TCU vs SMU Picks

Sat Sep 24 12:00PM
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Final
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TCU14140144271.5
SMU01471334+2.5

TCU Horned Frogs vs SMU Mustangs Recap for September 24th, 2022, 12:00PM ET

TCU is playing SMU at the Gerald J. Ford Stadium stadium on Saturday, 9/24/2022 @ 12:00pm EST. SMU -1.25 was the opening favorite and line hasn't moved.

Since TCU was off last week after waffling Tarleton in their recent home opener, it has had two weeks to prepare for this game. Coach Dykes returns to face the program he coached for the previous four seasons as the Horned Frogs hope to continue their roll. TCU scored 21 points in the first quarter and 28 points in the second quarter, leading 38-7 at half. The Horned Frogs cruised the rest of the way. In addition to rolling up a 630-295 advantage in total offense, TCU grabbed 28-13 advantage in first downs, and owned a 34:42 to 25:18 advantage in time of possession.

On the year, TCU comes into this contest tied for 27th in the FBS in passing offense with 294 yards per game, while they are 19th in rushing offense with 227.5 yards per game. By scoring 48.5 points per game, the Horned Frogs rank 9th in the nation, while they rank 31st in scoring defense as they only allow 15 points per game. In addition to passing for 417 yards, Max Duggan rushed for 44 yards and scored five touchdowns. Despite suffering a sprained knee in the opener against Colorado, Chandler Morris is 13 of 20 for 111 yards and adds 18 yards on the ground. In garbage time, Sam Jackson (four of four, 58 yards, 69 rushing yards, two touchdowns) and Josh Hoover (one of one, two yards) have both been utilized. Aside from Miller, Emani Bailey (seven carries, 89 yards, TD) and Emari Demercado (10 carries, 56 yards, TD) are also capable backs. Among the team's receivers, Jordan Hudson has six for 84 yards and a touchdown, while Taye Barber (four grabs, 75 yards), Blake Nowell (four catches, 69 yards) and Gunnar Henderson (two receptions, 56 yards) all have more than 50 yards. As of now, Luke Laminack has hit six of seven extra points and one of two field goals with a long of 36. Griffin Kell has hit all five extra points and one field goal from 33.

SMU battled but couldn't come up with the clutch plays down the stretch against Maryland, falling a touchdown short on the road. The Ponies rolled up 30 first downs against Maryland while allowing 16 and won 31:30 to 28:30 in time of possession against Maryland. The Mustangs led 27-20 after three quarters before getting outscored 14-0 in the final stanza to end up with the loss. SMU was hurt by three turnovers as they were unable to capitalize on two takeaways or 15 Maryland penalties in the contest.

With an average passing offense of 346.7 yards per game and a rushing offense of 169.7 yards per game, the Mustangs are ranked 10th in the FBS. The SMU offense puts up an average of 40 points per game, while the defense allows an average of 20 points per game. In his first year of football, Tanner Mordecai has thrown for 1,013 yards with 10 touchdowns against three interceptions and has added 11 yards on the ground. Preston Stone is six of seven for 27 yards and an interception while adding five yards plus a score on the ground. TJ McDaniel leads the ground game with 24 carries for 156 yards plus two scores. Tre Siggers (31 carries, 140 yards, TD) and Velton Gardner (16 carries, 122 yards) can both share the load. With 28 catches for 491 yards plus three scores, Rashee Rice is far and away the top receiving threat. There are three players who have reached 75 yards receiving this season: Jordan Kerley (six catches, 133 yards, TD), RJ Maryland (four grabs, 88 yards, TD) and Roderick Daniels Jr. (two catches, 76 yards, TD). This year, Collin Rogers has made 15 extra point attempts and five of six field goal attempts, with a long of 43 yards.

BETTING PREDICTION: As for SMU's offensive attack, Dykes is the best person who knows their system, so the Horned Frogs will have to find a way to slow it down. However, SMU will be playing at home, so that is good news for them. The Mustangs have been extremely effective at moving the ball. If they can avoid the turnovers that bit them against Maryland, they have a very good shot here. As it stands, give SMU the slight advantage in this contest due to the continuity factor.

Picks & predictions for TCU vs SMU:

  • Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be TCU 35.5, SMU 33.
  • 56% of SportsJaw players predict SMU Mustangs to cover.
  • OddsShark's prediction is Southern Methodist will win, cover the spread, and the total will go under.
  • 70% on Covers pick SMU -1.25.
  • SportsJaw's ScoreCaster prediction: Horned Frogs 25 to Mustangs 37.

TCU is ranked #17 in offense, #33 in defense and are ( ATS) in their games. SMU Mustangs are #22 for offense, #25 for defense and ( ATS) . TCU went 2-1 (2-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against SMU.

Betting on TCU Horned Frogs +1.25

  • Texas Christian are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Texas Christian's last 6 games.
  • Texas Christian are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
  • Texas Christian are 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games against Southern Methodist.

Betting on SMU Mustangs -1.25

  • Southern Methodist are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 5 games.
  • Southern Methodist are 10-5 SU in their last 15 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 6 of Southern Methodist's last 8 games against Texas Christian.

Check out the rest of the TCU Horned Frogs vs SMU Mustangs matchup page for community picks & predictions and more.

Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NCAAF Predictions

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Social predictions and betting insights on the TCU vs SMU matchup.

Tcu money line

My TCU vs SMU predictions

TCU -136

Moneyline Pick

$500

Risk

$368

Win

Trending Pick

TCU WINS THIS ONE BIG!!! THEIR OFFENSE IS INSANE AND SONNY DYKES WINS HIS HOMECOMING!!! HORNED FROGS SHUT THEM UP EARLY!!!

My TCU vs SMU predictions

TCU -136

Moneyline Pick

$100

Risk

$74

Win

TCU -2.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$100

Risk

$91

Win

Won 70% of last 10 NCAAF predictions

I like TCU to win in this one in a big game. Dykes returns home, Horned Frogs need a big win in this series. I think the Frogs offense will really click in this one.

My TCU vs SMU predictions

TCU -136

Moneyline Pick

$100

Risk

$74

Win

TCU -2.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$100

Risk

$91

Win

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