The Lions were supposed to be stout against the run. Well, they've allowed 4.8 yds/rush and 100+ yards per game in all four games to date. If A'Shawn Robinson is out, they're going to be in trouble against this Packers rushing game. Pass rush for Detroit hasn't been getting pressure early enough in downs and Rodgers can make time outside the pocket slowly and methodically beating this team.
This is two pretty evenly matched teams but Detroit has some injuries that should cause some concern in the secondary and against Rodgers that might be a bad sign. I like the Packers to hang tight and pull this out.
Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense seem to have finally found some consistency. The defenses will make the difference here though and the Packers have performed well so far this season and I'll go with them tonight.
Detroit plays man coverage and the Packers are without the only talent at WR that can exploit this type of defense. They will be light on the d-line with Deshawn Hand, Mike Daniels and possibly A'Shawn Robinson out though so I'm going with Aaron Rodgers and Co. The Lions have one of the slowest rush grades in the NFL, rarely getting to the QB within 2.5 seconds of the snap and the Packers have one of the best graded Offensive Lines against the pass rush. I think Rodgers will feel he has all day against this pass rush and it will wear these Lions DBs down.
I would lean Lions and the points in this spot but the value bet is the UNDER 45.5. Both of these teams have had success in 2019, mostly thanks to their defenses. Detroit's secondary, anchored by Darius Slay, has been playing at an elite level. The Packers are still going to be without Davante Adams, so I don't see them having that much success in the passing attack. Both teams have a weak-spot in their run defense, so expect both sides to try and establish the run. Even with gunslinger Aaron Rodgers at the helm I think this one sets up for a defensive game.
Detroit is coming off of the by and has beaten GB in their last 4 meetings. I think the public is sleeping on them a bit but wise guys have brought the price down a 1/2 point in DET favor as you can see. I'm on DET - I think they keep this one within a FG.
Lions T.J. Hockenson remains in the concussion protocol but is expected to participate in practice Wednesday, Justin Rogers of The Detroit News reports. ANALYSIS Coming off Detroit's bye week, Hockenson appears to have made at least some progress through the NFL's five-step protocol for head injuries. The rookie first-round pick will benefit from a bit of additional time to get healthy before Monday's divisional tilt in Green Bay, although it still remains unclear whether he'll ultimately play Week 6. Even if he resumes practicing with contact by the end of the week, he'll need to receive full clearance from an independent neurologist to guarantee his availability Monday night
NFL Week 6 vegas odds: Detroit Lions open as 6-point underdogs vs. Green Bay Packers - Pride Of DetroitCan the Lions beat the odds as underdogs yet again? https://www.prideofdetroit.com/2019/10/7/20902517/nfl-week-6-vegas-odds-detroit-lions-green-bay-packers-opening-line