Home court advantage has been the difference-maker in this series. And read that out of the 134 Game 7’s in NBA Playoff history, the road team has only been able to win 28, or 20.9% of the time. In the previous three games at Footprint Center, we saw them winning by 20 or more points on two occasions. I'll follow the trends here with the home team, plus I just think Phoenix is the better team. This games will look a lot like the Warriors Grizzlies game last night. Phoenix and slight lean on the OVER 207.
I predict we see Villanova’s guards and wings post up on the smaller Michigan backcourt that stands just 6’1″ at the guard spots, and also try to take Dickinson off the dribble. Villanova has a matchup edges on both ends of the floor.
Will be interesting to see how Houston's top ranked defense holds up against UAB's top ranked offense. UAB offense can light it up and averages 80 PPG. But don't expect UAB to hit the 80 mark today as Houston is on a different level. Houston is coming off a dominating 71-53 win over Memphis in the American Athletic Conference title game, covering as 3.5-point favorites and looked dominate.
UAB's top 9 scorers are either juniors or seniors, and with a 7-foot starting center, it certainly won’t be dominated in the paint.
Not in love with this game, but taking the points here. BOL!
I’m going to take a stab on the Seahawks. Seattle has looked pretty good (finally) over their last couple of games. In the Houston matchup, the Seahawks put up 453 yards of total offense.
I still don't trust this Rams team, sure they pulled off a nice win on Monday despite getting out-gained on total yardage 447-356, but the Cardinals couldn't have played a worse game, turning it over 3 times, twice inside the red zone.
Must win for Seattle to have any shot at the playoffs here and they might not win but I think they keep it competitive. I like the points.
The Bucks have their backs against the wall and this is a do or die spot so lay the points with Bucks at home tonight right? We can't unsee what we saw in the first two games and it’s hard to make an argument against the Suns who have now covered in 12 of their last 15 games. Sure the Bucks could come out hot and cover but my money just feels safer getting the better team and 4 points. Even if Bucks win I think it's going to be close.
Hawks have been tougher team at home but Iâ€™ll lay the points with Bucks here. IMO Atlantaâ€™s victory to open this series felt much flukier than Milwaukeeâ€™s dominant performance in Game 2 on Friday.
Atlanta still has yet to play their best game in this series, but I'm not sure even their best is good enough. Philly dusted the Hawks by 16 points in both Games 2 and 3. I don't think it's that big of blowout tonight but I still think Philly wins a 115-110 type of game.
Atlanta beat the brakes off of New York 105-94 as a 4.5-point home favorite in Game 3 and PG Trae Young was an offensive maestro for his third consecutive game. Julius Randle has been silent this series but I expect him to show up today. This still feels like a 7 game series so I'll take the points and NY.
While Davis should fair better after a subpar performance in which Ayton outplayed him, the Suns got little offensively outside of Booker and Ayton in Game 1. The rest of the starting lineup combined for 25 points on 10-for-30 shooting. Was it bad shooting or great defense?
I've got Phoenix in another defensive game 105-101.
The 76ers have won four in a row, but didn't look real convincing in their 106-103 win over the Los Angeles Clipper on Friday night. My problem with Philly right now is they are missing Curry and Paschall and rely too heavy on Embiid.
This line is 7.5 because Stephen Curry tweaked his ankle at the end of the Boston game, but I think he will play and start tonight. 7.5 just feels a bit heavy here.
OKC has lost 12 of their past 13 games and 11 of those 12 losses were double-digit blowouts. The Thunder played Detroit tough on Friday night and faded in the final 2 minutes to lose and not cover. The Raptors have been in poor form themselves and Gary Trent Jr. has been ruled out while Fred VanVleet is listed as questionable. Toronto should win this game but taking the 11.5 points is too tempting.
The Raptors have won back to back games after previously losing 7 of their last 8 games. The injury-ravaged Lakers have been able to handle inferior opponents of late while going 3-2 across their last five games.
The Lakers shouldnâ€™t be underdogs against a 20-30 team on the second half of a back-to-back. Toronto could get VanVleet back in the lineup tonight but even with VanVleet on the floor I'm still taking the short handed Lakers to get the W.
Florida State survived the first-round but have been on shaky ground with three losses in their last six games. They have been inconsistent on offense during that stretch. Colorado is playing with passion and energy and made a huge statement in the first round. The Buffaloes have strong guard play and don't make a ton of mistakes, give me the free 1.5 points.
The Salukis are a solid basketball team and have had good success against the number as well this season, but the Drake Bulldogs are a completely different animal across the board and have been an ATM machine against the spread. Drake is elite at both ends of the floor and are 10-0 ATS in their last 10. No reason to quit on them now.
I'm not buying the hype, Notre Dameâ€™s good enough to beat Clemson no matter whoâ€™s at quarterback because itâ€™s more than capable of controlling both lines, as it did on Nov. 7. The Irish find a way to get this one done, and perhaps secure a No. 1 seed in the College Football Playoffs. Taking the 10 points and putting $25 on the ML.