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Ok its time to jump aboard and follow me for the W! Dont ask how we keep winning just say thank you! Its not about winning for Tulane but covering the spread. They cover tonight in a tightly congested game.
Call me crazy on this one but I think SMU wins tonight by 14...I know everyone is saying that it's gonna be a lot closer than expected however I think the hangover of blowing a 24-3 lead to U of H will play a big factor here.
On the flip side, the two stars for SMU are sidelined for the season. That being said I still think Vegas is siding big time with the ponies with a small sample size and waaayyyy overvalued (in most matchups).
In closing, I think SMU will hold the upper hand here in this battle and will dominate throughout. Afterall they are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 turf games
This line opened at SMU -9 and has been bet down to -6.5. I've watched Tulane play 2 games this season, one against Navy (in which I had money on Tulane and last week against South Alabama. While they look good at times, I don't trust the Tulane QB Keon Howard and they were lucky to beat a bad South Alabama team last week.
On the other side I think SMU is hitting their stride, while 4-0 they've had a couple of close games but have the much better offense with QB Shane Buechele under center and have averaged 48 PPG in last 3 (31, 65 and 50 points in their last 3 games).
All things considered, SMU is the better team here tonight and I don't see Tulane keeping up with them for 4 quarters. Getting the Ponies under a touchdown here is getting my money.
SMU Mustangs 4-0 (3-1 ATS) are playing Tulane Green Wave 2-2 (1-3 ATS) on October 16, 2020, 6:00 PM ET at Benson Field at Yulman Stadium. The Green Wave opened at +7.5 and the current line is TUL +6.5.
The Mustangs are ranked #4th in offense and 76th in defense and the Green Wave are ranked #19th in offense and 102nd in defense.
Vegas has been overvaluing the Mustangs and been expecting too much from the Green Wave lately.
After crunching 135 data points, CaptainObvious's predicted score is Mustangs 33 to Green Wave 29.