FSU's loss to Wake Forest doesn't look as bad after last night, because Wake looked damn good against Virginia.
I watched all of the Louisville and Old Miss game and can't unforget how bad the Cards looked in that opening game. Malik Cunningham has accuracy issues with down field passing, he can run but he has a very questionable arm.
I think Florida State comes in focused and bounces back today.
Utah State was not a good football team last season and had a sieve for a defense. Washington State should be solid again offensively, have a first round pick on their offensive line and de Laura oozes with potential. Underdogs haven't been good today, but I think the Cougars roll.
The struggling Nationals (have lost 7 in a row) will have their hands full with the Blue Jays in this series. Toronto is still vying for an American League wild card spot, and they will send Alek Manoah to the mound today who is 5-1 with a 2.59 ERA. Opponents are hitting a strong .261 against Washington starter Erick Fedde this season, and the Nationals’ bullpen ERA of 6.15 is 27th in the league over the last 15 days. All signs point to a Toronto -1.5 RL.
The Hornets havenâ€™t been at their best but did beat the Trailblazers on Sunday, while the Knicks are coming into this game beating the Pelicans for their sixth straight win. I can see the Hornets pulling off the upset if Rozier has another big game, but I think the smarter play is on the Knicks to win their 7th game in a row.
The Pelicans aren't a team I'm thrilled to back as a fav as they've lost seven of their last 11 games, but the Brooklyn Nets have been hit or miss over the last week or so, and they'll be without Durant and Harden. The Pelicans do play much better at home and should win this game.
CLEVELAND +110 (ML) - The Bulls are coming off a 126-115 licking from the Memphis Grizzlies, and Chicago is on a five-game skid while also going 0-5 ATS. The Cavs are worth playing straight up, as they have been money on the road with three straight away victories in San Antonio, Oklahoma City and Charlotte since April 5. The Bulls were also topped by the Cavs 103-94 at United Center on March 24, and Cleveland is a lot healthier this time around.
The Pacers are playing solid basketball right now, which includes winning their last five games by an average of 2.6 points on 50.4 percent shooting. The Jazz have been money making machines all season long and a 20-8 against the spread record and winning at home by an average of 14.9 points. Fading the Jazz at home isn't an option.
Urias allowed just 1 earned run on 3 hits and a walk with 6 strikeouts across 7 innings in a win and quality start against Gomber and the Rockies back on April 4th.
Austin Gomber is 0-2 to start the year but still maintains a 2.89 ERA, Gomber has allowed just 2 hits in his two outings, but has issued 11 walks which is a concern.
LA won each of the first two in this series by 2 or more runs, outscoring the Rockies by an 11-2 count and Uria already beat Gomber on April 4th. I think the second verse is the same as the first. Urias dominates and LA wins a 5-2 type of game. LA -1.5 (-120)
The Tigers are without DH Miguel Cabrera who is on the 10-day injured list due to a biceps issue. Even with Cabrera, the Motor City Kitties have averaged just 4.1 runs per game. Skubal doesnâ€™t typically go deep into games and heâ€™s backed by a Bengal bullpen that owns a 6.65 ERA.
Manaea is coming off a solid turn and exhibited a better skill set than what his 4.50 surface ERA indicated in 2020.
Utah is well-rested but most likely without Gobert tonight. The Jazz have only covered the spread once in their last seven games, dropping their record against the spread to 26-15 on the year. Still an impressive mark, but the Bulls have been better when it comes to covering as of late (4-1 ATS in their last five). The Jazz should win this game, but the Bulls will keep it close enough to cover this thick spread.
Ballâ€™s injury stinks in the long run for Charlotte; however, in the short run or against offensively limited teamsâ€”which the Spurs areâ€”the Hornets are still a live underdog. I like the points here and slight lean on the Unders.
Boston has the second-lowest cover rate as the road team at 7-15 ATS, is 3-9 ATS as a road favorite and Memphis is 13-10 ATS at home. Also, the Celtics played Sunday and are just 3-7 ATS in games where they have a rest disadvantage. The Grizzlies are a tough team to match up against if youâ€™re playing on tired legs.
Florida State leads the ACC in scoring at 79.2 points per game so the Eagles will have their hands full tonight. Both teams have been good ATS - BC is 5-1 ATS in its last five road games. FSU is 5-1 ATS in its last six at home.
I like the points here as 19 is a huge number and BC isn't a push over which they just proved against Notre Dame. But FSU is a different animal than Notre Dane. Another concern is that the Eagles are dealing with a lot of injuries, and this game could get into the deep part of both benches for long stretches in the second half.
Score prediction: Florida State 83, Boston College 68.
In February Phoenix has the sixth-highest net rating in clutch situations with a 4-1 record and Memphis has the worst clutch net rating. Phoenix is also 4-1 ATS in their last 5 and owns the league's 4th best defense. Riding the Suns until they buck me.
Iowa wins 84-70. All the metrics stack up in favor of the Hawkeyes. They own the Big Tenâ€™s longest current winning streak at five games. Theyâ€™ve outscored their last three opponents by an average margin of 20 points. Overall, the Hawkeyes are 9-0 at home this season. The Hoosiers are 1-3 on the road. Iowa rolls.
Boston will be severely short handed here tonight due to COVID and injuries and quarantining. Jayson Tatum and several other players are out tonight. Jaylen Brown and Daniel Theis might also be sidelined for this game as well.
Tristan Thompson is expected to be back for this meeting, but he might be subjected to a marathon game with Theis out. Thatâ€™s a problem going into a head-to-head duel with Nikola Vucevic. The former NBA All-Star is already a serious problem on both ends of the floor, but Thompson will have to be mindful of picking up too many fouls due to the limited depth on the roster. So Iâ€™m expecting a huge night for Vucevic in this game.
The Magic are the more complete team at this point with everything seemingly being rushed together to simply get the Celtics back onto the court. It wonâ€™t end well for Boston.
The New York Knicks have fallen apart over the last week, but they haven't had the easiest schedule. The Knicks are still playing solid defense and has the talent to turn things around against lesser teams. The Cleveland Cavaliers are the team we all thought they'd be this season and their issues on offense are ever present. As bad as the Knicks have been I think they are still the much more talented team and should be able to get back on track tonight on the road against a hapless Cavs squad.
New Mexicos has a Ken Pom rating of -3.89 (ranked #204) and Boise State has a rating of +8.43 ranked #90. According to Pomeroyâ€™s detailed statistical analysis, Boise State has an 84% chance of beating New Mexico. His score prediction is a 78-67 BSU victory, slight lean on Boise St to cover.
Tulsa has a KenPom rating #96 (7.73) and Memphis #57 (14.81). Based on KenPom ratings this should be Memphis -5 or -6. Memphis hasn't covered last 4 and Tulsa played the Shockers to a 2 point game and also beat a good UT Arlington team by double digits. Getting +9.5 with Tulsa is the value here.
This line opened at Appalachian St. -18 and has ran up to -21 at most books with Joe Public betting on App. State. The Mountaineers are clearly the better team here, but they split their last four games and two of their last three wins were decided by single digits. Also, Appalachian State has failed to cover seven of its last 10 games as a double-digit favorite. The North Texas Mean Green played their best football down the stretch, which includes a shootout win over UTEP, and while they're one of the worst defensive teams in CFB, they are top-10 in total yards and a top-25 team in points per game. North Texas should have the offense to at least put up enough points to stay within earshot. I'll take my chances with the points here.
Cincinnati coming off of a blowout loss to Pittsburgh but I like their chances today against a Washington team that has one of the worst offensive efficiencies in the NFL. Cincinnati is somewhat 1 dimensional and struggles with the pass rush so Washington's defense could give them struggles today but my picks is based on Washington's offense (which ranks 29th in the league) and not their defense.
Deshaun Watson finally gets to face a pass rush the Texans can handle today. The Vikings improvements in a tight loss to the Titans last week were modest â€” especially in the secondary and in the middle of both of their lines. The Texans have similar pass-rush and protection issues, but only one of these teams has Watson. He played an excellent game in Pittsburgh this past Sunday before a fourth-quarter pick. After starting the season against a murderer's row of opponents (at Chiefs, vs. Ravens, at Steelers), Watson and the Texans should be able to tee off and work out their frustrations against a lesser Minny team today.
Iâ€™ve picked the Giants to win twice this season and thatâ€™s not going to happen again until they actually do. At this point, I have zero faith in this team and no one should. I could break down the laundry list of reasons why theyâ€™re terrible, but instead Iâ€™ll focus on this upcoming game. Aaron Donald is going to destroy their offensive line, Daniel Jones will be running for his life and the defense wonâ€™t be able to get off the field on third down. End of story. BLOWOUT ALERT.
The betting line opened at UF favored by 22 points, though it fell 4-4 1/2 points during the week. By multiple projection systems, it ranks as the hardest game on South Carolinaâ€™s schedule. I think Vegas had this opening number of -22 right and fading the public here. I think UF rolls.
Arkansas State has given Coastal Carolina the business in their three meetings since the Chanticleers joined the Sun Belt, but this CCU team looks like they are on the verge of breaking through. McCall is the primary reason for that, as the redshirt freshman quarterback can get it done with both his arm and legs, but this Coastal Carolina team looks much-improved in a number of facets on both sides of the ball. In a coin flip of a game I want the points.
Better grab this -2.5 now with the Lions because this line won't be available on Sunday. Rookie coach and QB playing its first game against a decent Lions team. Neither team showed anything in the preseason, but the offensive experiment in Arizona looked flat bad in pre-season and may prove that the spread offense has no place in the NFL. I think the Cardinals are in for a long season. Love the Lions on the low line here.
Indyâ€™s post-Andrew Luck plight is a bit more involved than simply comparing 2018â€™s playoff run to the last season Luck missed in 2017, a 4-12 mess when the Chuck Pagano regime was on its last legs and new GM Chris Ballard had just begun his roster rebuild. That was also before the hire of HC Frank Reich, who proved a significant upgrade, and previous work suggests Jacoby Brissett can at least be a serviceable stop-gap at QB. The Bolts have Super Bowl hopes, but have taken some attrition in August, and we can't forget how talented the Colts are on both sides of the ball (sans Andrew Luck). I predict Jacoby Brissett rises to the occasion.