Notre Dame vs North Carolina Picks

Sat Sep 24 3:30PM

Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs North Carolina Tar Heels Recap for September 24th, 2022, 3:30PM ET

Notre Dame is playing North Carolina at the Kenan Memorial Stadium stadium on Saturday, 9/24/2022 @ 3:30pm EST. Notre Dame -1 was the opening favorite and current line is North Carolina -1.5.

Fighting Irish recorded their first win of the season

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish entered a new college football season with two losses, but they managed to beat the California Golden Bears at home. Although they didn't deserve to win as the visitors weren't a worse team, the Irish still prevailed 24-17.

Pyne completed 17 of 23 passes for 150 yards and two touchdowns. Pyne's TD pass was caught by Chris Tyree, who led the team with 44 receiving yards on five receptions. On the ground, Audric Estime accumulated 76 yards over 18 carries and scored a touchdown with 76 yards. Six sacks were recorded by Notre Dame in this match, led by DL Jacob Lacey with two and Jayson Ademilola and Isaiah Foskey with 1.5 each. After sustaining a high-grade AC joint sprain in his shoulder, Tyler Buchner will miss the remainder of the season.

Tar Heels keep marching on

The North Carolina Tar Heels are the only one of two ACC Coastal teams without a loss yet, and after beating FAMU and Appalachian State, they beat the Georgia State Panthers on the road. Though the Tar Heels failed to cover a -7 spread, what's important is that they did win despite committing three turnovers against Georgia State's zero.

In the final 15 minutes, North Carolina scored a touchdown after leading by 21-10 at halftime. Drake Maye completed 19 of 24 passes for 284 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception to secure the win. Three Tar Heels rushing touchdowns were scored by the Tar Heels, as Kobe Paysour (73 yards on five receptions) and Kamari Morales (71 yards on three receptions) connected with Maye. With 110 yards and two touchdowns on 16 carries, Omarion Hampton led all runners. There were 24 tackles combined by Cedric Gray and Power Echols.

The status of WR Josh Downs, who sat out the last two games due to a lower-body injury, is uncertain for Saturday's game against Notre Dame. RB Caleb Hood is also questionable for Saturday's game against Notre Dame.

BETTING PREDITION: After losing starting QB Tyler Buchner to a season-ending injury, I doubt the Fighting Irish can compete with North Carolina’s high-octane offense that averages 51.3 ppg (7th in the country). Given that Notre Dame is scoring just 18.3 ppg, I am going with the home side that is among the top 20 in college football in both passing yards (310.0) and rushing yards (237.3). Drake Maye already has 930 passing yards with 11 touchdowns and just one interception, and I am backing him to have another strong showing on Saturday. Pick: Take the Tar Heels at -1.5 (-110)

Picks & predictions for Notre Dame vs North Carolina:

  • Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be NOTRD 29.5, UNC 26.5.
  • 65% of SportsJaw players predict North Carolina Tar Heels to cover.
  • OddsShark's prediction is Notre Dame will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.
  • 68% on Covers pick North Carolina -1.5.
  • SportsJaw's ScoreCaster prediction: Fighting Irish 24 to Tar Heels 28.

Notre Dame is ranked #122 in offense, #66 in defense and are ( ATS) in their games. North Carolina Tar Heels are #1 for offense, #129 for defense and ( ATS) . Notre Dame went 0-3 (0-3 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against North Carolina.

Betting on Notre Dame Fighting Irish +1.5

  • 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games.
  • 12-4 SU in their last 16 games.
  • 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against North Carolina.
  • 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against North Carolina.

Betting on North Carolina Tar Heels -1.5

  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 5 games.
  • 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 6 games against Notre Dame.
  • 8-1 SU in their last 9 games at home.

Check out the rest of the Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs North Carolina Tar Heels matchup page for community picks & predictions and more.

Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NCAAF Predictions

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Social predictions and betting insights on the Notre Dame vs North Carolina matchup.

Trending Pick

Notre Dame is not the same as years past now the face a tough offense on North Carolina with a great quarterback the good news is North Carolina has no defense! Notre Dame will run the ball and slow down Notre Dame!


My Notre Dame vs North Carolina predictions

NOTRD +2.5 (-110)

Spread Pick





Won 60% of last 10 NCAAF predictions

I like Notre Dame to come away with this one. UNC's defense has been awful against teams they should dominate. While Notre Dame's offense has also been underwhelming, I think their defense gets enough stops for the offense to find a groove. It should be close, but I think the Irish pull it out.

My Notre Dame vs North Carolina predictions

NOTRD +105

Moneyline Pick





Won 90% of last 10 NCAAF predictions

Notre Dame has been quite the disappointment this season. After a close(ish) loss to the Buckeyes to start the season, they barely beat Cal and lost to Marshall. As for the Tar Heels, they’re 3-0 with two cupcake wins and a good win over App State. Drake Maye has been great at QB for North Carolina with 11 TDs and almost one-thousand passing yards on the young season, while Notre Dame’s QB situation is less than ideal. I think the Irish’s defense could keep it close, but the disparity in these teams ability to score has me leaning heavily towards UNC, as they've scored 154 total points this season compared to Notre Dame’s 55.

Prediction: UNC takes this one and covers the tiny spread at -1.5.

My Notre Dame vs North Carolina predictions

UNC -1.5 (-110)

Spread Pick





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