MICKEY619

From California & Cabo

Semi-retired financial advisor with a penchant for Vegas, golf, poker and all things sports.

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Say what you will about the one-win Detroit Lions, but they're 8-4 against the spread this season. Detroit is also expecting to get D'Andre Swift back from a shoulder injury which is a big part of their offense. I don't think the Lions make it two wins in a row here, but I do think this game will be closer than double digits.

My Detroit vs Denver predictions:

DET +12.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$100

Risk

$91

Win

TCU is riddled with injuries but QB Max Duggan is back at the helm for the Frogs in this game, plus TCU still has plenty of motivation for this game as a win gets them to bowl eligibility. And it's just hard to trust this ISU team after what I've seen the last couple weeks.

15 just feels too thick here, give me the points.

My TCU vs Iowa St. predictions:

TCU +15.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$500

Risk

$455

Win

Forget Oklahoma, TCU has been the bigger problem for Texas with six wins in the last seven years. But this Horned Frog D doesn’t have its normal stuff. SMU ran wild in a win last week, Cal threw too well in the previous game, and Texas is about to do both. Steve Sarkisian appears to have everything rolling at the right time.

Texas 40, TCU 30

My Texas vs TCU predictions:

TEXAS -4 (-110)

Spread Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

I think I'm going to pick against my gut here. I'm going to take Georgia in a game that feels like Clemson should win (it's not a home game, but it practically is). Georgia has had this recruiting machine for awhile now and they haven't been able to do much with it. They've made the playoff once in seven years.

This game should be about defense. Both teams were phenomenal against the run last year. Georgia had the best run defense in the nation, while Clemson was top-10. I think the first game of the post-Trevor Lawrence era is a solid performance for D.J. Uiagalelei, but it's not enough against a next level Bulldogs defense. #GoDawgs

My Georgia vs Clemson predictions:

GEORGI +123

Moneyline Pick

$100

Risk

$123

Win

GEORGI +2.75 (-110)

Spread Pick

$500

Risk

$455

Win

Obviously pre-season is a crap shoot without key players, but the Colts starters on defense and the offensive line which will see plenty of snaps today. The Panthers remain a team in transition and will be holding relatively open auditions at a lot of key positions today. Let's dip a toe in the pool today, Colts -3.

My Carolina vs Indianapolis predictions:

CAR -3 (-110)

Spread Pick

$100

Risk

$91

Win

Tom Hatch is a rookie and in his last abbreviated start against the Rays he didn’t allow a run over 2 1/3 innings, so a bit of a question mark around rookie Hatch. Nick Pivetta is on the hill for Boston and in his last outing against Toronto he got the win but gave up a whopping 11 hits. Pivetta is like a box of chocolates and you never know what you’re going to get. But I’m leaning Boston here as more of a fade of rookie Hatch on the hill for Toronto. The over 10.5 is also worth a look as we’ve got two top 5 offenses and suspect pitching today, so could see some fireworks.

My Toronto vs Boston predictions:

TOR -133

Moneyline Pick

$250

Risk

$188

Win

Back on 4/28 Glasnow dominated this A’s lineup and pitched 7 scoreless innings with 10 strikeouts against them back on 4/28. I'm betting on more of the same today.

My Tampa Bay vs Oakland predictions:

TB -139

Moneyline Pick

$500

Risk

$360

Win

The Rockies Chi Chi Gonzalez has allowed over a hit per inning with only 14 strikeouts in 24.2 innings pitched this season, so the Cardinals should have some chances to get the bats going.

Pick: St. Louis RL -1.5 (-105)

My Colorado vs St. Louis predictions:

COL -180

Moneyline Pick

$250

Risk

$139

Win

The Kings are on a nine-game snide while the Mavericks have lost four of their past six games and are coming off a tough loss to the Knicks. My first reaction to this line was that it looked heavy so not in love with it but have to play Dallas even if it's more of a fade of a bad Sacramento team.

My Sacramento vs Dallas predictions:

SAC -8 (-110)

Spread Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

Miami 103-98.

My Los Angeles vs Miami predictions:

LAL +8 (-110)

Spread Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

LAL 204 (-110)

Total Pick

$100

Risk

$91

Win

Fried battled command issues during the early portion of his Opening Day start in Philadelphia, but found a groove near the end of his five-inning effort. Fedde gets the nod out of the bullpen, as the Nationals' rotation is short two starters. Last season, Fedde went 1-3 with a 4.95 ERA in eight starts in place of an injured Stephen Strasburg. Atlanta let yesterday's game slip away but I like them here on the RL behind Max Fried. Braves -1.5 (+110)

My Atlanta vs Washington predictions:

ATL -175

Moneyline Pick

$500

Risk

$286

Win

Michigan is without senior F Isaiah Livers, who suffered a season-ending stress fracture in his foot in UM’s Big Ten Tournament opener. Livers started all 23 games he played this season, averaging 13.1 PPG and 6.0 RPG, while hitting a team-best 50 3-pointers (shooting 43.1% behind the arc).

FSU defeated 13th-seeded UNC Greensboro 64-54 in the first round but came up a “hook” short as a 10-point favorite. The Seminoles had no problem covering as 1-point faves in their next game, cruising past No. 5 seed Colorado 71-53.

The Big Ten, which had nine teams make the tourney, has been a total flop as Michigan is the only team remaining. The ACC certainly is looking like the better conference, and FSU losing to Georgia Tech in the ACC title game might be the best thing that could have happened to the Noles'.

Score Prediction: Florida State 72 - Michigan 70

My Florida St. vs Michigan predictions:

FLAST +2 (-110)

Spread Pick

$500

Risk

$455

Win

FLAST 143.5 (-110)

Total Pick

$100

Risk

$91

Win

Gonzaga trampled its first two NCAA Tournament opponents — 16-seed Norfolk State and 8-seed Oklahoma, by an average score of 92.5-63 but is 1-1 ATS in those games and only covered by a half-point against the Sooners.

Creighton bounced back from a 25-point blowout by Georgetown in the Big East Tournament championship and eking past 12-seed UC Santa Barbara 63-62 to demolish 13-seed Ohio 72-58 as 5.5-point favorites.

It’s hard to poke holes in an undefeated team’s resume but Gonzaga is just laying too many points and the Bulldogs are only 3-3 ATS in their previous six games. In Gonzaga’s win over Oklahoma last round, the Bulldogs actually shot worse from the field but attempted 14 more free throws and Creighton is 48th in defensive FTA/FG rate. I like this Creighton team and they are athletic, long and have the offense to scare Gonzaga.

Score: Gonzaga 85 - Creighton 78

My Creighton vs Gonzaga predictions:

CREIG +13.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$500

Risk

$455

Win

Pac-12 has proven themselves in the tournament. Oregon State keeps it close but Loyola advances in a 72-66 type of game. Slightest of leans with the +7 points here.

My Oregon St. vs Loyola of Chicago predictions:

OREST +7 (-110)

Spread Pick

$100

Risk

$91

Win

Both teams have turned the corner and looked like different teams in the 2nd half of the season. Both are bubble teams and it’s going to come down to the ACC Tournament and whether or not either of these two teams can get hot enough and play well enough to somehow make it to the dance. This is going to be a fun game to watch and will probably come down to the last few minutes. But I'm on UNC here as they have the edge in rebounding and overall defense.

Really surprised to see Iowa as a 2 point dog here The Hawkeyes will be chomping at the bit after having to think about the Indiana loss for eight days. Illinois is legit but I'll ride with the Hawkeyes #2 ranked offense and big Luke Garza.

My Iowa vs Illinois predictions:

IOWA +2 (-110)

Spread Pick

$500

Risk

$455

Win

The Lakers should be able to pick up the road win against Billy Donovan’s Bulls, but it’s going to be a close shave and 9 points feels a bit high here today...especially with A.D. and LeBron listed as questionable on the official injury report.

My Los Angeles vs Chicago predictions:

LAL +9 (-110)

Spread Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

The Pels are worth playing on the road, as they’re going to be angry after getting dusted in a pair of games at Utah on Tuesday and Thursday. Look for them to come out and take advantage of the beleaguered Timberwolves. Public money coming in on New Orleans, lined opened at -6.5 and now -8 at most books. I'll follow.

My New Orleans vs Minnesota predictions:

NOP -8 (-110)

Spread Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

UNDER 28 points in the 1st half. Going to be cold and windy but the hourly forecast looks like 3-4pm going to be 15-20 gusts and then it calms down a bit around 5. Plus Cleveland is going to go to the ground here early and often for clock control. I It's all a crap shoot boys, I'm just looking for a fraction of an edge. BOL!

My Cleveland vs Kansas City predictions:

CLE 57 (-110)

Total Pick

$100

Risk

$91

Win

Virginia took the season’s first matchup with Notre Dame, claiming a 66-57 victory as a 7-point road favorite Dec. 30. Notre Dame enters on a 3-game skid and has lost 5 of its last 6 contests. The most recent setback was a 77-63 defeat at No. 20 Virginia Tech Sunday as the Irish failed to cover as 6.5-point underdogs. Big spread here tonight considering Virginia doesn't score a lot of points but Notre Dame just isn't a deep team and are going the wrong direction right now. I'll lay the points with the hotter Cavs team here. Virginia wins 68-56.

My Notre Dame vs Virginia predictions:

ND -9.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

Texas is one of the top teams in DI and has only lost one game all season which came against Villanova. West Virginia is only 2-2 in their last four games and they are going to have trouble scoring enough points to keep this one close. Texas is the easy choice here but I'll take the free bucket with the better team.

My Texas vs West Virginia predictions:

TEXAS +1.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$500

Risk

$455

Win

Tulane has scored more than 70 points in just two of eight games this season. The Green Wave’s 66.0 points per game rank 295th in NCAA-I hoops. The struggling Green Wave offense will be up against a Houston defense ranked third in the nation, allowing just 57.0 PPG. Thick spread here today but Houston should have this game covered by half time.

My Tulane vs Houston predictions:

TULAN -19 (-110)

Spread Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

I've liked Colorado since the line opened, this line should have been under 7 to start. Colorado has an impressive resume coming into this game (albeit a short one), and this could be Brenden Rice's coming out party against a Horns defense that allows 30 PPG. I've got Colorado +10 and chipping the ML. Texas 24 - Colorado 34. GO BUFFS!

My Colorado vs Texas predictions:

COLO -7.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$500

Risk

$455

Win

@rg

1 Y 5 MO

Nice, I see CO as high as +11

My vs predictions:

COLO +7.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

FYI - Rumor mill in Austin is that several Texas players got hit with positive COVID tests and the Horns now potentially going to be w/o even more starters for this game. Not sure which players yet. This line has dropped from Colorado +10.5 to now +7, could go below 7 before kick depending... stay tuned.

My Colorado vs Texas predictions:

COLO -7.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$500

Risk

$455

Win

COLO 63.5 (-110)

Total Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

@Mickey619

1 Y 5 MO

Interesting, thanks.

My vs predictions:

COLO -7.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$500

Risk

$455

Win

OVER!!

My Maryland vs Purdue predictions:

MARYL 136 (-110)

Total Pick

$500

Risk

$455

Win

@Mickey619

1 Y 6 MO

Smart.

My vs predictions:

MARYL 137 (-110)

Total Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

We should see some points here. The Terps have hit 79 or more points in five of seven games with a push in their lone conference tilt. This won’t be an up-tempo game with a total in the 150’s, but a total of 140 isn’t unreasonable in the least.

My Maryland vs Purdue predictions:

MARYL 137 (-110)

Total Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

Go under 140.5

My Wisconsin vs Michigan St. predictions:

WISCN 140 (-110)

Total Pick

$500

Risk

$455

Win

@Mickey619

1 Y 6 MO

Good pick.

My vs predictions:

WISCN 140 (-110)

Total Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

The Under is the play here. Wisconsin has one of the stingiest defenses in the country, allowing 57.5 PPG to rank 15th. The Badgers rank 14th in opponents’ field-goal percentage at 36.2%. Don’t be surprised if the combined score is Under 50 at halftime.

My Wisconsin vs Michigan St. predictions:

WISCN 140 (-110)

Total Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

@SuperSoms

1 Y 6 MO

The Chiefs are 2-3 ATS as double-digit favorites this season, and they will have to adjust if running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire misses time. Atlanta ranks 31st in the NFL in pass defense at 287.7 points per game. Patrick Mahomes II continues his MVP-caliber season and Chiefs win but I think it's closer than Vegas is predicting.

Score: Kansas City 30- Atlanta 24

My Atlanta vs Kansas City predictions:

ATL +10.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

The Wildcats are coming off an impressive 79-65 win over then-No. 4 Michigan State and Northwestern ranks 13th in the country with 90.4 PPG, and ranks fifth with a 43.5% behind the 3-point line. Ken Pom has Northwestern rated 56th and Indiana 17th, with a predicted score of 72-65. But I think if the Wildcats play like they did Sunday they could surprise here as a 8.5 underdog.

My Northwestern vs Indiana predictions:

NWEST +8.5 (-110)

Spread Pick

$250

Risk

$227

Win

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