Staff Prediction

Auburn Tigers vs LSU Tigers
Prediction Odds and Preview

By Staff Writer, rc

Auburn Tigers 6-1 (6-1 ATS) are playing LSU Tigers 7-0 (5-1-1 ATS) on Oct 26, 2019, 3:30pm ET at Tiger Stadium-LSU. The Tigers opened at -7.5 in Vegas and the current line is LSU -10.5.

An LSU win would send it into the bye week unscathed and propel the Tigers to Tuscaloosa in two weeks with everything on the line. The resurgent offense led by quarterback Joe Burrow has been one of the most pleasant surprises of the season, and building off of the early-season success during the bye week would create a great storyline heading into the latest edition of the "Game of the Century." Auburn has a loss to Florida on the docket, and is in must-win mode if it wants to win the SEC West for the second time in three years. If it prevails, it'll be the first Auburn win in Baton Rouge since 1999.

LSU: The biggest news out of the bayou this week is the expected return of wide receiver Terrace Marshall Jr. The sophomore caught 20 passes for 304 yards and six touchdowns during the first three-plus games of the season before suffering a fractured foot in Game 4 at Vanderbilt. His return will create a massive problem for Auburn's secondary, which already has to account for the SEC's top two receivers, Justin Jefferson and Ja'Marr Chase.

Auburn: The Tigers cruised past Arkansas last week thanks to another extraordinary defensive effort and four touchdown passes from true freshman quarterback Bo Nix. More importantly, the running game racked up 298 yards on the ground and averaged 5.84 yards per carry in its first game without No. 1 back JaTarvious Whitlow. Kam Martin had 10 carries for 84 yards, and freshman D.J. Williams notched 11 carries in the first prolonged playing time of his career.

BETTING PREVIEW: This line has been bouncing around like a Mexican jumping bean, opening with LSU as 6.5-point favorites in advance betting and then 12.5-point favorites when the line opened Sunday and has settled around LSU -10.5. LSU playing at home in Death Valley Home-field advantage plays a role in this pick given Nix's struggles against Auburn's tougher opponents, but another factor is LSU also having delivered two of its best games against its two toughest opponents. LSU has the defensive versatility to mix its coverages with its secondary, and if the safeties can help keep Auburn's run-game in check and make Nix be Auburn's fulcrum offensively, LSU should remain unbeaten and on course for a showdown with Alabama. But will LSU Cover the 10.5 points? After watching LSU move the ball against Florida's defense 2 weeks ago, it's hard not imagine the same thing happening to Auburn in this matchup. I'm not betting against Joe Burrow's and this potent LSU offense- especially not at night in Death Valley.

71% of the SportsJaw community picked LSU -10.5 to COVER. The SportsJaw “scorecaster” predicts a final score of Auburn 31 – LSU 45.

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