KC hasn't been kind to bettors but finally covered a game last week against Washington. Derrick Henry and the Titans should feast against a really bad Chiefs run defense. The Titans' ground game should keep the contest close, so have to like the points here with red hot Titans at home.
Also like this OVER 57.5 as both teams should hit the 30+ mark in this game.
Quoting ESPN "Four of the offensive lineman who started for the Patriots in Week 1 against the Miami Dolphins will not play the Texans at NRG Stadium: left tackle Isaiah Wynn, left guard Mike Onwenu, right guard Shaq Mason and right tackle Trent Brown. Wynn and Onwenu were placed on the team's Reserve/COVID-19 list on Tuesday"
Houston has looked flat terrible the last 2 weeks and just got blown out by Buffalo, but Patriots aren't a dominate team and now missing almost their entire starting O-line. Mac Jones is going to have his hands full this weekend on the road. I like Houston +8 and the UNDER 44 in what should be a low scoring game with little offense.
Watch out for Louisiana Tech. The Bulldogs held a 20-point fourth quarter lead over Mississippi State before letting that one slip away, and they would've beaten SMU were it not for a successful Tanner Mordecai Hail Mary on the last play of the fourth quarter. I like NC State to win, but this nearly three-touchdown spread is absurd against very potent La Tech team.
Give me the points. UTEP off to a 2-0 start, is an experienced team, and the Miners looked good in their 30-3 win over New Mexico State. We'll see tonight how much UTEP has improved from last season, but 26 points just feels like to many. As good as Boise's defense is, I still think the Miners score 17-20 points here and stay within earshot and cover.
Wake Forest has every starter on the offense returning, but on defense, the Demon Deacons allowed 37 points or more in five games last season. Old Dominion has been trending the last 5 years but they lost a slew of players on defense and that’s a concern here. The Monarchs picked up UCF transfer quarterback Darriel Mack Jr. and still have 6-foot-5 Nigel Fitzgerald at WR and he will get loose. I like Dominion to do enough on offense to stay within earshot here.
Dallas has won four of the six games between these two teams this season, but the Clippers have been the better team overall. Doncic is listed as questionable but back and neck pain, but Rick Carlisle said "I think he'll play - depends on how he feels tomorrow"and even if he does he will not be at full strength. As long as Paul George has a solid game, the Clippers should pick up the road win with Doncic not 100%.
Drake couldnâ€™t seem to do anything quite right early against Wichita State, and it couldnâ€™t seem to close when it had everything going its way late, but 53-52 â€“ it won and it gets to move on. But I think of USC as a better Wichita State team and Drake isn't the same team without Roman Penn in the lineup.
The Bruinsâ€™ last two home wins have not at all been impressive, and UCLA seems to be on the verge of being recognized as maybe more of a top-75 team than a top-25 one. Give me Arizona and the free bucket.
Buffalo has been completely dominant this season, winning all five of their games by at least 25 points while covering as a favorite of a touchdown or more in four of those contests. While Ball State will be the best team Buffalo has faced thus far, the Bulls combination of run game is too overpowering for any MAC opponent to handle, including Ball State. Buffalo wins 45-24
As much as I think a lot of rest will help the Cowboys and we all can see the struggles Baltimore is having, it's hard to come up with a scenario that has the Cowboys winning the game. As crazy as this sounds with a reigning MVP, but they have to let Lamar Jackson beat them, especially with his arm. We'll see if he's back to 100 percent again with his running ability. All in all, the Ravens need to win this one to stay alive in the playoff race and I see that happening with a 23-12 win.
Syracuse is overmatched from the start and Notre Dame jumps out to a commanding lead thanks to several rushing touchdowns against a unit allowing just more than 200 rushing yards this season. The defense also keeps the Orange out of the red zone for the entirety of the first half, and possibly only a turnover by the Irish might keep Syracuse from reaching the Irish side of the field. The Irish win 48-6 in a route.
Minnesota, in theory, is a better version of Northwesternâ€™s offense. They want to pound you with the run, pull your safeties into the box, and then hit big plays over the top. If you donâ€™t bring extra help, they are content to run the ball all game. Their defense, however, is an absolute train wreck. I think Minnesota scores some points, but Purdue manages to score a few more against a weak Gophers D.
The combination of Russell Wilsonâ€™s sudden turnover proneness and a pathetic defense have the Seahawks in a funk. They fell to the Rams, 23-16, on Sunday. For his part, Wilson has turned the ball over nine times in his past four games. Add in a lackluster offensive line, injuries and itâ€™s no surprise Seattle has lost three of four. I expect those trends to continue tonight. Not sure how you don't take the 3 points with Arizona here.
OKC has covered seven of their past 10 trips to Boston, and theyâ€™ll be in good shape to do so again. They covered a 1 1/2-point spread as underdogs in a 112-111 loss to Boston at home on Feb. 9. I predict another close game today and like the points here (low confidence).
Miami has won four of their last five games with their only loss coming against the Pelicans on Friday night. Meanwhile, Washington is in a bit of a slump as they have lost six of their last nine games. Despite being 40-23 on the season, the Heat have really struggled against the spread as of late, failing to cover in 10 of their last 14 games. The Wizards have covered in five of their last seven games but I'm betting against the trends here today as the Heat are the much more talented team.
Two factors why I'm going to take Eastern Illinois here. They come in having won 5 in a row, playing their best all season. Both games between these 2 teams during the season were decided by 3 and 4 points, each home team winning. I dunno, seems like a good reason to take a bet, right?
Kansas hasnâ€™t consistently met bookmakersâ€™ expectations at home against bad teams this season. The Jayhawks are 3-7 against the spread against teams below .500. Iowa State is a bad team, but the points here are too tempting to pass one, the Cyclones should have a bit of confidence after the beat down they put on Texas.
Two top 10 defenses but still think the Over 215 has value tonight and money is coming in on the over here too. Utah has averaged 225 PPG last 4 games and the Over is 6-1 in the past seven on the road for the Pacers and 4-0 in the past four for the Jazz.