Central Michigan vs Penn St. Picks

Sat Sep 24 12:00PM
14
Final
33
 1234TODDS
CMICH014001461.5
PENNST1476633-28

Central Michigan Chippewas vs Penn St. Nittany Lions Recap for September 24th, 2022, 12:00PM ET

Central Michigan is playing Penn St. at the Beaver Stadium stadium on Saturday, 9/24/2022 @ 12:00pm EST. Penn St. -25.5 was the opening favorite and line hasn't moved.

The Central Michigan Chippewas desperately needed a feel-good win on Saturday when they met up with Bucknell, also winless heading into the game. Running back Lewis Nichols II assured that that would be the case with a breakout performance out of the backfield. In a convincing 41-0 Chippewas win, Nichols exploded for 166 yards and two touchdowns.

CMU dominated the yardage category with 529 yards of total offense compared with just 174 for Bucknell. Daniel Richardson led the team 15-of-32 for 198 yards and two touchdowns with one interception. Wide receivers Joel Wilson and Langford Lewis both caught touchdown passes in the game. Despite leading just 7-0 at halftime, the Chippewas were able to take the game over in the second half. Defensively, the Chippewas had 13 tackles for loss and three sacks. The resounding victory included a fumble recovery, an interception, and seven pass breakups.

Over the course of the season, CMU is averaging 36 points per game while allowing over 32 points per game. Through the air, the Chippewas average over 311 yards per game with seven touchdowns and two interceptions. They are averaging over 160 yards per game rushing while allowing the opposition over 103 yards per game. Through three games, the opposition has averaged 299 yards per game with seven touchdowns and two interceptions. This season, CMU is converting on 35% of third down plays while holding the opposition to just 29%. They are losing the time of possession battle by over three minutes and are -1 on turnover differential.

The Penn State season has gone perhaps even better than head coach James Franklin could have expected. Heading into the season, the Nittany Lions had two tough road tilts sandwiching a relatively easy home game against Ohio. After dispatching of Auburn with an easy 41-12 win on Saturday, Penn State is sitting pretty at 3-0 to start the 2022 season.

After a tightly played first half in which Penn State led 14-6, the Nittany Lions pounded the Tigers with 17 unanswered points in the 3rd quarter on their way to the blowout win. QB Sean Clifford went 14-of-19 with 178 yards and also ran in for a 7-yard touchdown run. Clifford's efforts took a backseat to the PSU running game led by budding star, freshman Nicholas Singleton. Singleton ran for 124 yards and two touchdowns on just 10 carries, including a 54-yard touchdown run. Kaytron Allen, another freshman back, had 52 yards rushing and scored a touchdown himself. Penn State finished with 477 total yards including 245 on the ground.

Defensively, Penn State had four takeaways in the game with two fumble recoveries and two interceptions. In addition, PSU had 11 tackles for loss and six sacks. They held Auburn to 5-of-14 on third down and held the Tigers' powerful running attack to just 119 yards.

Penn State has dominated the opposition thus far with a 42-18 aggregate score. They are averaging 485 yards of total offenses per game including 285 yards through the air. The Nittany Lions are holding their opponents to 368 yards per game. Penn State is +4 in turnover differential thus far and holds a two-minute time of possession average edge vs. the opposition. Led by their sixth-year quarterback, the Nittany Lions have converted on 35% of third downs and 50% of fourth down conversions. PSU's defense is holding the opposition to just a 31% third down conversion rate.

BETTING PREDICTION:  CMU has a glaring weakness in their defense, which is their ability to stop the pass. They pummeled Ohio by 36 at home, which would be a favorable comparison to Central Michigan. With nearly 300 yards allowed per game, the Chippewas aren't going to be able to handle Clifford and Penn State's receivers well. In order to stop the pass, the Chippewas will have to play more defensive backs, giving Singleton more room to run. With runs of more than 50 yards in each of the last two games, Singleton has proven to be a home run hitter. The Chippewas will be trying to protect against the Nittany Lions' passing game, so Singleton is expected to run wild. He is expected to run 50+ yards again. An opportunistic Penn State defense that has already forced five turnovers this season will also haunt CMU's -1 turnover ratio.

Picks & predictions for Central Michigan vs Penn St.:

  • Based on the current lines, Oddsmakers predict the score to be CMICH 55.75, PENNST 4.75.
  • 55% of SportsJaw players predict Penn St. Nittany Lions to cover.
  • OddsShark's prediction is Central Michigan will win, cover the spread, and the total will go over.
  • 68% on Covers pick Penn St. -25.5.
  • SportsJaw's ScoreCaster prediction: Chippewas 32 to Nittany Lions 31.

Central Michigan is ranked #67 in offense, #124 in defense and are ( ATS) in their games. Penn St. Nittany Lions are #41 for offense, #55 for defense and ( ATS) . Central Michigan went 1-0 (1-0 ATS) in their last 3 matchups against Penn St..

Betting on Central Michigan Chippewas +25.5

  • 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 6 games.
  • 6-2 SU in their last 8 games.
  • 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games on the road.

Betting on Penn St. Nittany Lions -25.5

  • Penn State are 14-6 ATS in their last 20 games.
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Penn State's last 5 games.
  • Penn State are 14-6 SU in their last 20 games.
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Penn State's last 5 games at home.

Check out the rest of the Central Michigan Chippewas vs Penn St. Nittany Lions matchup page for community picks & predictions and more.

Written by SportsJaw Staff
Categorized as NCAAF Predictions

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Social predictions and betting insights on the Central Michigan vs Penn St. matchup.

Won 90% of last 10 NCAAF predictions

Penn State is 3-0, and besides their week one win over Purdue, they haven’t had much drama. They beat Auburn big last week, and even in a down year for the Tigers, Penn State should feel pretty good about the performance they put on against their SEC opponent. The Nittany Lions rushed for 245 yards and averaged 7 yards per offensive play in their 41-12 rout, and I expect more of the same against a Central Michigan team that does not have nearly the talent of Auburn. Yes, they just destroyed Bucknell, but that’s no accomplishment. Their two losses are against Oklahoma State and a solid Southern Alabama team, both of whom rushed the ball well. Penn State is going to control this game with their run game and take the win. I’m staying away from the spread on this one, but if I had to pick I’d take Central to cover, just based on their solid showing against Oklahoma State in week 1.

Prediction: Penn State imposes their will running and wins this one while covering -26.

My Central Michigan vs Penn St. predictions

PENNST -5000

Moneyline Pick

$500

Risk

$10

Win

PENNST -28 (-110)

Spread Pick

$100

Risk

$91

Win

Won 60% of last 10 NCAAF predictions

Central Michigan’s defense clearly has issues to sort out and will struggle to contain the passing game. The Chips rank 113th in passing success rate on defense, while Penn State is 54th offensively, BUT I do think the Chips offense should keep them within striking distance of this number.

There’s plenty of reasons for optimism after Penn State’s rousing start to the season, but this number is clearly inflated. All you need to do to see that is look back a couple of weeks ago when the Nittany Lions closed as 24-point favorites against Ohio, a team that is considerably worse than Central Michigan. Give me the 28 points here as I think the CMU offense does enough to stay within earshot.

My Central Michigan vs Penn St. predictions

CMICH +28 (-110)

Spread Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

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