North Carolina steam rolled Duke last week, but Duke is a below average team with a sieve for a defense. Florida State got their first win over Syracuse last week but this 1-4 Noles team has lost 3 games by less than 3 points. So Florida State could easily be 4-1 instead of 1-4.
17 points just doesn't pass the eye test here. FSU will bring it here and even a good spot to put $20 on the +600 ML.
** Julio Jones' A.J. Brown are out today which means a heavy does of Derrick Henry for the Titans, which means a lot of milking the clock with the run game. Jets won't score more than 10 points and Titans will be run heavy today and that all points to the UNDER 44.5. Boom!
Auburn managed to allow 247 rushing yards against Georgia State after holding its first three opponents (including No. 4 Penn State) to a combined total of 97 carries for 150 yards and it still wouldn't make any sense.
LSU is barely averaging 80 rushing yards per game (less than three yards per carry), so Auburn should focus the vast majority of its defensive attention on trying to slow down the Max Johnson-to-Kayshon Boutte connection, which has accounted for 724 yards and 12 touchdowns in the six games since Johnson became the full-time starter late last fall.
At this point, though, it's unclear if Auburn's secondary is any good.
Auburn allowed Penn State to complete 29-of-33 pass attempts for 302 yards and two touchdowns. LSU's defense looks good enough to hold Auburn in check, especially with Bryan Harsin unwilling to announce who will even start at quarterback following Bo Nix's dreadful play against Georgia State. I like LSU to do just enough at home this weekend.
Milwaukee has the weapons to adjust and you can't expect Trae Young to have another performance like game 1. But still 8 points just feels like too many against this resilient ATL team, Bucks win 114-108 and Hawks get the cover.
The Nuggets rolled the Rockets by 29 points in Houston on April 16 without Murray. Denver come off of a back to back here with playing a late game against Golden State last night, but you can't even think about taking Houston and the points here. Houston just has very little resistance down low, and Jokic and the Denver bigs should have their way with the Rockets again, when Houston loses they lose Bigly.
Expect USC to have a letdown in its first game since breaking into the Top 25 and it's impressive win against UCLA. The Trojans should win this game but it won't be a blowout. The Huskies are a competitive team as noted by their 84-80 win against third-place Colorado.
Chicago, which is fortunate to even be in the postseason, will struggle on both ends of the ball. Not only do the Saints have the fifth-best scoring offense, averaging 30.1 points per game, but their defense also ranks fifth in points allowed at 21.1 PPG. Saints by double digits.
Slight lean ND, like Under 62 more...ND has a stingy defense and have been stifling better offenses than Louisville. I don't see the Cards coring more than 14 points here. I think it's a 42-13 type of game.