ingram - 103 and Josh Jacobs 99 on only 12 carries. I think with Lindsays ability out of the backfield as well, this is a big game for him. Denver is also ranked as the 4th best against the pass as even without Chubb they have been getting to the QB and covering well. Mahomes ankle issues should help this cause. And where on earth are the chiefs going to get a run game from? We can't count on any of them to even show up. Short Week, MVP ailing, Mile High and I believe Denver controls the clock with the running game and we cash with an easy under.
Vegas is flat out wrong on this spot. The defense is in a great spot for the season to turn for the better and for bettors to take advantage. The Broncos are not a successful passing unit, a bad defense against the run & I mean, it's Andy Reid, guys. The man won't let this be a slip up. Check these numbers out and tell me HOW you bet against a SB Contender?
KC against AFC WEST:
22-2 SU in last 24 14-4 ATS in last 18 15-3 ATS in last 18 on the road
Chiefs are 12-1 SU and 11-2 ATS in the last 13 divisional road games! Andy Reid ain't playing around in this one. Denver is trash against the run and they'll get exploited there again. They've been slower getting to the QB as well. Mahomes can limp around in this one and hand the ball off for an easy W for KC and me. BET- take the points, SJ fam.
83% of bettors have laid the points with the KC which is makes it the most common betting trend. Mahomes is nursing an injured ankle and Vegas seems to have lost some respect for these guys. The Broncos D will get eaten up on the ground and the two most recent wins were more a result of impressive offense and the opponent coming out flat and staying that way (SD, TENN). The Chiefs are averaging 2.80 pts per drive while Denver has scored more than 21 points once this season. I'm not giving up on Andy Reid and this offense just yet - even if the defense can't get it together.