When Michigan has the ball, it'll be an offense averaging a fifth-best mark of 290.8 rushing yards per game against a run defense allowing a nation-best 23.0 rushing yards per game. But the Wolverines just had a lot of trouble running the ball at home against Rutgers, there's plenty of reason to believe they'll have their work cut out for them against a stout Wisconsin defense. The Badgers D has held all four opponents to 14 points or fewer against an offense that simply cannot stop shooting itself in the foot. The Badgers outgained Penn State and Notre Dame by a combined 134 yards, but they lost both of those games because of a negative-7 turnover margin.
In what is all but certain to be a classic Big Ten war of attrition and field position, those turnover woes will be Wisconsin's downfall. Michigan has yet to commit a single turnover through four games, and punter Brad Robbins will be able to flip the field after the drives that go nowhere fast.
Bottomline, I just haven't been impressed with Wisconsins offense. I've got Michigan doing just enough in a low scoring defensive slug fest. Wrong team favored, give me the free 2 points.
When Army plays in a game, one thing is for certain: they will drain the clock with their run game. The Black Knights averaged 26.8 points per game last season while the Panthers averaged 33.3 points per game with one overtime game included to boost up the average. These teams are not going to score close to a point per minute so expect this game closer to the 40-45 point range.
This will be the debut for Ivey, who's Houston's No. 9-ranked prospect. Ivey has a 3.19 ERA in 52 Minor League games, including 38 starts. He appeared in two games at Triple-A Sugar Land this season, posting a 7.11 ERA in 6 1/3 innings.
I don't like to back pitchers making their season debut and Ivey hasn't proven to be a world beater. However, the Houston Astros are so hot offensively that it may not matter. The Rangers have also lost nine of their last 10 games and don't appear to be in position to take on one of the top teams in the league. Give me Houston at the cheap price.
Both teams are heading in different directions; the Mavericks are 8-2 over their last 10 with a +8 scoring differential, while the Cavaliers are 1-9 with a -13.8. Luka Doncic will get us over the goal line.
Tech has lost their last 3 games, albeit against good competition, but they continue to struggle offensively. The problem with Tech is outside of McClung they don't have a lot of good shooters and are a small team that gets beat on the board. Texas is a BIG team and will get a lot of second opportunities in the paint and I think the Horns get their revenge here after Tech won by a buzzer beater by McClung in Austin earlier this season. It's either going to be Texas by a dozen or a game that comes down to the last shot....I want the 3 points here.
The Chargers enter this game with some key injuries but the Broncos aren't particularly healthy either. With optimal conditions in a dome-like environment, I trust Justin Herbert more than I do Drew Lock. It'll be as close, but I see the Chargers extending their win streak to three against a defense in a tough spot.
The Jags are rebuilding, but they look like contenders to the Trevor Lawrence sweepstakes with Jake Luton starting at QB. If Green Bay has any Super Bowl aspirations, they should be able to take care of business, the weather could be an issue, but Jacksonville doesnâ€™t have close to the level or talent as Minnesota did. Green Bay rolls.
The Saints were firing on all cylinders in their blowout win against the Bucs, and while it would be foolish to expect them to continue to roll in such dominant fashion, last week felt like the type of game that could propel them toward a strong second-half finish. They are healthy, the 49ers aren't, and the Saints should win this one by a healthy margin.
Iâ€™ll keep this one short and sweet. I like NC State early and often this evening in Raleigh. This one will sadly resemble the 2018 game. Hereâ€™s an obvious subplot: can freshman quarterback Chubba Purdy have a strong game if he receives meaningful snaps? What young players could emerge? Either way, this week it wonâ€™t be enough, NC State by double digits.