Bowling Green vs Mississippi St. Picks

Sat Sep 24 12:00PM
14
Final
45
 1234TODDS
BGREEN07071453
MIS.ST17147745-31

Bowling Green Falcons vs Mississippi St. Bulldogs Recap for September 24th, 2022, 12:00PM ET

p> Bowling Green is playing Mississippi St. at the Davis Wade Stadium at Scott Field stadium on Saturday, 9/24/2022 @ 12:00pm EST. Mississippi St. -30 was the opening favorite and line hasn't moved.

After beating the Marshall Thundering Herd 34-31 in overtime, Bowling Green is 1-2 so far. With 282 yards through the air and eight rushing attempts for 24 yards (three yards per carry), senior quarterback Matt McDonald will start. Mississippi State is 2-1 this year and is coming off a 31-16 road loss to the LSU Tigers. Will Rogers, a junior quarterback, was 24-of-42 for 214 yards with a touchdown and an interception. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Bowling Green has been solid at throwing the football and having someone like senior wide receiver Odieu Hiliare get the ball thrown to him has been a great help. His season totals include 12 catches for 143 yards (11.9 yards per reception) with three touchdowns, and six rushing attempts for five yards (0.8 yards per carry). A pair of touchdown receptions and a pair of carries for -4 yards (-2 yards per attempt) rounded out Hilaire's best game of the year against Marshall. He finished with four receptions for 79 yards (19.8 yards per catch) and a pair of touchdown receptions. It will be an excellent position for the offense if he can continue to build on his performance.

Throughout the season, the Bowling Green Falcons have struggled on the defensive side of the ball, giving up 45 points on 538.3 total yards. Against the Marshall Thundering Herd, they allowed 31 points on 547 yards of offense (356 passing, 191 rushing). It's important for the Falcons to figure out how to get to the ball quicker since they have allowed 5.2 rushing yards per attempt throughout the game. A fumble was recovered by senior defensive lineman Karl Brooks, and a pass was intercepted by sophomore safety Trent Simms. 

The offense for Mississippi State has been doing pretty well as sophomore wide receiver Rara Thomas has done pretty well. To this point, Thomas has 14 catches for 211 yards (15.1 yards per reception) and a pair of touchdown catches. Last time out, he had four receptions for 67 yards (16.8% yards per catch) and a receiving touchdown against the LSU Tigers. Thomas will be able to be more active in the game if he is targeted a bit more. 

With 342 yards of offense per game, the Mississippi State Bulldogs are allowing 23.7 points. They gave up 31 points against the LSU Tigers in their last game on 417 yards (210 passing, 207 rushing). As a team, the Tigers have done a decent job preventing money downs in their last game against the Bulldogs, going 6-of-15 on third down attempts and 1-of-2 on fourth down attempts. They also struggled against the running game as the Tigers were able to run for 5.4 yards per carry throughout the game. 

Injury Report: The Bowling Green Falcons have three players currently on their injury list as senior center Jakari Robinson is questionable for this game due to eligibility. However, they will be without senior wide receiver Austin Osborne with an upper body injury as well as sophomore running back Terion Stewart, who is dealing with a personal issue.

Bowling Green vs Mississippi St. Picks & Predictions:

  • From the lines set by Sportsbooks, they predict the score to be BGREEN 58.5, MIS.ST -1.5.
  • 55% of SportsJaw predicts Mississippi St. Bulldogs to cover.
  • OddsShark predicts Mississippi State will win, bowling green will cover, and the total will go under.
  • 70% on Covers pick Mississippi St. -30.
  • Our ScoreCaster predicts Falcons 12 to Bulldogs 40.

Bowling Green is ranked #54 in offense, #127 in defense and are ( ATS) in their games. Mississippi St. Bulldogs are #30 for offense, #47 for defense and ( ATS) . Bowling Green went 1-0 (0-1 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Mississippi St..

Betting on Bowling Green Falcons +30

  • 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Bowling Green's last 10 games.
  • 5-15 SU in their last 20 games.
  • 2-14 SU in their last 16 games on the road.

Betting on Mississippi St. Bulldogs -30

  • Mississippi State are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 5 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Mississippi State's last 18 games at home.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Mississippi State's last 6 games played in September.

Check out the rest of the Bowling Green Falcons vs Mississippi St. Bulldogs matchup page for community picks & predictions and more.

Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NCAAF Predictions

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Social predictions and betting insights on the Bowling Green vs Mississippi St. matchup.

Trending Pick

Mississippi State’s defense has gotten sloppy toward the end of games this season, so Bowling Green could grab a couple touchdowns late to cover the spread, which is around 30 points. But the Bulldogs should have no issues marching down the field and putting up score after score. I expect a big day for Rogers and maybe even a touchdown from backup Sawyer Robertson. Another game where I like the points, I predict a score of Mississippi State 42, Bowling Green 17.

My Bowling Green vs Mississippi St. predictions

BGREEN +31 (-110)

Spread Pick

$100

Risk

$91

Win

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